We’re up to 10-5 on the season! If you’re not locked in with us now, then get on the bandwagon! It’s baseball season my friends, and with the new rule changes, the game is faster and more action-packed than ever. Limited pickoff attempts and bigger bases should make steals more frequent. A ban on shifts makes singles and doubles more prominent, so we’re more likely to see the return of small ball. And the pitch clock has more and more pitchers calling their own games. Every action has a reaction, so we will be sure to take these rule changes into account when we make our player prop selections. Sportsbooks vary, so we’ll set our own lines with what makes sense based on the data, and you can bet accordingly with your favorite sportsbook. Now, without further ado, let’s get into it!
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MLB Player Prop Bets for May 4th
Kris Bryant OVER 1+ Total Bases:
The Rockies take on the Brewers in an afternoon matinee. With Wade Miley on the mound, one thing is for sure for the Colorado Rockies…Kris Bryant is going to get on base. In 20 plate appearances vs. Wade Miley, Kris Bryant has 9 hits for a .450 batting average, 3 XBH, 2 HR, and 4 walks. On top of that, Bryant is swinging a hot bat, as he’s had at least one hit in six of his last seven games. Bryant will get on base vs. Miley, but even if he doesn’t, he’ll be able to take advantage of the Brewers’ bullpen. Bryant is a good bet today.
Seiya Suzuki OVER 1 Hit:
The Cubs take on the Nats in this afternoon’s matchup. Let me tell you something: when Patrick Corbin is on the mound, you need to expect a beatdown. Patrick Corbin was once one of the premier pitching options in the league, but that time has come and gone. The only thing keeping Corbin in the rotation for the Nats is the fact they gave him a huge contract, and the Nats are rebuilding. Patrick Corbin gets beat most by righties and throws his sinker the most of any of his pitch mix to righties (46% of the time). Seiya Suzuki hits the sinker very well. According to RotoGrinders, Suzuki has a 75% hard hit rate vs. the pitch, with a 100MPH exit velocity, and only a 25% ground ball rate. Suzuki is going to mash against Corbin, and he’s had a hit in all of his last five games.
Rafael Devers UNDER 1+ Hit:
Rafael Devers is a beast of a hitter, and I’m not arguing anything different. As a result, betting against him should come with great odds, so only attack this line if you’re getting + juice. My rationale behind this one is that Devers is up against Kevin Gausman who is coming off of a career-high 13-strikeout game. On top of that, Devers is 4 of 27 for his career against Gausman, with 8 strikeouts. To make matters worse, Devers only has 5 hits in his last 35 at-bats. Devers is cold. Gausman is hot. Devers doesn’t hit Gausman well. Simple as that.