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Trend Tracking: What to Make of Lucchesi and Alcantara?

The season’s almost over. For some owners, the playoffs are underway or there’s room for jockeying in roto categories over the next two weeks. Not everyone can be so fortunate though. Many owners have to turn their attention to 2019, considering keepers in dynasty leagues or getting a much-too-early head start in preparing for redraft leagues.The past couple weeks, I’ve tried to balance those differing interests by highlighting young players who could be viable contributors down the stretch while highlighting adjustments…

Trend Tracking: Looking for Exit Velocity Upticks

It’s the home stretch, with many owners more aggressive on the wire than ever as the season winds down. With September upon us, the schedule and a player’s recent performance are more meaningful than at any other point of the season. With that in mind, I'd like to take a look at a few hitters who Statcast tells us have been amping up their exit velocity recently. Ryan Zimmerman Zimmerman may already be owned in your league- but if he’s not, he needs to be immediately. Since returning from the disabled list July 20,…

Trend Tracking: It’s Too Soon to Cut Bait on Junior Guerra

I detoured last week and looked at a few one-category buys for the stretch run. This week, though, back to an adjustment post, looking at a veteran pitcher going through a bit of a dry spell in Milwaukee. At age 33 with a 5.18 ERA since the All-Star Break, it’d be easy to feel that Junior Guerra is wilting down the stretch. I wouldn’t buy him in dynasty, but I’d hold or add him in redraft leagues for the stretch run, as added deception has enabled him to post some interesting peripherals amidst the miserable results. The…

Trend Tracking: The Case of Derek Holland and His Changing Release Points

Fantasy seasons are coming down the home stretch, but there's always room for a late-season waiver addition to push a team over the top. Today, Derek Holland, a starter who's having quiet success after a notable mechanical adjustment yet remains unowned in over half of Fantrax's leagues. Derek Holland Allow me to begin by showing Holland’s strikeout rates by month (courtesy of Fangraphs).March/April: 23.6% May: 16.2% June: 28.2% July: 29.9% August: 22%He’s taken a step back in his two August starts, but the…