2024 Fantasy Baseball: Outfield Tiers

To help in your 2024 fantasy baseball draft preparations we’re helping you simplify the long list of outfielders by separating the positional ranks into ten tiers. With each tier, we’ll spotlight the next potential breakout stars as well as bust candidates. Dominate your drafts with 2024 Fantasy Baseball Outfield Tiers along with the ADP for each player as of 2/12 from NFBC.

Whether your league involves three or five outfield roster spots, there’s probably no position more important for your team’s success potential. That’s why it’s no surprise that eight of the first eleven players in our overall rankings are outfield eligible. The good news is that outfield is incredibly deep, so there’s plenty of opportunities to balance your category contributions and ensure depth in your drafts.

2024 Fantasy Baseball Outfield Tiers

Tier 1

1. Ronald Acuna (1)

2. Julio Rodriguez (3)

3. Corbin Carroll (4)

4. Mookie Betts (5)

5. Kyle Tucker (6)

6. Fernando Tatis Jr. (8)

7. Aaron Judge (10)

8. Juan Soto (11)

9. Yordan Alvarez (16)

What an absolutely awesome group here in tier 1. It’s wild that SIX of the top seven players off the board are outfielders, though it explains why there feels like a dearth of options later in the draft. In every draft that we have been part of thus far one of the overarching themes has been scarcity at the OF position. Nothing much to quibble with besides some uncertainty surrounding Carroll’s second-half fade and Alvarez’s always-present injury risk. But honestly, both players’ potential far outweighs those concerns.

TIER 2

10. Luis Robert Jr. (29)

11. Michael Harris II (33)

12. Adolis Garcia (34)

13. Randy Arozarena (45)

14. Cody Bellinger (50)

15. Nolan Jones (53)

16. Mike Trout (65)

17. Jazz Chisholm Jr. (66)

18. Josh Lowe (73)

19. Christian Yelich (74)

Things are still rosy here down in tier 2 of 2024 fantasy baseball outfielders, but almost every player here comes with an asterisk. Only Arozarena and Yelich give any sense of stability. It’s totally fair to be wary of the numbers (and Plate Appearances!) that Robert Jr. and Bellinger put up last season. Harris II had an ABYSMAL first half in 2023 before righting the ship, which version will we be getting in 2024? Garcia was out of his mind in the postseason before bowing out with a strained oblique. The Rangers re-upped him to a two-year contract last week, but the dude will be 31 at the start of the season and obliques are notoriously finicky.

Fantasy managers are apparently all in on Nolan Jones, but there are many numbers from 2024 that make us nervous. The 29.7 strikeout rate, the Batting Average on Balls in Play of .401, and just 424 PAs. Jones is going in the fourth and that’s still a place in the draft where we are looking to get as much cost certainty as possible.  Trout and Chisholm are much lower than in years past, with managers trying to avoid their injury history. But if any players are going to end up a tier higher by the end of the season, it’s them.

TIER 3

20. Kyle Schwarber (84)

21. Bryan Reynolds (88)

22. Nick Castellanos (95)

23. Spencer Steer (97)

24. Lane Thomas (103)

25. Seiya Suzuki (104)

26. Jordan Walker (113)

27. George Springer (117)

28. Evan Carter (124)

29. Cedric Mullins II (135)

This is a fun group, a good mix of reliable vets and some exciting young players. Oh, and one guy that is the epitome of “Selling Out for the Long Ball”. Not hard to see why a lot of drafters will be shopping here. Reynolds, Castellanos, Springer, Mullins, and Suzuki feel like plug-and-plays, guys that will start almost every day and give you a steady supply of category coverage. Thomas had a bit of a coming-out party last season and is a guy who will move up the ranks if he can come close to replicating his 2024. Dude is 28 and probably the last legit power/speed combo at the position, as he smacked 28 homers & swiped 20 bases last season. That leaves us with the shiny new toys, the second-year stars: Walker and Carter. Playing time for both sophomores seems solid and the ceiling is sky-high.

TIER 4

30. Esteury Ruiz (119)

31. Anthony Santander (138)

32. Teoscar Hernandez (139)

33. TJ Friedl (147)

34. Jorge Soler (150)

35. Marcell Ozuna (152)

36. Ian Happ (153)

37. Wyatt Langford (154)

38. Jackson Chourio (159)

39. Chas McCormick (163)

40. Riley Greene (171)

Welcome to tier 4, the Go Big or Go Home tier. You got the Big Boppers in Soler, Hernandez and Ozuna. You have the Ultimate Rabbit in Ruiz. And you have the very interesting quartet of potential stars at the bottom. We have a hunch that the ADPs of Langford and Chourio will continue to creep up as Spring Trainings open across the league. Greene has all the tools of a burgeoning star and apparently has come back all the way from his right elbow surgery. His park sucks but will he take another step (or two?) forward? McCormick, for the time being (but Cody Bellinger is still out there!!), is the starter in CF and had a nice little 2024- 22 HR, 19 SB, .273/.353/.489. That’s a solid find in round 10.

TIER 5

41. Tommy Edman (157)

42. Masataka Yoshida (176)

43. Jarren Duran (181)

44. James Outman (182)

45. Brandon Nimmo (189)

46. Lars Nootbaar (196)

47. Christopher Morel (202)

48. Steven Kwan (203)

49. Daulton Varsho (204)

50. Kerry Carpenter (205)

To borrow a term from one of our favorite pods, Rates & Barrels, oatmeal is the flavor of the day in tier 5. Outside of Morel, Carpenter, and Nootbaar, there is not a lot of upside to be found here. Though that’s not totally a bad thing: If you find yourself in a position where you need some AVG stability, Kwan and Yoshida are premium assets to draft at this point. It feels quite appropriate that Nimmo and Nootbaar are next to each other as the young Cardinal seems like a younger version of the Met: excellent OBP, significant injury concerns, non-zero steals, and some latent power. We’ve been fans of Carpenter since last season and think he’s a sneaky power add.

Morel is such an intriguing player and probably the biggest boom/bust option to be found in the 200s. The raw tools are undeniable: NINETY-NINTH percentile arm speed, 81% sprint speed, and hitting metrics are all ninetieth percentile and higher. However, his plate discipline remains bottom of the barrel. If he can figure out how to shore up some of his swing-and-miss then he could end up being a league-winner. 

TIER 6

51. Taylor Ward (217)

52. Jarred Kelenic (224)

53. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (225)

54. Starling Marte (228)

55. Jack Suwinski (232)

56. Tyler O’Neill (241)

57. Whit Merrifield (242)

58. Luis Rengifo (251)

59. Gavin Lux (253)

Feeling lucky? Tier 6 is where you can place your bets on big breakouts or rebound performances in 2024. This tier features prominent names with Marte and Merrifield as well as several post-hype sleepers, like Kelenic, Lux, and O’Neil. Initial reports from Winter Ball have stated Marte and O’Neill are looking back to full health. Though, Lux in particular has the path to a breakout season paved for him this year with the full-time shortstop role in a loaded Dodger’s lineup. After coming off major knee surgery last season, he has most to prove and the highest level of uncertainty given his limited opportunities in a full-time role so far in his career. Yet, the pedigree is there as a  former top prospect not too long ago and that’s why we have Lux as a top post-hype prospect sleeper this season.

TIER 7

60. Leody Tavares (264)

61. Kris Bryant (266)

62. Nelson Velazquez (270)

63. Max Kepler (271)

64. Bryan De La Cruz (274)

65. Jung Ho Lee (278)

66. MJ Melendez (280)

67. Brendan Donovan (283)

68. Sal Frelick (284)

69. Parker Meadows (287)

70. Jeff McNeil (288)

The seventh tier consists of many players with something to prove heading into 2024. With Bryant and Kepler it’s simply proving the ability to stay healthy to return to previous higher-tier valuations. For others, like Frelick, Lee, and Melendez, it’s simply reaching their upside potential. For that group, limited exposure or plate appearances have created justified uncertainty with earlier tier placements. Lastly, most of the remaining players are seasoned veterans who have flashed their upside but not maintained consistency, especially last season. This time last year De Le Cruz, Donovan, and McNeil were all coming off of standout seasons with high expectations for continued output, which none successfully delivered.

TIER 8

71. Jose Siri (289)

72. Will Benson (290)

73. Brent Rooker (291)

74. Tommy Pham (292)

75. Alex Verdugo (294)

76. Willi Castro (296)

77. Austin Hays (299)

78. Jake Fraley (300)

79. Giancarlo Stanton (308)

80. Henry Davis (311)

81. Matt Wallner (315)

No other tier offers such a unique collection of hitters, featuring Stanton as a perennial 30+ HR producer grouped with several low-power but high-stolen-base standouts. One such standout is Willi Castro, who had 33 steals in just 358 at-bats last year! While consistency is lacking from the player profiles in this tier, it proves very valuable for drafters looking to fill out a category with one last key contributor. Not only can Stanton, Rooker, Fraley, and others help with HR and RBI production, but other players in this tier can bring runs contribution, such as Verdugo, Hays, and Pham.

TIER 9

82. Alek Thomas (321)

83. Brandon Marsh (322)

84. Luke Raley (337)

85. Pete Crow-Armstrong (338)

86. Ezequiel Duran (346)

87. Alex Kirilloff (350)

88. Chris Taylor (351)

89. Garrett Mitchell (360)

90. Ceddanne Rafaela (367)

91. Hunter Renfroe (368)

92. Andrew Benintendi (370)

93. Adam Duvall (376)

94. LaMonte Wade Jr. (380)

95. Jake McCarthy (383)

96. Matt Vierling (387)

97. Wilyer Abreu (388)

Here’s where we find many quality hitters that are limited by their platoon (Wade, Renfroe, and Duvall) or their super-utility status (Taylor, Duran, Abreu, others) putting them in part-time roles. In particular, Wade and Renfroe have proven themselves as consistent performers on a per-game basis.  In daily leagues with five outfielders, they should be elevated up a couple of our outfield tiers.

Two younger players in this tier that could be big risers in 2024, largely driven by their steals potential, include Jake McCarthy and Pete Crow-Armstrong. As we’ve seen with McCarthy in recent seasons, when he has consistent playing time he racks up steals like few others can. However, the question remains as to if his hitting will keep him in the lineup consistently enough. For Crow-Armstrong, we’ve seen his elite speed in the minor leagues and the only question is how it will translate over the majors in his rookie season after a discouraging 0-for-14 start in his pro debut.

TIER 10

98. Ryan O’Hearn (393)

99. Mickey Moniak (395)

99. Jesus Sanchez (396)

101. Johan Rojas (397)

102. Michael Conforto (399)

103. Harrison Bader (405)

104. Jasson Dominguez (416)

105. Mark Canha (425)

106. Mitch Haniger (428)

107. Brenton Doyle (429)

108. Charlie Blackmon (439)

109. Eddie Rosario (453)

110. Joc Pederson (454)

111. Ramon Laureano (462)

112. Seth Brown (469)

113. Colton Cowser (490)

114. Joey Gallo (587)

Before we dismiss this last group in our 2024 outfielder tiers entirely let’s remind ourselves that every year a breakout player arises from the last tier to significantly alter the fantasy season. This list of notable bottom-tier risers includes 2023 breakouts like Jarren Duran, Lane Thomas, and TJ Freidl as well as past year ‘scrubs’ turned into stars like Adolis Garcia, Cedric Mullins II, and Randy Arozarena. Who from this tier list or below could keep the trend going is tricky to predict. Though, likely candidates the obvious top prospects of Jasson Dominguez and Colton Cowser along with the far less hyped Brenton Doyle and Johan Rojas.

For more of the great fantasy baseball rankings and analysis you’ve come to expect from FantraxHQ, check out our full 2024 Fantasy Baseball Draft Kit! We’re here for you all the way up until Opening Day and then on into your championship run.