With Week 0 now behind us, we move forward to our first weekend with a full slate of CFB games! Thursday night brings us some good ones that promise to be entertaining, headlined by Colorado vs North Dakota State and UNC vs Minnesota. After spending the first few days of this week carefully conducting research, I have locked in on two picks (one for each game). They are listed below with a brief analysis of why you should bet them.
CFB Bets to Make on Thursday Night
Colorado vs NDSU: COL -9.5 (-110)
This bet seems to have the college football world completely divided 50/50. That being said, I just have a strong gut feeling about this one. NDSU is entering this game with a new head coach, Tim Polasek, who is still settling into his role. Moreover, the Bison have seen significant turnover on their offensive line, losing three starters during the offseason. This transition period could leave them vulnerable, particularly against a Colorado team eager to start the season on a high note.
Colorado has won its last seven games against Non-FBS teams and has covered the spread in four of the past five. They’ve made significant improvements to their defense by bringing in experienced pass-rushers and a new DC, Robert Livingston, who has spent the past seven seasons as a defensive coach for the Cincinnati Bengals. With a retooled defense ready to apply pressure, Colorado is likely to exploit NDSU’s weakened offensive line. I wouldn’t be surprised if the Buffaloes scored a defensive touchdown this game.
Colorado’s offense in 2023 averaged 28.2 points per game and will be even better in 2024. Quarterback Sheuder Sanders and superstar receiver Travis Hunter are entering their final college season, so they will look to get the ball rolling quickly. Colorado should come out strong, score many points, and win by at least 10-14.
UNC vs Minnesota: o 50.5 (-110)
Despite neither offense entering this season with high rankings, the reason this game will hit the over is largely due to the weaknesses on both defenses. Last season, North Carolina struggled defensively, ranking 84th in points allowed per game with an average of 27.3 points. Minnesota fared slightly better but still ranked poorly at 80th, allowing 26.7 points per game. With both teams facing defensive issues, there is a strong likelihood that this matchup will see plenty of scoring opportunities.
Another factor influencing the low total for this game was the initial weather forecast, which predicted rain and storms. Such conditions would typically lead to longer possessions and fewer scoring chances. However, the weather forecast has since improved significantly, with game day expected to be around 70 degrees with minimal wind—ideal conditions for a high-scoring football game.
The Golden Gophers have hit the Over in four of their last six games at home, demonstrating a recent tendency to participate in higher-scoring affairs when playing on their turf. With two struggling defenses and favorable weather conditions, this game is primed to exceed the points total. Touchdowns will come aplenty. Take the Over.