We’ve officially gotten past the halfway point of the NFL season, and we’re starting to learn what teams are playing well, what teams are struggling, and what players are the moneymakers. In my weekly prop plays article, I’ll break down 5 DraftKings player prop bets that should hit and start your week off right. For any additional prop bet questions, be sure to follow me on X @LobosFFDen.
Week 10 DraftKings Prop Plays
Aaron Jones o68.5 rushing yards (-115)
One of the best and silent acquisitions that the Minnesota Vikings made this offseason was signing Aaron Jones. Jones is having a great first season in Minnesota, and though he’s coming off two quiet(ish) performances, he gets a chance to bounce back vs. a weak Jacksonville defensive unit that just allowed Saquon Barkley to rush for 159 yards in week 9. Jones averages over 100 scrimmage yards a game and has put up 90+ rushing yards in 4 games this season. Sunday should be the 5th, and he should well exceed his 68.5 rushing yard prop bet.
Expected yards:
97 rushing yards
41 receiving yards
High roller bets:
- 100+ rushing and receiving yards (+110)
- 40+ receiving yards (+390)
Daniel Jones o203.5 passing yards (-115)
I know, you probably don’t want to bet your hard-earned money on Daniel Jones, but he faces a Carolina Panthers defense that has struggled vs. the passing game in 2024. The Panthers’ defense has allowed the 8th-most passing yards to opposing QBs (2,149) through 9 games, and Daniel Jones has exceeded the 200-yard mark in over half his games this season. In what should be an”easier” game for the Giants, Daniel Jones should come out firing and exceed the 203 passing yard mark.
Expected yards:
230 passing yards, 2TDs
High roller bets:
- 225 passing yards (+155)
- 2+ Passing TDs (+155)
Khalil Shakir 055.5 receiving yards (-120)
Khalil Shakir has been one of Josh Allen’s favorite targets this season. Over the last 3 weeks, Shakir is averaging 8 targets, 7 receptions, and 74 yards per game. In those 3 games, Josh Allen has not thrown anything less than 33 pass attempts, and the Bills now face an Indianapolis secondary that has been very generous in 2024. Josh Allen should come in and have a good air game, in which Shakir should be able to continue his hot streak.
Expected yards:
7 receptions, 79 yards
High roller bets:
- o5.5 receptions (+110)
- 70+ receiving yards (+160)
Marvin Harrison Jr. U45.5 receiving yards (-115)
As talented and dominant as the rookie has looked at times, he’s been underwhelming more often than not. Over the last 5 games, he’s failed to exceed the 45.5 receiving mark in 5 of the last 6 games. Now, he and the Cardinals face a stout New York Jets defense that have allowed the 3rd-fewest passing yards to opposing teams (1,631). The Jets should continue the trend, and might give Kyler Murray and this offense a tough time. Until the Cardinals truly figure out how to use Marvin Harrison at the NFL level, 45 yards might be harder to reach than most think.
Expected yards:
4 receptions, 37 receiving yards
Jaylen Waddle o42.5 receiving yards (-115)
If you read my “weekly start em/sit em WR/TE article”, you’d know I like Jaylen Waddle this week. Tua had a tough matchup last week vs. a tough Buffalo team that he has historically struggled against. Despite a season-low (2) targets, Waddle was able to capitalize with a TD and showed that he is still relevant in this offense. Tua and the Dolphins now face a defense in LA that just gave up 180 yards to Jaxon Smith-Njigba. Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle should be heavily involved in what should be a shootout, and I expect Waddle to have a great bounce-back game. We may finally see some Tua fireworks again!
Expected yards:
6 receptions, 81 yards, 1TD
High roller bets:
- 70+ receiving yards (+350)
- Anytime TD (+190)
Make sure to check out all of our Week 10 Fantasy Football Rankings and Analysis!