Our 2022-23 Top 10 Point Guard Rankings for H2H Points Scoring & H2H Categories Scoring. We breakdown which primary ball handlers sit atop our fantasy rankings to help you win your league. We expect breakout performances for certain young guards to claim their spot as an elite fantasy option. Find out what we think below. Also make sure to check out our full 2022-23 Fantasy Basketball Rankings.
Head to Head Points Scoring Rankings
1. Luka Doncic
The 23-year-old finished last regular season with averages of 28.4 points, 9.1 rebounds, 8.7 assists and 1.2 steals in 35.4 minutes across 65 appearances. It’s his third consecutive All-NBA First Team selection, and he also finished fifth in MVP voting. Luka magic finally gets a reliable scoring option adding stretch big, Christian Wood, who could help space the floor to create more opportunities for the MVP caliber phenom. My main reservations about Luka not cracking top 3 would be his high volume of shots taken despite having a poor shooting night.
2. Trae Young
Trae Young tied Luka Doncic in scoring at 28.4 PPG, but how will the addition of Dejounte Murray affect Atlanta’s fifth-year point guard? Young ranked third in the NBA with 9.7 APG, barely ahead of Murray himself. He shot free throws with over a 90% rate and averaged a career-best in 3P accuracy (38.2%). Young’s 4.0 turnovers per game is concerning, as is his ceiling with Murray now residing in Atlanta’s backcourt. Dejounte’s play making abilities and elite pass deflecting will open more offensive firepower for Ice Trae to do work.
3. Ja Morant
One of my bold predictions: Ja Morant cracks the top 7 in Fantasy Points per Game. The elite Memphis point guard enters his fourth season as a Top 3 fantasy basketball option at the guard position. Ja Morant was the unquestioned leader of a Memphis team that produced an 18-win improvement from the prior season, while advancing to the second round of the NBA playoffs. Averaging 27.4 points, 5.7 rebounds, 6.7 assists, 1.2 steals, while shooting 49.3 percent from the field, Morant is now an elite fantasy producer when healthy
4. LaMelo Ball
One of the Fantasy Hoops breakout candidates and skyrocketing to the 11th overall in a H2H Scoring league, LaMelo Ball. Ball solidified himself as a top-15 fantasy value this season and could climb higher with a better free throw percentage. Melo saw an increase across all statistical categories last season while shooting over 38% from downtown, (finishing with 40 FPPG. I expect an even bigger jump going into year 3 and project Melo to finish with 24 points per game while increasing his assists to 8 plus. Grab Melo in the early 2nd round without hesitation.
5. Steph Curry
Chef Curry sits atop the list for most made threes in NBA history. I predict the human torch to finish next season above last year’s 25.5 points per game after he cooled off down the stretch. A healthy Klay Thompson and a rising Jordan Poole will help take the attention from defenders to let Steph do what he does best – shoot the rock.
6. Damian Lillard
Last time we saw a healthy Dame Dolla back in 2020-21 he posted All NBA stat-lines averaging 29 PPG, 7.5 APG, & 4 rebounds while shooting 45% from FG, 40% from downtown and 93% from the charity stripe.
Few players have been as consistent as Lillard over the last decade, hopefully we can chalk off last year as an outlier as Dame went through a season-ending abdominal surgery. Post surgery reports have come out with Dame saying he is pain-free for the first time in the last 4 years. Before season’s one-off injury stint Dame Dolla averaged 72 games per season in the last 4 seasons.
7. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
There are a few point guard ceilings as high as SGA – the biggest questions come down to health and Thunder’s commitment to playing their young stars down the stretch rather than tank for higher picks. Playing almost 35 MPG, Gilgeous-Alexander averaged 24.5 PPG, 5.0 RPG, and 5.9 APG, while contributing over two blocks/steals per night. Shai can provide 2nd round value no problem – aside from the risk of shelving him if the Thunder is out of reach from making the playoffs.
8. Tyrese Haliburton
Another Fantasy Hoops favorite and breakout candidate comes from one of the game’s elite guard defenders and distributors, Tyrese Haliburton. The 22-year-old ranked second in total steals (134) and fourth in assists (628) despite a mid-season trade from Sacramento to Indiana. After spending a full offseason with the Indiana Pacers, Hali should see an increase in offensive involvement while also building chemistry with the young Pacers team. Tyrese has top 20 upside with a safe 3rd round value floor.
9. Kyrie Irving
By now, we know the red flags that come with Irving. He’s unquestionably a first-round talent, but injuries and personal factors have caused him to miss significant time in five straight seasons.
10. De’aaron Fox
Fox is set up for the best year of his career after his fellow backcourt mate and rising star Haliburton was traded to the Pacers. Fox has top 30 Fantasy upside but needs to work on his three-point percentage (29%) and free throw (75%), while also averaging 3+ TO a game. If Fox can improve these areas then lock him in for a strong fantasy season as the King look to break their playoff drought this year.
Head-to-Head Category Scoring Rankings
1. Luka Doncic (ADP 5th overall)
Luka led the league in usage rate last season at 37.8 and I don’t see that changing this season. The Mavs will continue to heavily rely on Luka on a nightly basis especially with the departure of Jalen Brunson. He averaged 28 points, 9 rebounds with 8 assists and if he continues to improve his shooting percentages along with decreasing his turnovers there’s no doubt he finishes as the top point guard in fantasy next season.
2. Trae Young (ADP 7th overall)
Trae finished the season with the fourth highest usage rate 34.6 and sixth in player efficiency rating 29.9. He finished as the top point guard in fantasy last season averaging career highs across all shooting categories 46% FG, 38.2% 3PT and 90.4% FT. Even with the arrival of Dejounte Murray he will still be a high-usage player and is only going to continue to get better.
3. Steph Curry
The greatest shooter of all time did not have his best season shooting by his standards. Despite that he still finished in the top 20 in player efficiency 26.3 and averaged 25-5-6 which are all pretty much his career averages. The priority for the Warriors is to repeat as champions so Steph will have some rest days, but I expect him to shoot above 40% from three and above 46% from the field.
4. Lamelo Ball
The former Rookie of the Year improved in a majority of categories last season. In his Sophomore season, he led the Hornets in usage rate at 28.3 and averaged 20-6-7 while shooting 38.9% from three and 87.2% from the free throw line. If he can maintain or continue to improve his numbers he can potentially finish as a top 3 point guard in fantasy next season.
5. Dame Lillard
Although Dame missed the majority of last season he has proven to be an ironman. With the departure of CJ McCollum, he will be asked to carry a heavier load, especially on the offensive end. Dame will be back refreshed and recharged with a group of players that better fit his playing style. My projections for Dame are 25-7-5 while shooting around 37% from beyond the arc.
6. Tyrese Haliburton
If you read the “Our Guys” article then you know how high I am on Tyrese coming into next season. He shot over 50% from the field and over 40% from three after being traded to the Pacers last season. He also finished in the top 10 in the league in assists and steals. He’s one of the most efficient young point guards and can only see his ceiling rising from here.
7. Darius Garland
Garland’s ascent was a pleasant surprise last season as he averaged career highs in points, assists, free throw and field goal percentages. We will see how he and Donovan Mitchell will mesh together next season, but regardless Garland should still put up solid numbers across the board. He has always been an efficient shooter and should continue to be the primary playmaker on a young and exciting Cavs team.
8. Kyrie Irving
Kyrie has missed a ton of games since being a Net, but he is still one of the best point guards in the league when on the floor. He has averaged over 26 points and shot around 40% from beyond the arc, 92% from the charity stripe and close to 50% from the field since his arrival in Brooklyn. The biggest question is how many games will Kyrie play next season?
9. Ja Morant
Ja took a major leap last season and finished in the top 7 in usage rate 33.9 and player efficiency rating 29.7. He’s one of the best finishers in the game as he averaged 27.4 points while shooting 49.3% from the field. He put up some of the best numbers in his young career and I would like to see his three-point and free-throw percentages increase next season. Keep in mind he did only play in 57 games last season as a consequence of his explosive playing style.
10. Dejounte Murray
Murray had the best season of his career last season averaging 21-8-9 and being the league leader in steals. He led the Spurs in usage rate at 26.8 and he most likely will see his usage dip in Atlanta playing alongside Trae Young. I would not expect Murray to average almost a triple-double again next season, but he should still be one of the top steals and rebounding guards in the league.