Rest of Season Fantasy Baseball Rankings: Will Gil Hurt You Down the Stretch?

For the most part, I tend to be very conservative when ranking rookies and unproven players compared to many analysts. This goes for both pre-draft and my ROS rankings. I reason that most of them have not endured the grind of a full MLB season. This especially goes for pitchers, given how they are handled nowadays. Sometimes it works in my favor, sometimes it does not, and sometimes it is a combination of the two. I think we are seeing this play out with Luis Gil.

Gil has been one of the pleasant surprises of the 2024 season. He has filled in admirably for fantasy managers who grabbed him at the tail end of drafts or on the waiver wire. In May, Gil won all six of his starts while posting a 0.70 ERA, 0.72 WHIP, and 44 strikeouts. Gil enters the weekend as a top-25 fantasy starting pitcher for the season and is a lock to beat my preseason projection for him. But he has also arguably been the worst fantasy pitcher in the league over his last three starts. In that stretch, he is 0-3 with a 14.90 ERA and a total of six strikeouts. I am worried that this rough patch may be more than just a simple bump in the road.

Over the past four seasons, Gil has only thrown a total of 144 innings across the Majors and Minors. His velocity has more or less remained intact, which is encouraging. However, Gil could be beginning to wear down as he approaches a single-season high in innings pitched. Given his historical lack of innings, the Yankees may begin to limit his workload going forward. And Gil is not the only starting pitcher who may face a similar fate in the coming weeks. Garrett Crochet is one of the most prominent pitchers who may be in the same boat.

Since the Chicago White Sox drafted Crochet in 2020, he had logged a total of 85.2 innings before this year. He has already pitched 101.1 innings this season. Crochet has not experienced a downturn in production as Gil has. But Chicago has no shot at a playoff berth. That means there is little incentive for the White Sox to push him. The team has already stated they have a plan for Crochet, so we may see him limited or skipped on occasion. Even a potential trade does not figure to add too many additional innings to Crochet’s workload. The days of a 2008 CC Sabathia situation where a team acquires a pitcher and runs him into the ground have long since gone by the wayside. And it definitely will not happen with a 25-year-old who is still under contract for another two years.

I have both Gil and Crochet ranked considerably lower in my ROS rankings than their year-to-date production would suggest. Now is the time to start formulating a backup plan. This is where ROS rankings can be a bit tricky and not as a “one size fits all” approach. For example, I have Crochet ranked ahead of Max Scherzer. But if I needed innings and wins, I might prefer the veteran. Scherzer should be fully stretched out following the All-Star break. That means he is much more likely to make a dozen or so starts in the second half than Crochet is.

Rest of Season Fantasy Baseball Rankings

RANK	PLAYER	TEAM	POS
1	Shohei Ohtani	LAD	UT
2	Bobby Witt Jr.	KC	SS
3	Aaron Judge	NYY	OF
4	Juan Soto	NYY	OF
5	Jose Ramirez	CLE	3B
6	Yordan Alvarez	HOU	OF
7	Gunnar Henderson	BAL	SS/3B
8	Freddie Freeman	LAD	1B
9	Elly De La Cruz	CIN	SS/3B
10	Rafael Devers	BOS	3B
11	Kyle Tucker	HOU	OF
12	Austin Riley	ATL	3B
13	Zack Wheeler	PHI	SP
14	Tyler Glasnow	LAD	SP
15	Trea Turner	PHI	SS
16	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	TOR	1B
17	Tarik Skubal	DET	SP
18	Francisco Lindor	NYM	SS
19	Matt Olson	ATL	1B
20	Julio Rodriguez	SEA	OF
21	Corey Seager	TEX	SS
22	Corbin Burnes	BAL	SP
23	Pete Alonso	NYM	1B
24	George Kirby	SEA	SP
25	Marcus Semien	TEX	2B
26	CJ Abrams	WSH	SS
27	Chris Sale	ATL	SP
28	Marcell Ozuna	ATL	UT
29	Bryce Harper	PHI	1B
30	Emmanuel Clase	CLE	RP
31	Ozzie Albies	ATL	2B
32	Aaron Nola	PHI	SP
33	Joe Ryan	MIN	SP
34	Dylan Cease	SD	SP
35	Pablo Lopez	MIN	SP
36	Freddy Peralta	MIL	SP
37	Jose Altuve	HOU	2B
38	Logan Gilbert	SEA	SP
39	Luis Castillo	SEA	SP
40	Ketel Marte	ARI	2B
41	Max Fried	ATL	SP
42	Corbin Carroll	ARI	OF
43	Josh Hader	HOU	RP
44	Christian Yelich	MIL	OF
45	Logan Webb	SF	SP
46	Kevin Gausman	TOR	SP
47	Luis Robert Jr.	CHW	OF
48	Christian Walker	ARI	1B
49	Teoscar Hernandez	LAD	OF
50	Gerrit Cole	NYY	SP
51	Cole Ragans	KC	SP
52	Josh Naylor	CLE	1B
53	Adolis Garcia	TEX	OF
54	Jazz Chisholm Jr.	MIA	OF
55	Oneil Cruz	PIT	SS
56	Manny Machado	SD	3B
57	Bryan Reynolds	PIT	OF
58	Jarren Duran	BOS	OF
59	Paul Skenes	PIT	SP
60	Sonny Gray	STL	SP
61	Cody Bellinger	CHC	1B/OF
62	Randy Arozarena	TB	OF
63	Framber Valdez	HOU	SP
64	Bo Bichette	TOR	SS
65	Zac Gallen	ARI	SP
66	Adley Rutschman	BAL	C
67	Ezequiel Tovar	COL	SS
68	Evan Phillips	LAD	RP
69	Tanner Bibee	CLE	SP
70	William Contreras	MIL	C
71	Lane Thomas	WSH	OF
72	Seiya Suzuki	CHC	OF
73	Alec Bohm	PHI	1B/3B
74	Andres Gimenez	CLE	2B
75	Will Smith	LAD	C
76	Camilo Doval	SF	RP
77	Shota Imanaga	CHC	SP
78	Justin Steele	CHC	SP
79	Willy Adames	MIL	SS
80	Clay Holmes	NYY	RP
81	Alex Bregman	HOU	3B
82	Grayson Rodriguez	BAL	SP
83	Raisel Iglesias	ATL	RP
84	Royce Lewis	MIN	3B
85	Spencer Steer	CIN	1B/3B/OF
86	Taylor Ward	LAA	OF
87	Christopher Morel	CHC	3B/OF
88	Kyle Schwarber	PHI	OF
89	Anthony Volpe	NYY	SS
90	Nico Hoerner	CHC	2B/SS
91	Mason Miller	OAK	RP
92	Hunter Greene	CIN	SP
93	Paul Goldschmidt	STL	1B
94	Andres Munoz	SEA	RP
95	Edwin Diaz	NYM	RP
96	Anthony Santander	BAL	OF
97	Carlos Rodon	NYY	SP
98	Ranger Suarez	PHI	SP
99	Riley Greene	DET	OF
100	Salvador Perez	KC	C/1B
101	Maikel Garcia	KC	3B
102	Bobby Miller	LAD	SP
103	Fernando Tatis Jr.	SD	OF
104	Bryson Stott	PHI	2B/SS
105	Tyler O’Neill	BOS	OF
106	Jeremy Pena	HOU	SS
107	Ryan Helsley	STL	RP
108	Nick Castellanos	PHI	OF
109	Jhoan Duran	MIN	RP
110	Steven Kwan	CLE	OF
111	Chris Bassitt	TOR	SP
112	Jack Flaherty	DET	SP
113	Bailey Ober	MIN	SP
114	Blake Snell	SF	SP
115	Michael Harris II	ATL	OF
116	Vinnie Pasquantino	KC	1B
117	Ian Happ	CHC	OF
118	Zach Eflin	TB	SP
119	George Springer	TOR	OF
120	Gleyber Torres	NYY	2B
121	Luis Arraez	SD	1B/2B
122	Nathan Eovaldi	TEX	SP
123	Ryan Mountcastle	BAL	1B
124	Dansby Swanson	CHC	SS
125	Garrett Crochet	CHW	SP
126	Yoshinobu Yamamoto	LAD	SP
127	Yandy Diaz	TB	1B
128	Isaac Paredes	TB	1B/3B
129	Ryan McMahon	COL	2B/3B
130	Robert Suarez	SD	RP
131	Jordan Westburg	BAL	2B/3B
132	Ha-Seong Kim	SD	2B/SS/3B
133	Jose Berrios	TOR	SP
134	Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	ARI	OF
135	Brandon Nimmo	NYM	OF
136	Wyatt Langford	TEX	OF
137	Tanner Houck	BOS	SP
138	Nestor Cortes	NYY	SP
139	Nick Pivetta	BOS	SP
140	Max Scherzer	TEX	SP
141	Carlos Correa	MIN	SS
142	Craig Kimbrel	BAL	RP
143	Mitch Keller	PIT	SP
144	Zach Neto	LAA	SS
145	Nolan Arenado	STL	3B
146	Alexis Diaz	CIN	RP
147	Michael King	SD	SP
148	Jared Jones	PIT	SP
149	Nick Lodolo	CIN	SP
150	Hunter Brown	HOU	SP
151	Jeimer Candelario	CIN	1B/3B
152	Bryce Miller	SEA	SP
153	Matt Chapman	SF	3B
154	Nathaniel Lowe	TEX	1B
155	David Bednar	PIT	RP
156	Paul Sewald	ARI	RP
157	Brenton Doyle	COL	OF
158	Cedric Mullins	BAL	OF
159	Jorge Soler	SF	OF
160	Brandon Pfaadt	ARI	SP
161	Jonathan India	CIN	2B
162	Luis Rengifo	LAA	2B/SS/3B/OF
163	Cristopher Sanchez	PHI	SP
164	Ryan Pepiot	TB	SP
165	Rhys Hoskins	MIL	1B
166	Yusei Kikuchi	TOR	SP
167	Justin Verlander	HOU	SP
168	MacKenzie Gore	WSH	SP
169	Brice Turang	MIL	2B/SS
170	Kenley Jansen	BOS	RP
171	Jake Burger	MIA	1B/3B
172	Charlie Morton	ATL	SP
173	Tanner Scott	MIA	RP
174	Nolan Jones	COL	OF
175	Willson Contreras	STL	C
176	Yu Darvish	SD	SP
177	Pete Fairbanks	TB	RP
178	Daulton Varsho	TOR	OF
179	Logan O’Hoppe	LAA	C
180	Luis Gil	NYY	SP
181	Jackson Merrill	SD	SS/OF
182	Taj Bradley	TB	SP
183	Mike Trout	LAA	OF
184	Yainer Diaz	HOU	C
185	Jake Cronenworth	SD	1B/2B
186	J.D. Martinez	NYM	UT
187	Reynaldo Lopez	ATL	SP
188	Seth Lugo	KC	SP
189	Byron Buxton	MIN	OF
190	Jackson Chourio	MIL	OF
191	Jurickson Profar	SD	OF
192	Brayan Bello	BOS	SP
193	J.T. Realmuto	PHI	C
194	TJ Friedl	CIN	OF
195	Jarred Kelenic	ATL	OF
196	Kutter Crawford	BOS	SP
197	Kyle Finnegan	WSH	RP
198	Ceddanne Rafaela	BOS	SS/OF
199	Masyn Winn	STL	SS
200	Aaron Civale	MIL	SP
201	Josh Lowe	TB	OF
202	Jose Alvarado	PHI	RP
203	Josh Jung	TEX	3B
204	Kirby Yates	TEX	RP
205	Devin Williams	MIL	RP
206	Ke’Bryan Hayes	PIT	3B
207	Bryan De La Cruz	MIA	OF
208	Andrew Vaughn	CHW	1B
209	Eloy Jimenez	CHW	UT
210	Jason Foley	DET	RP
211	Brendan Donovan	STL	2B/OF
212	Starling Marte	NYM	OF
213	Luis Garcia	WSH	2B
214	Cal Raleigh	SEA	C
215	Triston Casas	BOS	1B
216	James McArthur	KC	RP
217	Bryan Woo	SEA	SP
218	Mookie Betts	LAD	2B/SS/OF
219	Lars Nootbaar	STL	OF
220	Erick Fedde	CHW	SP
221	Nolan Gorman	STL	2B
222	Carlos Estevez	LAA	RP
223	Jon Gray	TEX	SP
224	Joe Musgrove	SD	SP
225	Kodai Senga	NYM	SP
226	Ronel Blanco	HOU	SP
227	Brandon Marsh	PHI	OF
228	Brady Singer	KC	SP
229	Gavin Williams	CLE	SP
230	Ryan O’Hearn	BAL	1B/OF
231	Josh Bell	MIA	1B
232	Masataka Yoshida	BOS	OF
233	James Wood	WSH	OF
234	Marcus Stroman	NYY	SP
235	Chas McCormick	HOU	OF
236	Sean Manaea	NYM	SP
237	David Hamilton	BOS	2B/SS
238	Brent Rooker	OAK	OF
239	Brendan Rodgers	COL	2B
240	Zack Gelof	OAK	2B
241	Gavin Stone	LAD	SP
242	Jo Adell	LAA	OF
243	Sean Murphy	ATL	C
244	Andrew Abbott	CIN	SP
245	Lance Lynn	STL	SP
246	Noelvi Marte	CIN	3B
247	Hector Neris	CHC	RP
248	Joc Pederson	ARI	OF
249	Luis Severino	NYM	SP
250	Justin Turner	TOR	1B
251	Francisco Alvarez	NYM	C
252	Jonah Heim	TEX	C
253	Leody Taveras	TEX	OF
254	Kyle Gibson	STL	SP
255	Kyle Harrison	SF	SP
256	Brandon Lowe	TB	2B
257	Heliot Ramos	SF	OF
258	Jake Fraley	CIN	OF
259	Alex Verdugo	NYY	OF
260	Matt Waldron	SD	SP
261	Reese Olson	DET	SP
262	J.P. Crawford	SEA	SS
263	Jordan Montgomery	ARI	SP
264	Max Kepler	MIN	OF
265	Alec Burleson	STL	OF
266	Max Muncy	LAD	3B
267	Miles Mikolas	STL	SP
268	Wilyer Abreu	BOS	OF
269	Dean Kremer	BAL	SP
270	Matt Vierling	DET	3B/OF
271	Michael Kopech	CHW	RP
272	Trevor Megill	MIL	RP
273	Gabriel Moreno	ARI	C
274	Evan Carter	TEX	OF
275	Tommy Pham	CHW	OF
276	Keibert Ruiz	WSH	C
277	Zack Littell	TB	SP
278	Harrison Bader	NYM	OF
279	Chad Green	TOR	RP
280	Christian Scott	NYM	SP
281	Ryan Jeffers	MIN	C
282	Braxton Garrett	MIA	SP
283	Sal Frelick	MIL	OF
284	Reid Detmers	LAA	SP
285	Walker Buehler	LAD	SP
286	Andy Pages	LAD	OF
287	Michael Massey	KC	2B
288	Michael Wacha	KC	SP
289	Jordan Hicks	SF	SP
290	Willi Castro	MIN	2B/SS/3B/OF
291	Jose Miranda	MIN	3B
292	Jesse Winker	WSH	OF
293	Eduardo Rodriguez	ARI	SP
294	Davis Schneider	TOR	2B/OF
295	Giancarlo Stanton	NYY	OF
296	Joey Ortiz	MIL	2B/3B
297	Merrill Kelly	ARI	SP
298	Ben Lively	CLE	SP
299	Jameson Taillon	CHC	SP
300	Jose Siri	TB	OF
301	Colton Cowser	BAL	OF
302	Jose Quintana	NYM	SP
303	Kerry Carpenter	DET	OF
304	Michael Busch	CHC	1B/3B
305	Mark Vientos	NYM	3B
306	Jacob deGrom	TEX	SP
307	Tyler Stephenson	CIN	C
308	Yimi Garcia	TOR	RP
309	Frankie Montas	CIN	SP
310	Kenta Maeda	DET	SP
311	Shane Baz	TB	SP
312	Brandon Drury	LAA	1B/2B
313	Jason Adam	TB	RP
314	Nick Gonzales	PIT	2B/SS
315	Shea Langeliers	OAK	C
316	Tyler Anderson	LAA	SP
317	Alec Marsh	KC	SP
318	Matt Strahm	PHI	RP
319	Jake Irvin	WSH	SP
320	Michael Lorenzen	TEX	SP
321	James Paxton	LAD	SP
322	David Fry	CLE	C/OF
323	Spencer Arrighetti	HOU	SP
324	David Robertson	TEX	RP
325	Mitch Garver	SEA	C
326	MJ Melendez	KC	OF
327	Andrew Heaney	TEX	SP
328	Jake Meyers	HOU	OF
329	Connor Wong	BOS	C
330	Jesus Sanchez	MIA	OF
331	Jesus Luzardo	MIA	SP
332	Daniel Hudson	LAD	RP
333	Nolan Schanuel	LAA	1B
334	Jordan Romano	TOR	RP
335	Jeffrey Springs	TB	SP
336	Jose Caballero	TB	2B/SS
337	Bo Naylor	CLE	C
338	David Peterson	NYM	SP
339	Ty France	SEA	1B
340	Matt McLain	CIN	2B/SS
341	Griffin Canning	LAA	SP
342	Tylor Megill	NYM	SP
343	Triston McKenzie	CLE	SP
344	Mark Canha	DET	OF
345	Clayton Kershaw	LAD	SP
346	Tyler Freeman	CLE	3B/OF
347	Aroldis Chapman	PIT	RP
348	Ben Rice	NYY	C/1B
349	Scott Barlow	CLE	RP
350	Garrett Mitchell	MIL	OF
351	Eugenio Suarez	ARI	3B
352	Jeff McNeil	NYM	2B/OF
353	JP Sears	OAK	SP
354	Ryan Pressly	HOU	RP
355	Danny Jansen	TOR	C
356	Logan Allen	CLE	SP
357	Miguel Andujar	OAK	OF
358	Yuki Matsui	SD	RP
359	Griffin Jax	MIN	RP
360	Andrew Benintendi	CHW	OF
361	Xander Bogaerts	SD	2B/SS
362	Charlie Blackmon	COL	OF
363	Kevin Ginkel	ARI	RP
364	Jacob Young	WSH	OF
365	Andrew McCutchen	PIT	UT