We’re 3-3 on the season in MLB prop bets, so it’s time to pull away in the winning column. We’re going into the third week of the season, so we’re starting to figure out who is who, even though it’s still early. Let’s make our next move, our best move! It’s baseball season my friends, and with the new rule changes, the game is faster and more action-packed than ever. Limited pickoff attempts and bigger bases should make steals more frequent. A ban on shifts make singles and doubles more prominent, so we’re more likely to see the return of small ball. And the pitch clock has more and more pitchers calling their own games. Every action has a reaction, so we will be sure to take these rule changes into account when we make our player prop selections. Sportsbooks vary, so we’ll set our own lines with what makes sense based on the data, and you can bet accordingly with your favorite sportsbook. Now, without further ado, let’s get into it!
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MLB Player Prop Bets for April 11th
Jose Ramirez OVER 2+ Total Bases:
The Guardians take on the Yankees tonight and Gerrit Cole is on the bump. One thing is for sure, Cole has been tremendous in his first couple of starts this year. But baseball has a funny way of allowing history to repeat itself. Jose Ramirez is 5 of 16 all-time off of Cole in his career. With that .313 batting average comes three extra base hits, two home runs, and four walks. With Ramirez comes the ability to steal a base, so whether he gets on via hit or walk, I feel great about Ramirez getting at least 2+ bases tonight. Whether it comes vs. Cole or the Yankee bullpen.
Mookie Betts OVER 2+ Total Bases:
This bet is safe to make with Mookie Betts against almost any pitcher. But Mookie Betts against Alex Wood is truly something special. Betts is 9 of 14 for a .643 average, with five extra base hits, three home runs, and a walk on top of everything. Like Ramirez above, Betts is a five tool player who can also steal bases. If he gets on base, you should feel good about him collecting two total bases for you. I feel great about this one!
Marcus Semien OVER 1+ Hits:
Jordan Lyles hasn’t been great over the past year and change with a 5.09 xFIP and sub 20% strikeout rate. He’s not going to miss many bats, and probably won’t have the longest of leashes. The Kansas City bullpen isn’t one to be afraid of either. Marcus Semien should be a solid bet to hit this over, especially with his 8 for 16 track record vs. Lyles. He’s off to a slow start so far, batting .209, but it’s early. This is the kind of matchup Semien needs to get himself going.