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South Point 400: NASCAR DFS Picks

The Elite Eight starts with the South Point 400 in Las Vegas and represents another opportunity for DFS players to cash in on the fun.

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Location

  • Las Vegas Motor Speedway

Track Length

  • 1.5 miles

Track Type

  • Intermediate D-shaped Oval

Last 10 Track Winners

  • Spring 2022: Alex Bowman
  • Fall 2021: Denny Hamlin
  • Spring 2021: Kyle Larson
  • Fall 2020: Kurt Busch
  • Spring 2020: Joey Logano
  • Fall 2019: Martin Truex Jr.
  • Spring 2019: Joey Logano
  • Fall 2018: Brad Keselowski
  • Spring 2018: Kevin Harvick
  • Spring 2017: Martin Truex Jr.

Last 10 Track Winners by Model

  • Ford: 4
  • Chevrolet: 3
  • Toyota: 3

South Point 400: NASCAR DFS Picks

One of my favorite things about the NASCAR playoffs happened last week at the Roval. When he took the lead, Christopher Bell was 30 points below the cut line and never looked back.

As the headline of the video states, Kyle Larson was eliminated, meaning NASCAR will have a new Cup Champion in 2022. It’s an exciting time to be a fan and an exciting time to play NASCAR DFS. Here’s a look at who we want as our lineup anchors and builders heading into the South Point 400.

Who is left?

In a typical playoff race, playoff drivers are highly sought after in DFS lineups. This is somewhat obvious as the drivers left are typically quite good while also having the extra motivation to pull out all the stops for a win. However, we are not currently in a typical playoff season. Only two playoff drivers have won playoff races so far.

Let’s pretend things might normalize here. Historically, only playoff drivers have ever won a playoff race at Las Vegas Motor Speedway. With that in mind, here are the eight remaining playoff drivers, their driver ratings at Vegas, and their salaries on each site.

  1. Chase Elliott (105.4): $13,500 FD/$10,700 DK
  2. Joey Logano (106.2): $9,200 FD/$8,900 DK
  3. Ross Chastain (64.8): $11,500 FD/$9,900 DK
  4. Christopher Bell (73.1): $13,000 FD/$10,500 DK
  5. Ryan Blaney (98.5): $10,500 FD/$9,500 DK
  6. William Byron (96.6): $11,000 FD/$9,700 DK
  7. Denny Hamlin (107.2): $14,000 FD/$11,100 DK
  8. Chase Briscoe (60.0): $8,200 FD/$8,100 DK

The safest plays to build your lineups around are Hamlin and Logano. Both have had great recent success in Sin City, and Logano is reasonably priced, given this fact. Blaney is, apparently, determined to win this championship without actually winning a race, but he is always in contention at intermediate 1.5-mile tracks. I also feel like Briscoe is sitting quietly in a corner, eating an apple, and telling us to just keep ignoring him, and he could be an interesting lineup filler.

Following Saturday’s qualifiers and now that the lineup is set, I see some values on the board.

DFS Lineups


FanDuel Values

DriverSalaryQP
Justin Haley$4,00028
Cole Custer$4,50024
Erik Jones$6,20022
Kevin Harvick$8,00013
Martin Truex Jr$10,00027

DraftKings Values

DriverSalaryQP
Justin Haley$5,80028
Erik Jones$7,10022
Martin Truex$9,10027
Kyle Larson$10,30014
Denny Hamlin$11,10031

Denny Hamlin did us all a favor and qualified 31st, which puts him in a prime spot to gain positional points while having a legitimate chance to win the race. Truex has won in Vegas twice in the last two races, and Justin Haley has a bottom-barrel price for a guy with one top-20 finish in three races here.

The following are two lineups, one for each site, that I plan to enter into GPP tournaments today.


FanDuel Lineup

DriverSalaryQP
Denny Hamlin$14,00031
Ross Chastain$11,50011
Ryan Blaney$10,5004
Erik Jones$6,20022
Justin Haley$4,00028
TOTAL$46,200

DraftKings Lineup

DriverSalaryQP
Denny Hamlin$11,10031
Kyle Larson$10,30014
Martin Truex Jr.$9,10027
Erik Jones$7,10022
Justin Haley$5,80028
Todd Gilliland$5,20035
TOTAL$48,600

Buckle up for the 267 miles this afternoon at the South Point 400. It should be fun, and I hope it is profitable for all of you, too. If you want to chat about racing or other fantasy sports, hit me up on Twitter at @wonkypenguin. And, as always, good luck!

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