In this series, I look at dynasty football values and which players are rising and falling. While dynasty football managers are in it for the long haul, it doesn’t mean that their opinions aren’t swung from week to week by good or bad fantasy performances. I will attempt to get an early read on the pulse of the Dynasty Community to see where players’ values are moving.
Feel free to comment or reach out to me on Twitter/X at (@jtorange) with any comments, insightful nuggets, or questions.
Week 11 Dynasty Fantasy Football Risers and Fallers
Risers
Baker Mayfield, QB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
It has been quite a journey for Baker Mayfield. His ups and downs in the league are well-documented. After things went sour in Cleveland after four years, Mayfield was moved to Carolina, where he struggled in limited action before being cut. He got a chance to get a few spot starts with the Los Angeles Rams. Mayfield did well enough in those starts to get a chance to compete for the starting job in Tampa Bay the next season.
Mayfield had an incredible comeback season in 2023, throwing for a career-high 4,044 yards with 28 touchdowns and 10 interceptions while leading the Buccaneers to a NFC South Division Championship and a first-round upset of the Philadelphia Eagles. In two playoff games, Mayfield threw for 686 yards with six touchdowns and two interceptions.
The Bucs rewarded Mayfield with a five-year, $100 million contract.
Mayfield came out on fire in 2024. He has thrown for 2,505 yards with 24 touchdowns and nine interceptions with a career-high QB Rating of 103.6. Entering Week 11, Mayfield was fifth in the league in passing yards and tied for first in passing touchdowns.
Mayfield has led one of the league’s best offenses, despite a litany of injuries, including a season-ending injury to Chris Godwin, who was having a career year, and Mike Evans, who has missed multiple games with a hamstring injury. Tampa Bay is still eighth in the league in offensive yards per game (361.5) and fifth in scoring (27.9).
In September 2023, Mayfield’s ADP was 239 entering the season. He has now jumped to an ADP of 143 in October 2024. Mayfield looks to have solidified himself as a real asset in Superflex leagues. He is a legitimate QB1 in the league.
Tyrone Tracy Jr., RB, New York Giants
The path to success has been an unlikely one for New York Giants rookie running back Tyrone Tracy Jr. He started his career as a wide receiver at Iowa playing from 2018-2021. His best statistical season was in 2019, his redshirt freshman season, where he had 36 receptions for 589 yards and three touchdowns with six rushes for 39 yards and one touchdown in 13 games. But Tracy wouldn’t see much success over the next two seasons and eventually transferred to Purdue in 2022. After splitting time as a wide receiver and running back during his first season in West Lafayette, Tracy moved to running back full time for his last collegiate season. That’s when Tracy took off. He rushed 113 times for 716 yards (6.3 yards per carry) and eight touchdowns. He also continued to be a threat in the passing game with 19 catches for 132 yards.
Coming into the 2024 NFL Draft, Tracy was viewed as a running back who could fit in well with an NFL team because of his multitude of abilities. Besides the ability to play running back or wide receiver, he also could play special teams as a kick or punt returner. Tracy eventually came off the board in round five with 31st pick of the round.
Tracy was considered the Giants third-string running back entering the season. Newly acquired Devin Singletary was expected to fill the void left by franchise great Saquon Barkley who decided to sign with the rival Philadelphia Eagles in the offseason. Singletary was expected to be backed up by second-year running back Eric Gray.
Singletary handled a majority of the workload in the first four weeks of the season leading the team with 56 carries for 221 yards and two touchdowns. But Singletary missed the next two games with an injury, and that opened the door for Tracy.
He literally ran with the opportunity, rushing for a season-high 129 yards on 18 carries against the Seahawks. The next week against the Bengals, he rushed for another 50 yards and his first career touchdown. Since taking over as the starter in Week 5, Tracy has rushed for 516 of his 545 yards this season. Included in that six-game stretch are three 100+ yard rushing games and three touchdowns. He has also caught 18 balls for 117 yards and returned three kickoffs for 61 yards this season.
Tracy’s ADP was 177 in July following the NFL Draft. His value has risen ever since. His current ADP is 134. I would expect that to rise as he continues to be the Giants workhorse. With the Giants’ struggles at quarterback and the possibility that the team looks to draft a new QB next season to replace embattled starter Daniel Jones, Tracy currently seems like one of the few dynasty fantasy football options outside of Malik Nabers on this team.
Fallers
Keenan Allen, WR, Chicago Bears
Keenan Allen has been pretty good throughout his career. He helped a young Justin Herbert blossom in Los Angeles to become a very highly coveted fantasy quarterback.
The Chargers decided to move on from Allen in the offseason and there were hopes that him being traded to the Bears would help unleash rookie quarterback Caleb Williams.
There were off-season reports that Allen had gained weight and was a bit out of shape. For those holding onto Allen or those who acquired him in the offseason, they were hoping for one or two more quality seasons for Allen.
Well, things are going downhill really quickly. The Bears are in a freefall after looking pretty good to start the season, and Allen isn’t immune to the drop-off. After catching 108 passes for 1,243 yards and seven touchdowns in 13 games last season for the Chargers, Allen has only 26 receptions for 241 yards and two touchdowns in seven games.
Allen’s value is plummeting. He has dropped in ADP as high as 46 in October 2023. Now just a year later his ADP is 108. Over 60 spots in one year! That’s a massive decline and I think it is just going to continue to fall.
Diontae Johnson, WR, Baltimore Ravens
When the Steelers traded Diontae Johnson to the Carolina Panthers in the offseason it was a downgrade in team, but was thought to maybe be an upgrade in fantasy opportunity. Johnson was expected to be a target hog for the Panthers. They were expected to be a bad team playing from behind most of the season. Meaning Carolina’s offense would be throwing, throwing, and throwing some more. Johnson was expected to get as many as 140 targets.
Well, the Panthers are as bad as everyone thought they would be, but things haven’t quite gone the way we expected. While the Panthers are 3-7 and one of the 10 worst teams in the league, the offense has been a complete mess outside of running back Chuba Hubbard, who is having a career year. Second-year quarterback Bryce Young has actually been worse than his rookie season, so much so that 14-year veteran Andy Dalton replaced him in Week 3 of the season. Young returned to the starting lineup in Week 8. But at that point, the Panthers were already 1-7, and the season looked pretty much lost.
The Panthers decided to trade Johnson away after Week 8 to the Ravens in a pick swap. Baltimore sent a sixth-round pick in 2025 to the Panthers for a fifth-round pick in 2025. During his short time in Carolina, Johnson had 30 catches for 357 yards and three touchdowns in seven games.
At first glance, this looked like a nice move as Johnson was now joining one of the league’s best offenses. But looking at the numbers, it isn’t a great spot for wide receiver production.
Second-year wide receiver Zay Flowers is having a great season. Rashod Bateman is having his best year and Mark Andrews is starting to pick it up.
In two weeks with the Ravens, Johnson has one catch on two targets for six yards. It’s not a great start, and there isn’t a lot of indication that it’s going to get better. Johnson’s contract is up after the season, and he is most likely not going to re-sign with the Ravens. Who knows where he could end up next season.
Whether he can get back to the wide receiver he was early on in his career with the Steelers or if this is the beginning of the end for Johnson as a legitimate fantasy wide receiver. His ADP hasn’t dropped yet but now would be the time to sell Johnson if you can. If he has a big week soon, sell, sell, sell.