I finally had a good showing last week in the over/under department, but struggled elsewhere. Go figure! I mentioned last week that there were a lot of high totals on the board and I was going to be heavy on the under. The under hit 10 times last week and let’s hope it’s the opposite this week as I expect there to be some high scoring games. Make sure you check back Sunday morning as things change. Good luck to all making Week 14 NFL picks.
We’ll keep track of all my picks throughout the season, including my losses! Over time, we’ll find out if you should back me or straight up fade me. Send your complaints to @chrismeaney.
Last week:
SU: 9-7
AS: 6-10
O/U: 11-5
Season total:
SU: 124-68
AS: 105-87
O/U: 105-86
Week 14 NFL Picks
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Tennessee Titans -5 (37)
SU: Titans
AS: Titans
O/U: Under
Cody Kesler only managed 150 yards last week against the Colts. Now he has to go on the road and play a tough defense. Jacksonville will get Leonard Fournette back, but I can’t see a lot of points from this offense or from either offense for that matter. Tennessee has won its last three games against Jacksonville.
Atlanta Falcons @ Green Bay Packers -5 (50.5)
SU: Packers
AS: Falcons
O/U: Over
I jumped all over the Falcons at +6.5 when it opened up and I’ll still take them on the spread at +5. Aaron Rodgers hasn’t thrown more than two touchdowns since Week 5 and he’s been held under 200 yards passing in two of his past four games. The matchup is nice and Mike McCarthy is gone, but it’s not going to be all roses for this Packers team with the change. I’m not sold on their defense and Atlanta can score.
Baltimore Ravens @ Kansas City Chiefs -6.5 (51.5)
SU: Chiefs
AS: Ravens
O/U: Under
The Chiefs have failed to cover against the 49ers, Broncos (twice), Cardinals and the Raiders. None of those teams have the defense that Baltimore has. I expect the Ravens to slow the pace down, run the football and lean on their defense. We may get to see Lamar Jackson use his arm a bit more if Baltimote can’t slow down Patrick Mahomes, which could be trouble. 
Carolina Panthers -1 @ Cleveland Browns (47)
SU: Browns
AS: Browns
O/U: Over
Carolina has lost four straight games and three of those came on the road against Detroit and Tampa Bay, just last week. Cam Newton is not healthy and the Panthers defense has not been good. Browns at home.
Indianpolis Colts @ Houston Texans -4.5 (49.5)
SU: Texans
AS: Colts
O/U: Over
Andrew Luck threw the ball 62 times in his Week 4 matchup against Houston earlier this season with 464 yards and four touchdowns. I highly doubt he’ll be able to repeat that performance, but I think he’ll do enough to keep this game close.
New England Patriots -7 @ Miami Dolphins (47)
SU: Patriots
AS: Patriots
O/U: Over
The Patriots opened up as 8.5 favorites and it made me lean Miami, but now that the spread is a touchdown, I’ll take New England. The Patriots have three road losses and a trip to Miami is usually pretty tough for Tom Brady and company, but the difference should be New England’s run game.
New Orleans Saints -9 @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (56)
SU: Saints
AS: Buccaneers
O/U: Over
You have to think the Saints bounce back this week after only scoring 10 points last Thursday, but it’s not a lock that they’ll cover. Tampa Bay has won its last two home game against the Saints and beat them Week 1 in New Orleans, 48-40. I’m feeling some points.
New York Giants -3.5 @ Washington Redskins (41)
SU: Giants
AS: Giants
O/U: Under
Believe it or not, Washington opened up as home favorites. It’s hard to pick them with Mark Sanchez under center.
New York Jets @ Buffalo Bills -3 (38)
SU: Bills
AS: Bills
O/U: Under
Sam Darnold is expected to get the start this week and he still leads the NFL in interceptions, despite missing the last three games. Buffalo has allowed the second-fewest yards and the fewest passing yards per game.
Cincinnati Bengals @ Los Angeles Charges -14 (47.5)
SU: Chargers
AS: Chargers
O/U: Over
The Chargers do play at a bit of a slow place and they’ll be without Melvin Gordon again, but it shouldn’t matter. Philip Rivers is the only QB to have at least two passing TD’s in every game this season, and the Bengals are allowing the most yards, rushing yards, points, as well as fantasy points to QB’s and RB’s.
Denver Broncos -4 @ San Francisco 49ers (45.5)
SU: Broncos
AS: 49ers
O/U: Over
Something tells me this will be a field goal game. This will be the second straight road game for the Broncos, which is tough considering they’ll be without Emmanuel Sanders and Chris Harris. Four is a bit easier to cover than the 6.5 it opened up as.
Detroit Lions -3 @ Arizona Cardinals (40.5)
SU: Cardinals
AS: Cardinals
O/U: Under
The Detroit Lions haven’t shown me much of late and it won’t be easy for them to score points in Arizona. They have crumbled of late with the loss of Golden Tate, Marvin Jones and Kerryon Johnson. Arizona has allowed the fourth-fewest passing yards and only 17 passing touchdowns.
Philadelphia Eagles @ Dallas Cowboys -3.5 (44)
SU: Cowboys
AS: Eagles
O/U: Over
It’s hard to pick the Super Bowl champs here on the road in Dallas. The difference to me is the defense and the Cowboys have a much stronger unit than the Eagles who remain depleted. Ezekiel Elliott is a weapon Philly can’t handle.
Pittsburgh Steelers -10 @ Oakland Raiders (51.5)
SU: Steelers
AS: Raiders
O/U: Over
I usually just stay away from Pittsburgh when they are heavy road favorites. Even if it’s against the lowly Oakland Raiders, who by the way kept things close last week against the Chiefs. They’ll likely be fine, but this offense could stall a bit without James Conner.
Los Angeles Rams -3 @ Chicago Bears (51.5)
SU: Rams
AS: Rams
O/U: Over
This is definitely going to be the game of the week and it looks like Mitch Trubisky will make his return. Expected some creativity from both teams as well as some big defensive plays which should lean to the over. Both teams can make plays on both sides of the football. Give me the Rams by a field goal and let’s hope we get some overtime.
Minnesota Vikings @ Seattle Seahawks -3 (45.5)
SU: Seahawks
AS: Seahawks
O/U: Over
From New England to Seattle. It doesn’t get much tougher than that as the Vikings are in a must win situation, but Seattle has been rolling of late and they are hard to pick against at home.
Like these Week 14 NFL Picks? Get more Chris Meaney on his new podcast, By Any Means. Each week he’ll bring in guests from around the industry to break down all the fantasy news you need to know for your march to the championship.
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