We are finally back to our winning ways. We went 3-0 last time out to improve our February record to 6-5. We have to throw that winning night out of the window, too. Start fresh everyday and you can roll with the punches. With prop bets, we don’t need to wait for season-long storylines to play out. Every day is a new day. Fantrax wants to help you win a bit of money, so we will be giving you NBA Player Prop Bets every week. We’ll shy away from keying in on any particular sportsbook, as we know odds vary, and so do props. We’ll focus on our projections, and allow you to find your best odds. Let’s get into today’s prop bets.
NBA Player Prop Bets for February 6
Cam Thomas OVER 15 Points:
Kyrie Irving has officially been traded to the Dallas Mavericks, so the Cam Thomas era is upon us. A couple days ago we bet on him to hit his OVER and set a line of 15…he went ahead and dropped 44 points. It was an incredible performance that saw him shoot 70% from the field and 80% from three. It was also against Washington. Today the Nets take on the Clippers, who are top ten in defense and specialize in wing defense via Kawhi and Paul George. Cam Thomas will be required to take 16-20 shots, but he won’t shoot 70%. That’s for sure. This is where I think our 15 point line will come in handy. I think a 6-16 night is in order. Mix in a few free throws and we get to our number. But make no mistake. Cam Thomas is a beast.
DeMar DeRozan OVER 19 Points:
You’re going to get pretty horrible odds on this one, so I’d include it in a parlay. The reason I’m setting this line so low is because the Spurs are the worst team in the league (via net ratings ranks). There is tremendous blowout risk involved in this bet, and you don’t want to be betting a high OVER on a player that won’t be playing in the 4th quarter (look at the Wolves and Nuggets last night. All of the stars could’ve been expected a higher point total. DeRozan has hit this number in 7 of the last 8 games, so I feel confident we can hit this one even in a blowout. If you prefer a sweat, another option is to chase some of the higher lines for DeRozan (like 35 points) and bet the UNDER. I think either will put you in a solid position.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OVER 30 Points:
That’s the All-Star, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, to you. What a season this dude is having. He went from being a piece on a tanking team, to being the center-piece on a team that’s going to be a contender in a couple of years. That’s just projection, though. The facts are that Shai has had OVER 30 points in six of his last seven games. The facts are that the Warriors are middle of the road defensively and 1st in the league in pace. Steph Curry is now out for at least the next couple of weeks. While the Thunder are a top ten team defensively. There’s a legitimate shot the Thunder win this one, and inch closer to the playoffs. I expect a big night from Shai.