In the 2025 drafts, you’ll notice that well-rounded outfielders are spread fairly evenly throughout the top 150 ADP across all formats. However, just beyond that, there’s a clear drop in overall quality. In this post, I’ll highlight a few outfield sleepers who typically fall below pick 275—solid players with strong potential to reward fantasy baseball managers willing to take a late shot on them. These under-the-radar options could provide significant value as the draft progresses.
Top 2025 Outfield Sleepers
Wilyer Abreu – Boston Red Sox
I have had my eye out for Wilyer Abreu since he got called up in late ’23, and it’s time for more people to give him credit. Abreu’s batted ball metrics are what excite me the most. His 50.5% Hard Hit rate puts him at the 94th percentile and paired with his 86th percentile Average EV, 85th percentile Bat Speed, and 76th percentile Barrel Rate, he finds himself right next to Rafael Devers as a top-quality contact hitter on the Red Sox. He walks at a decent 8.9% clip and is not chasing too much, either. He does a great job limiting weak contact and driving the ball to all parts of the field.
This season, he’ll look towards improving on his results against changeups, holding a lackluster .201 xBA and -5 Run Value, while also cutting down on his Whiff and Strikeout rates, both in the bottom 20th percentile. It’ll also be significant as to how he can respond to his righty vs. lefty splits, as he batted 86 points higher while facing RHPs.
It’ll be interesting to see how the Red Sox Outfield pans out, with top prospect Roman Anthony looking to break camp, but it is looking like Abreu will certainly get his fair share of opportunities. On 2025 draft boards, in terms of potential outfield sleepers, Abreu finds himself near Jo Adell, Matt Wallner, and Brandon Marsh, hitters that don’t share the same weaponry as Beantown’s quality piece in Right Field.
Trevor Larnach – Minnesota Twins
I’ve spent quite some time thinking about Larnach’s potential for the 2025 season, especially considering the meteoric rise of young stud Emmanuel Rodriguez in the Twins’ farm system. But with Manuel Margot and Max Kepler hitting free agency, Alex Kiriloff’s retirement, and Rodriguez’s injury-prone habits (especially a recent right-thumb surgery), Larnach will have many opportunities to contribute alongside Matt Wallner and Byron Buxton in their outfield corps. The biggest thing will be Larnach’s health, as he’s only played 300 games across his first four seasons (due to both injuries and competition in a previously crowded Twins outfield). At any rate, here are his stats.
In Larnach’s first 400-PA season (2024), he put up a .259/.338/.434 slash line with 15 homers and 52 RBIs. Not a bad season by any means, but his percentile rankings are what jump off the screen. Larnach had a .336 wOBA and .345 xwOBA (82nd percentile), 90th percentile Average EV, xSLG in the 80th percentile, and Barrel, Hard-Hit, and LA Sweet Spot rates hovering around 70th percentile.
When given opportunities, Larnach is easily one of, if not the best, quality contact hitters in the Twins’ lineup. He pulls balls a few percentage points above the 37.2% league average, and his 44% Ground Ball rate could drop a bit. However, he compensates with top-tier Weak% and elite Batting Run Value results for swing/takes. Fantasy players should take advantage of his current ADP of 356 on NFC in every format; Larnach is an amazing sleeper pick this year.
Andrew Benintendi – Chicago White Sox
Benintendi makes a nice case as one of my top outfield sleepers in 2025. When looking at his 2024 metrics, Benintendi’s 31.9 Squared Up% was at the 93rd percentile, while his Chase and Whiff rates were at the 72nd and 70th percentiles, respectively. His Exit Velocity (EV) rates were also the second highest of his nine-year career. His .229 average marks a significant drop compared to his previous .262 and .304 in 2022. He also produced a career-low BABIP, which undoubtedly caused his decline in hitting. Nevertheless, his RBIs, SLG, and Home Runs tipped back up significantly from 2023. Benintendi’s top-notch All-Star seasons may be behind him, but in 2025, he will act as a nice combo of OBP, Runs, and RBIs in fantasy leagues. His exceptional plate discipline, production at the plate, and key placement alongside Luis Robert and Andrew Vaughn in the lineup evidence this.
Benintendi hit .305 in 65 PAs when he batted sixth and .275 in the 161 PAs batting third, his top two slots, so we will look to see more of those results in 2025. Positioned at pick 371 according to NFC ADP, I would easily sweep him up as a late-round flyer.
Jacob Young – Washington Nationals
Young stands out as a funky outfield sleeper, given that most of his contact metrics are exceptionally low. He ranks in the bottom 10 for Barrel, Hard Hit, LA Sweet Spot, and Bat Speed percentiles, and his 4th percentile xSLG is equally uninspiring. However, his Squared-Up% ranks within the top 35 in the MLB at the 85th percentile.
Young is much better suited to being a scrappy, all-around player with excellent plate discipline. His Whiff rate is barely above 19 percent and has Zone Contact and Strikeout rates much better than the league averages. His most attractive trait is his speed. He boasts Sprint Speed in the 97th percentile. He also recorded 33 steals in his 150-game 2024 season. Despite his underlying metrics, Young finished 2024 with a .256/.316/.331 slash line. There were no significant discrepancies between his realized and expected statistics. His platoon splits are solid, he hit relatively well with RISP, and his xwOBA, xBA, and Launch Angle all improved from 2023.
Young will carry the most value in category leagues due to his base-running skills. With a 337 ADP and his solid on-base history, I’d take my chances on him this season.
Got a couple outfield sleepers of your own? Drop some names in the comments below and then check out more from our 2025 Fantasy Baseball Kit! We’ll be adding more rankings and analysis all the way up until Opening Day.