Apparently, my editor is calling me the poet laureate. With his high expectations, I had to do yet another fantasy football parody of a nursery rhyme. I hope you like them.
Hickory, dickory, dock,
Your lineup is now on the clock.
The targets look light,
The matchup looks right—
But will he get chances to rock?
Hickory, dickory, dare,
Check routes and the yards through the air.
One touchdown last week
Can make a role look less bleak—
Don’t start him on hope and a prayer.
Hickory, dickory, sit,
Let’s find where the workloads will fit.
Week 10 is here,
The playoffs draw near—
Let’s give those last lineup spots wit!
And now it’s time to move on to wide receivers and tight ends for your Week 10 starts and sits.
More Fantasy Football Fun!: | Sneaky Starts | Fantasy Football Waiver Wire | Weekly Sleepers & Streamers | Starts & Sits | Skrip’s Week Winners | Players You Can Drop | NFL DFS | NFL Player Props | IDP Analysis | Bold Predictions | Re-Draft Trade Targets | Survivor Picks | NFL Injury Report | Dynasty Trade Targets | Dynasty Risers and Fallers | Weekly Rankings | Game Previews
Week 10 Starts and Sits
Wide Receiver Starts
Demario Douglas, New England Patriots
Douglas, Reedy is such a homer. Now just hold on a second and hear me out on this. His 17.1% target share and 18.8% air-yard share have grown to 22% and 26%, respectively, over the last two games with A.J. Brown sidelined. Douglas ran a route on 84% of dropbacks during that stretch, catching eight passes for 178 yards and a touchdown. The Lions are up in Week 10. Detroit has allowed opposing receivers 165.3 receiving yards per game. If AJ Brown is in, he is the play, but without him in the lineup, Douglas has been delivering.
Parker Washington, Jacksonville Jaguars
The Titans have allowed opposing wide receivers 15.3 catches and 194.9 receiving yards per game. Tennessee gives up the most fantasy points to opposing teams’ wide receivers. The matchup with Tennessee is appealing in its own right, but Washington’s opportunity makes him more than a receiver attached to an easy opponent in Week 10. He owns a 24.0% target share and 33.4% of Jacksonville’s air yards, giving him access to both receptions and downfield production. This is a nice spot to plug in Jakobi Myers as well.
KC Concepcion, Cleveland Browns
Concepcion has earned 20.4% of Cleveland’s targets and 21.2% of its air yards. No matter who starts at quarterback, he is going to be involved. The Browns play the Texans in Week 10, and Houston has allowed opposing WRs 187.5 receiving yards and 1.1 receiving touchdowns per game. They give up the third most fantasy points to wide receivers. KC is the Browns receiver I would play in PPR formats. I am not afraid to plug Denzel Boston in for Week 10 as well; with his downfield involvement, he has a higher ceiling.
Other wide receivers to consider: Boston’s 21.4% target share and 44.4% air-yard share give him an upside case in the same Houston matchup. Jameson Williams also offers a ceiling play against New England, although his 17.1% target share leaves more weekly volatility than his 37.3% air-yard share might suggest. Garrett Wilson belongs in lineups against Buffalo if cleared and unrestricted. Keenan Allen is a conditional PPR option against Dallas, but we need confirmation of his role in San Francisco. Ryan Flournoy becomes a viable flex if Dallas remains short-handed: his full route participation in Week 9 provides a reason to look beyond San Francisco’s difficult season-long matchup.
Check out all of our Week 10 Rankings: Flex Rankings | QB Rankings | RB Rankings | WR Rankings | TE Rankings | MOP Rankings
Wide Receiver Sits
Tre Tucker, Las Vegas Raiders
Tucker has a huge 29.4% air-yard share, which creates explosive-play potential, but his 17.4% target share provides less protection when those plays do not connect. In Week 10, the Raiders play the Seahawks. Seattle has limited opposing WRs to 99.6 receiving yards per game. Tucker also gets a new quarterback in Week 10, Kirk Cousins having been traded to the Vikings. Easy sit.
Jahan Dotson, Atlanta Falcons
Dotson is a big play guy for the Commanders. He has approximately 13.6% of targets but 33.2% of team air yards. That creates a path to a big play, but it also leaves a low floor when the downfield opportunities miss. Kansas City is up in Week 10 and has allowed opposing wide receivers 113.1 receiving yards and 0.3 touchdowns per game. Dotson is a sit in typical starting-lineup decisions unless injuries or league depth leave you needing a low-volume ceiling play.
Keon Coleman, Buffalo Bills
Coleman appears to be the Bills version of Tre Tucker. He has a 14.6% target share and 25.0% air yards. He is a downfield threat who may or may not get enough volume to produce a useful week. The Jets are up, and they are tough against wide receivers. The New York Jets give up the eighth-fewest fantasy points to opposing teams’ wide receivers receviers. Yuck, low volume of targets, and DJ Moore is back in the lineup.
Other wide receivers to approach cautiously: Kayshon Boutte’s recent scoring does not erase his low season target share, making him a risky follow-up play against Cleveland. Ashton Dulin needs a demonstrated increase in routes and targets before Indianapolis’s available opportunities become a dependable fantasy role. Tank Dell could be a flex if his involvement continues to grow. Christian Watson faces a difficult Minnesota matchup, but his 23.1% target share and 33.2% air-yard share provide a stronger foundation than the other fades here. I would lower expectations for Watson rather than automatically bench him.
Tight Ends to Start
Tyler Warren, Indianapolis Colts
The Colts play the Dolphins in week 10. Miami gives up the third most fantasy points to opposing teams’ tight ends. Warren brings a big workload. His 23.2% target share and 14.9% air-yard share give him an established receiving role, which makes him viable weekly. Miami has allowed TEs 6.5 receptions, 64.4 receiving yards, and 0.8 touchdowns per game.
Kyle Pitts, Atlanta Falcons
Pitts is far from a set-in-stone starter. He has a 14.8% target share and 11.8% air-yard share, which means he has a credible role entering a great matchup. His recent involvement helps too: Pitts has at least five targets in five consecutive games. The Chiefs are up, and they allow tight ends 6.6 receptions and 64.9 receiving yards per game. If you are looking for a streamer in Week 10, this is your guy.
Hunter Henry, New England Patriots
Henry has a 14.6% target share of all Patriots’ passes this season. He is slightly dinged up with a foot issue, and Eli Raridon’s involvement could affect how much of New England’s tight end opportunity Henry can claim. But Detroit has allowed the position 88.0 receiving yards and 1.4 touchdowns per game. This is the most in the league. We are looking at both yardage and scoring upside, although Raridon may also see some of this action.
Other tight ends to consider: Pat Freiermuth is a PPR streaming option against Cincinnati, where the appeal is TE catches and yardage rather than strong touchdown opportunities. Darren Waller offers upside against New Orleans if his Week 9 target surge carries forward, while Dalton Schultz has a favorable positional matchup against Cleveland. AJ Barner is another streamer against Las Vegas. Raridon deserves consideration against Detroit, particularly if Henry is limited or unavailable, but the matchup alone does not make both Patriots safe starts. Colby Parkinson and Tyler Higbee remain potential options against Arizona; health and the Rams’ route rotation must determine which, if either, belongs in a lineup. I lean Parkinson.
Tight End Sits
Mark Andrews, Baltimore Ravens
Andrews has been involved this season with a target share of 18.2%. The Chargers are up in Week 10, and the Chargers have allowed opposing TEs 4.1 receptions and 0.1 receiving touchdowns per game. That is the third-fewest fantasy points to opponents’ tight ends per game. The match is horrible, and the quarterback is new. I’ll pass on Andrews in Week 10.
Tucker Kraft, Green Bay Packers
The Packers play the Vikings in Week 10. The Vikings give up the fewest fantasy points to opposing tight ends. If you have him, you are starting him. Just temper those expectations. Minnesota has held opposing TEs to 3.9 catches, 46.4 receiving yards, and 0.1 touchdowns per game. It is probably going to be ugly.
Gunnar Helm, Tennessee Titans
Were you playing Helm? Do not lie to me; were you seriously planning on playing Helm? If so, let’s get your head examined. He had a great Week 8 with 9 targets, 5 receptions, and 76 yards. That is a one-game sample size in a nice matchup. Jacksonville is up in Week 10. The Jaguars allow 31.3 receiving yards per game to tight ends. I look at him as a deep league stash and not a play in Week 10.
Other tight ends to approach cautiously: T.J. Hockenson has a difficult matchup with Green Bay, but his 20.5% target share and 18.5% air-yard share keep him out of the automatic-bench category. Chig Okonkwo is a lower-priority streamer against the Giants, particularly when a similarly involved TE has a better opponent. Difficult matchups alone are not great reasons to bench Brock Bowers, Trey McBride or Harold Fannin Jr.; but we should temper our expectations, at least a little bit.
Reedy Rule — Week 10: Follow the opportunity, then trust the workload.
A favorable matchup earns a closer look; targets, routes, and scoring opportunities earn a starting spot. Before chasing last week’s breakout, ask whether the player’s role grew—or whether he simply did more with limited chances. Start the opportunity you can reasonably expect to return.
Volume identifies the opportunity. The matchup determines whether to attack it.
Make sure to check out all of our Week 9 Fantasy Football Rankings and Analysis!
Fantrax is one of the fastest-growing fantasy sites in the fantasy sports industry, and we’re not stopping anytime soon. We are the most customizable, easy-to-use, and feature-rich platform in the industry, offering the greatest fantasy experience for your dynasty, keeper, redraft, and best ball leagues. Fantasy sports doesn’t sleep, and neither does Fantrax, with seasons running 365 days a year. Take your fantasy leagues to the next level now at Fantrax.com!
