2026 Week 4 NFL DraftKings Props

Three weeks into the season, my record stands at 5-4-2. Unfortunately, we lost De’Von Achane to what turned out to be a torn ACL. Achane is one of my favorite players in the league, and it’s tough knowing we won’t see him back on the field until next season. As we head into Week 4, the trends are becoming clearer, and sportsbooks are starting to adjust their lines accordingly. That said, I’ve got you covered with a few props I’m targeting this week.

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NFL Props for Week 4 on DraftKings

Rashee Rice Over 56.5 Receiving Yards (-113)

Week 1 was a slow start for Rashee Rice as he only recorded 19 receiving yards. Since then, Rice has bounced back with 88 and 83 yards in his last two games. Keep in mind that 31 of those yards in Week 2 came on the final play of regulation, so that performance needs a little context.

The matchup against Las Vegas gives Rice another opportunity to put up solid numbers. The Raiders have played zone coverage 77% of the time this season while utilizing two-high safety looks on 57.5% of their defensive snaps. Rice has been productive against both coverage schemes. This season, he’s recorded a 21% target rate per route against zone and two-high coverage, averaging 2.45 yards per route run against each. Historically, Rice has always been decent in these spots against the Raiders. Rice has seen 10+ targets in all three of his matchups vs LV, hauling in 5+ grabs in all of the games.

Michael Wilson Over 4.5 Receptions (-156)

Yes -156 is pretty juiced already, but it’s definitely valid. First off, It’s time to start giving Michael Wilson more recognition in the Arizona Cardinals’ passing game. He’s one of just eight players to receive at least seven targets in every game this season, and his workload through the first three weeks has been difficult to ignore.

While Marvin Harrison Jr. has gotten off to a slow start, Wilson has emerged as a reliable option for Arizona. He’s already seen 31 targets, ranking fifth among all pass-catchers in the league.

Now, Wilson gets a favorable matchup against a New York Giants defense that has struggled to slow down opposing passing attacks. The Giants rank 27th in opponent dropback EPA and 23rd in opponent dropback success rate, creating an opportunity for Arizona’s receivers to make an impact.

Marcus Mariota Under 30.5 Pass Attempts (-102)

A rare under from me, but this is absurd. Marcus Mariota has stayed under 30.5 pass attempts in 18 of his last 20 games, averaging just 15.9 attempts per contest over that stretch.

That’s a strong trend spanning multiple seasons, and it fits the way Mariota has typically operated. The Commanders tend to rely on the ground game and game plans that don’t require Mariota to throw the ball consistently.

Yes, Mariota attempted 31 passes against Seattle last week; however, one game doesn’t erase the broader trend. He’s stayed under this line in 90% of his last 20 games! I’m sticking with the historical trend.

Malik Nabers Over 4.5 Receptions (-142)

The Arizona Cardinals have struggled to contain opposing passing attacks, allowing 247 passing yards per game and 9.26 yards per pass attempt. They’ve also surrendered 6.5 yards per play, making this an appealing matchup for a Giants passing game looking to take advantage.

Malik Nabers has gone over 4.5 receptions in 82.3% of his last 17 games, averaging 5.9 catches per contest over that stretch. This even includes last week in the rain against the Titans. Nabers has demonstrated that he can deliver in this area. With Arizona allowing plenty of production through the air, the Giants’ top receiving option should have opportunities to make plays.

At a line of just 4.5 receptions, for a talent like him, it’s too easy!

Kyren Williams Over 58.5 Rushing Yards (-112)

The Philadelphia Eagles have allowed opposing lead running backs to rush for at least 63 yards in each of their first three games. Kyren Williams has also had success against the Eagles in recent meetings. In his last three games against Philadelphia, he’s posted rushing lines of 20 carries for 94 yards, 19 carries for 106 yards, and 16 carries for 72 yards.

Clearly, Williams has cleared that mark in all three of those meetings, and his workload suggests he should have opportunities to do it again. Even though Blake Corum is going to get his share of touches, the 58.5 line is a nice gift.

Make sure to check out all of our Week 4 Fantasy Football Rankings and Analysis!