The Philadelphia Phillies had quite a year in 2022, making it to the World Series. It was impressive that they were able to do this without moving top prospects in the organization. With strong draft results over the last four seasons, the Phillies have been able to rebuild what was a barren system for years. I’m not saying this is one of MLB’s elite farm systems but there are some exciting prospects in the lower minors who could pop as they climb the organizational ladder. If you are in deeper dynasty leagues check out my 1-64 prospect rankings on the Phillies organization only on the Weekly Streamer Patreon. Directly below I’ll dive into the top 10 Philadelphia Phillies prospects to target in dynasty leagues and further down the page you can find the Top 30.
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Top 10 Philadelphia Phillies Prospects
Andrew Painter, RHP AA
(22 GS, 103.2 IP, 155 k, 25 BB, .181 AVG, 1.56 ERA in 2022)
The Phillies seem to have a gem in Andrew Painter who took a step forward in his first professional season in 2022. At 6’7” and 215 pounds, Painter is an intimidating pitcher on the mound and showed his dominance across three levels. Combining Painter’s time in Clearwater (A-), Jersey Shore (A+), and Reading (AA), the right-hander had a 13.28 K/9 while only walking 25 batters in 103.2 innings. Painter’s high-velocity fastball touches 100 mph while sitting around 96 mph deep into starts, while the plus slider and change-up are devastating out pitches.
BEAST MODE 😤 Andrew Painter was on fire for five scoreless frames!
5 IP | 3 H | 0 R | 1 BB | 9 SO, 72 pitches pic.twitter.com/lwD2paEUIx
— Reading Fightin Phils (@ReadingFightins) September 10, 2022
Along with these offerings Painter will pepper in a 78 MPH curveball that has solid movement but lacks consistency. It looked like Painter was set to grab the Phillies’ fifth rotation spot out of spring training until he sprained the UCL in his right elbow. Both Painter and the Phillies opted to try to rest, though the thought of Tommy John looms in the corner like a bad dream we have seen so often. Andrew Painter was my number one pitching prospect coming into the season, but until he comes back from this Sprained UCL, I’m wary and have him behind Grayson Rodriguez for the time being with Gavin Williams hot on their tail.
Mick Abel, RHP AA
(12 GS, 55.2 IP, 64 K, 32 BB, .196 AVG, 4.53 ERA)
Taken out of high school in the first round of the 2020 MLB draft, Mick Abel was one of the most highly touted prep arms and fell into the laps of the Phillies at 15th overall. Standing at 6’5” and 190 pounds, Abel has a starter’s build and a solid three-pitch mix with a mid-90s four-seam fastball, a devastating curveball, and a solid change-up with good tumble and fade. Abel is now in his third season with the Phillies organization and some concerns about his command and control are starting to creep up for me.
📝PHI RHP Mick Abel has been solid this season striking out 64 batters in 55.2 IP with a .196 AVG and a 4.53 ERA in AA Reading. Velo has ticked back up to 97 mph and the breaking pitches are looking nasty. #RingTheBell @mickabel13 @ReadingFightins https://t.co/GBpNe0Kxql
— Richard Haake (@Mustbethehawk) June 28, 2023
This season Abel has a 5.17 BB/9 which is the second-highest of his career. To be clear, Abel has never had a BB/9 below 4.01 at any stop in the minor leagues. On top of that, Abels’s FIP at each stop tells a tale that he should have been worse than his numbers indicate. Do not get me wrong, Abel is still a solid pitcher with strong strikeout numbers throughout his minor league career, but he might not be the SP2 we were all thinking of. I would put Abel’s ceiling at a SP3-SP4 for dynasty purposes and hopefully, he can get the walks under control in his final push to the majors.
Carlos De La Cruz, OF AA
(65 GP, .299/.372/.509, 14 HR, 48 R, 37 RBI, 1 SB)
One of the most exciting Phillies prospects has to be Carlos De La Cruz. Standing at 6’8” and 210 pounds, De La Cruz is a beast of a man with 70-grade raw power (20-80 scale). Carlos has put his power on full display over the last two seasons crushing 17 home runs in 102 games in 2022 and now 14 in only 65 games at Double-A Reading this season. De La Cruz retooled his swing at the beginning of the 2022 season and has only gotten better.
📝📈I am ALL IN on PHI OF Carlos De La Cruz! 6’8” beast! In AA Reading he is slashing .299/.372/.509 with 14 HR, 48 R, 37 RBI and 1 SB in 65 GP. Over his last two seasons 31 HR, 98 R and 84 RBIs in 167 GP grab him now! #Ringthebell @ReadingFightins https://t.co/rpy5aHLUZi
— Richard Haake (@Mustbethehawk) June 28, 2023
This year De La Cruz is slashing .299/.372/.509, picking up where he left off last season after batting .278/.315/.510. Limiting the strikeout percentage to 24% while increasing the walk rate to 8.2% has been encouraging for Carlos De La Cruz. This season he has 28 extra-base hits, no doubt being helped in large part by the increase in his line drive rate to 20.3%. To this point, Carlos De La Cruz has slid under the radar, but with his improvements in Double-A this season, he very well could be pushing top 100 lists in no time.
Johan Rojas, OF AA
(66 GP, .317/.375/.468, 6 HR, 49 R, 38 RBI, 26 SB)
If stolen bases are what you are after in your dynasty leagues, Johan Rojas has upside you can’t deny. Currently repeating Double-A, Rojas has improved over last season as he is slashing .317/.375/.468. In 66 games played Rojas has 16 doubles, four triples, and six home runs, good for 26 of his 114 hits coming as an extra-base hit.
📝📈PHI OF Johan Rojas just keeps getting it done! In 66 GP in AA this season Rojas is slashing .317/.375/.468 with 6 HR, 49 R, 38 RBI and 26 SB. A strong 16.5% strikeout rate and 7.1% walk rate makes him the ideal lead off candidate in Philly for years to come. #ringthebell https://t.co/xEImwjHLDX
— Richard Haake (@Mustbethehawk) June 28, 2023
As he has done for his entire minor league career, Rojas has maintained a 16.5% strikeout rate with a 7.1% walk rate, making him an ideal leadoff hitter in the future. Now for what you are most likely excited about; the stolen base potential. Rojas has been a threat on the base paths since he arrived in the Phillies organization but has taken off over the last three seasons. This year he has 26 stolen bases in 34 attempts. Rojas has 155 stolen bases in 191 attempts for his carer.
This profile reminds me a lot of Boston Red Sox speedster Jarren Duran without the higher strikeout numbers. Johan Rojas is an excellent prospect to keep in your dynasty toolbox as a player that can thrive in a leadoff role in the majors.
Justin Crawford, OF A
(46 GP, .346/.395/.456, 0 HR, 34 R, 32 RBI, 32 SB)
Coming out of a stacked high school draft where we saw several “sons” of former MLB All-Stars and HOF players, Justin Crawford was selected 17th overall by the Phillies. Like his father, Justin is touted for his excellent bat-to-ball skills and elite speed. So far Crawford has shown solid plate discipline, with a 6.9 BB% and just a striking out 17.3 K%.
🏃♂️💨PHI OF Justin Crawford has the speed! In 46 GP Crawford has a .346/.395/.456 slash with 34 R, 32 RBI and 32 SB in 36 attempts. Tack on a 6.9% BB% and a 17.3% K% you can’t help but say he’s going to fair well in the city of brotherly love! #ringthebell @Justincrawfordd https://t.co/SnZqjbak16
— Richard Haake (@Mustbethehawk) June 28, 2023
Despite not yet hitting his first career home run, Crawford has hit the ball hard, compiling 10 doubles, and five triples in his 63 total hits. Right now Justin Crawford is just a slash-and-dash type of player who has 32 stolen bases in 36 attempts so far this season. With Justin Crawford slashing .346/.395/.456 it’s just a matter of time before he gets the bump up to High-A Jersey Shore.
Griff McGarry, RHP AA
(8 GS, 24.1 IP, 31 K, 17 BB, .218 AVG, 4.07 ERA)
Before spring training, Griff McGarry was getting some love industry-wide for the solid numbers he posted during the 2022 season. Across three levels, McGarry struck out 130 batters in 87.1 innings with a .177 average against and a 3.71 ERA in 27 appearances (19 starts). Impressive numbers for the right-hander and he has been effective this season as well. The Phillies started McGarry in Low-A for one start where he pitched just one inning. After this, they promoted McGarry back to Double-A Reading where he has been solid with an 11.19 K/9 in 23.1 innings.
📝🤔PHI RHP Griff McGarry has some nasty stuff! In 7 starts in AA McGarry has 29 Ks in 23.1 IP (11.19 K/9) with a .186 AVG and a 3.86 ERA. Watch the movement of the slider and you’ll see the best has yet to come! #Ringthebell @UVABaseball @griffmcg3 @ReadingFightins https://t.co/6t7lOfglrd
— Richard Haake (@Mustbethehawk) June 28, 2023
What has continued to be McGarry’s Achilles heel has been the walks to this point and the 6.56 BB/9 this season is not a step in the right direction. Griff has been a fly ball pitcher this season in Reading settling at 52.7%. This is significantly different than his career 36.12% fly ball percentage has been. Despite this, he has kept the ball in the park limiting the HR/FB rate to only 6.9%. With three plus pitch offering the command and control will be the determining factor on whether McGarry will remain a starter or end up in the Phillies bullpen long term.
Casey Martin, SS AA
(62 GP, .294/.361/.459, 7 HR, 35 R, 30 RBI, 17 SB)
Selected out of the University of Arkansas in the third round of the 2020 MLB draft, Casey Martin had the power/speed profile the Phillies were looking for. It has been a slow rise for Martin who has struggled with the bat over the last two seasons. This year we are getting a glimpse into what the Phillies might have seen all along. Martin started the season back in High-A Jersey Shore, slashing .280/.367/.456 with six home runs, 27 runs scored, 21 RBIs, and 16 stolen bases in 52 games played. With the BlueClaws, Martin walked 11.1% of the time while striking out at a 24.5% rate.
📝📈PHI SS Casey Martin has been putting up fantastic numbers this season! In 62 GP .294/.361/.459 with 7 HR, 35 R, 30 RBI and 17 SB. 11.1% walk rate and 24.5% K rate while in A+ before the bump to Reading! #Ringthebell @cmartin15_ @PhilsPlayerDev https://t.co/hIb19xDM3X
— Richard Haake (@Mustbethehawk) June 28, 2023
Currently with the Reading Fightin Phils, Martin is slashing .308/.356/.462 with one home run, 8 runs scored, 9 RBIs, and one stolen base in 10 games. Martin continues to show the plate discipline he displayed in High-A, walking 8.9% while striking out 26.7%. What has stood out about his numbers is he is hitting the ball in the air more, resulting in more power and extra-base hits so far this season. This is an encouraging season for Martin and with his struggles before this season, I would not be surprised if you can get him on the cheap from a dynasty manager not up on what he has done so far.
Ethan Wilson, OF AA
(53 GP, .267/.320/.510, 11 HR, 32 R, 37 RBI, 5 SB)
The Phillies selected Ethan Wilson in the second round of the 2021 MLB Draft out of South Alabama. It has been a rough go for Ethan Wilson since 2021, as the numbers have not materialized until now. Wilson is taking good at-bats this season and has maintained a 6.1% walk rate as well as a solid 21.5% strikeout rate at Double-A Reading. Wilson is seeing improved power numbers this year. His home-run-to-fly-ball rate has jumped from 5.6% at High-A Jersey Shore to 15.7% in Reading. He’s also in a new home ballpark and division. Reading has been known to be a hitter-friendly ballpark in seasons past.
📝💣PHI OF Ethan Wilson has been tapping into the power we hoped for! In 53 GP he has 11 HR and 37 RBIs while slashing .267/.320/.510. Good gains for Wilson. #ringthebell @SouthAlabamaBSB @PhilsPlayerDev https://t.co/RTeeTX0WKC
— Richard Haake (@Mustbethehawk) June 28, 2023
Coming out of South Alabama, Ethan Wilson was viewed as a power-speed corner outfield type. So far this season, the speed has not translated into effective base stealing. The five stolen bases thus far have been nice but to steal five bases in nine attempts leaves much to be desired. It should be noted that Wilson swiped 26 stolen bases in 35 attempts in 2022, so he could get back to higher stolen base totals. So who is Ethan Wilson for fantasy purposes? Right now he would be a fourth outfielder for me, which doesn’t hold much fantasy value. Though if he continues to raise the power output to 25-30 HR and show 25-SB speed, that would change the conversation drastically.
Cristian Hernandez, RHP AA
(19 GP, 3 GS, 28.2 IP, 33 K, 10 BB, .255 AVG, 2.51 ERA)
Hernandez has a starter’s build at 6’3” and, to this point in his minor league career, has put up solid numbers as he has risen slowly up the ladder. It appears on the surface that the Phillies are not sure what to do with Cristian as he has been deployed as a starter 42 times in 81 games over four seasons.
From the game log it appears that he is being deployed as an opener, making it reasonable to believe he will be a reliever long-term. With a 10.36 K/9 this season and a 3.14 BB/9 Hernandez has put together a solid season thus far. One of the only knocks would be the home runs given up. Though as I said with Ethan Wilson, Reading is known to be a bit of a hitters haven so I expect that number to come down. Hernandez is not a bad option to have in your minor league system for future bullpen help as he has been solid to this point. I just hold out hope they could convert him back to a starter and be a bit more fantasy-relevant.
Gabriel Rincones Jr., OF A+
(60 GP, .254/.367/.412, 5 HR, 39 R, 26 RBI, 25 SB)
The Phillies’ third-round draft pick in 2022 has already ascended two levels this season. Rincones has shown solid plate discipline with a 10.1 BB% between Low-A and High-A Jersey Shore. Twenty of his 58 hits have come as extra-base hits. Some of these stats are boosted by the plus speed Rincones has been able to display out of the box as well as on the base paths.
📝💥PHI OF Gabriel Rincones Jr has been solid in A- Clearwater and A+ Jersey Shore. In 60 GP .254/.367/.412 with 5 HR, 39 R, 26 RBI with 25 SB in 29 attempts. Bring on the speed! #Ringthebell @GaBeRincones @BlueClaws https://t.co/iLR32GSn9i
— Richard Haake (@Mustbethehawk) June 28, 2023
In 29 attempts Rinones has 25 stolen bases, making him an exciting prospect for dynasty purposes. The Phillies appear to cherish prospects that bring a power/speed profile that morphs into a contact speed profile in-game action. Gabriel Rincones Jr. fits that profile and should continue to get the push through the system as long as the bat stays solid.
Top 30 Phillies Prospects
Rnk | Player | Pos | Age | ETA | Overall Rnk |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Andrew Painter | RHP | 20 | 2024 | 9 |
2 | Mick Abel | RHP | 21 | 2024 | 75 |
3 | Carlos De La Cruz | OF | 23 | 2024 | 785 |
4 | Johan Rojas | OF | 22 | 2023 | 303 |
5 | Justin Crawford | OF | 19 | 2026 | 117 |
6 | Griff McGarry | RHP | 23 | 2023 | 282 |
7 | Casey Martin | OF | 24 | 2024 | 845 |
8 | Ethan Wilson | OF | 23 | 2024 | 688 |
9 | Cristian Hernandez | RHP | 22 | 2024 | 641 |
10 | Gabriel Rincones | OF | 22 | 2026 | 713 |
11 | Jesus Caba | SS | 17 | 2027 | 637 |
12 | Jhailyn Ortiz | OF | 24 | 2023 | 346 |
13 | Rickardo Perez | C | 19 | 2026 | 683 |
14 | Hao Yu Lee | 2B | 20 | 2025 | 297 |
15 | William Bergolla | SS | 18 | 2026 | 556 |
16 | Tyler McKay | RHP | 25 | 2023 | NR |
17 | Marcus Lee Sang | OF | 22 | 2025 | NR |
18 | Baron Radcliff | OF | 24 | 2024 | NR |
19 | Jordi Martinez | LHP | 22 | 2025 | 1018 |
20 | Emaarion Boyd | OF | 19 | 2026 | 1176 |
21 | Simon Muzziotti | OF | 24 | Debuted | 727 |
22 | Rixon Wingrove | 1B | 23 | 2025 | NR |
23 | McKinley Moore | RHP | 24 | Debuted | 1016 |
24 | Hans Crouse | RHP | 24 | Debuted | 620 |
25 | Alex McFarlane | RHP | 22 | 2026 | 838 |
26 | Kendall Simmons | 2B/3B | 23 | 2025 | NR |
27 | Raylin Heredia | OF | 19 | 2026 | NR |
28 | Adilson Peralta | RHP | 20 | 2027 | NR |
29 | Gunner Mayer | RHP | 22 | 2025 | NR |
30 | Samuel Aldegheri | LHP | 21 | 2025 | NR |
If you enjoyed Rick’s look at the Top 30 New York Mets Prospects, make sure to check out all of his Organizational Prospect Rankings series.