When it comes to critical fantasy football decisions, we’re always focused on quarterbacks, running backs, wide receivers, and tight ends. Heck, even defense and special teams units get their fair share of attention as well! Yet, what about kickers? Unless your league doesn’t force you to roster one, they still score points for you, and can be the difference between winning and losing your matchup!
This brings me to my Week 13 kicker rankings. You don’t usually see kickers dissected, but that’s what I plan to do today. You’ve probably heard of expected/implied points for other positions, yet not for kickers. Let’s solve that, shall we?
We know a field-goal attempt is at least three times more valuable than an extra point, but it depends on distance. Thus, a raw field goal attempt is closer to four times more valuable than an extra point. With that in mind, here are the expected points for each kicker thus far, based on their usage.
More fantasy football fun for Week 13: Waiver Wire | FAAB Guide | Start & Sit | Loves & Hates | Stock Watch | Sleepers & Streamers | D/ST Streamers
Implied Points (Weeks 1-12)
| Name | Team | Difference | Implied Points | Fantasy PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Folk | NE | 0.0405 | 10.9595 | 11.0 |
| Rodrigo Blankenship | IND | -1.8738 | 9.8738 | 8.0 |
| Greg Zuerlein | DAL | -1.1816 | 9.2816 | 8.1 |
| Daniel Carlson | LV | 0.1261 | 9.2739 | 9.4 |
| Mason Crosby | GB | -1.3150 | 8.9150 | 7.6 |
| Greg Joseph | MIN | 0.1875 | 8.8125 | 9.0 |
| Tyler Bass | BUF | 0.1645 | 8.7355 | 8.9 |
| Justin Tucker | BAL | 0.5721 | 8.4279 | 9.0 |
| Chris Blewitt | WAS | -3.3510 | 8.3510 | 5.0 |
| Matt Prater | ARI | 0.0797 | 8.1203 | 8.2 |
| Matt Gay | LAR | 0.6335 | 7.9665 | 8.6 |
| Randy Bullock | TEN | -0.2665 | 7.9665 | 7.7 |
| Evan McPherson | CIN | 1.1105 | 7.8895 | 9.0 |
| Joey Slye | WAS | 0.0190 | 7.8810 | 7.9 |
| Graham Gano | NYG | 0.3874 | 7.8126 | 8.2 |
| Robbie Gould | SF | 0.5533 | 7.7467 | 8.3 |
| Chris Boswell | PIT | 1.1643 | 7.7357 | 8.9 |
| Dustin Hopkins | LAC | -0.3357 | 7.7357 | 7.4 |
| Ryan Succop | TB | -0.0819 | 7.5819 | 7.5 |
| Brian Johnson | NO | 0.2950 | 7.5050 | 7.8 |
| Zane Gonzalez | CAR | 0.3488 | 7.3512 | 7.7 |
| Brandon McManus | DEN | -0.1743 | 7.2743 | 7.1 |
| Harrison Butker | KC | 0.5795 | 7.1205 | 7.7 |
| Michael Badgley | IND | 0.5295 | 6.8705 | 7.4 |
| Jake Elliott | PHI | 0.7000 | 6.8000 | 7.5 |
| Austin Seibert | DET | -0.3180 | 6.5180 | 6.2 |
| Jason Sanders | MIA | -0.3770 | 6.3770 | 6.0 |
| Cairo Santos | CHI | -0.3745 | 6.2745 | 5.9 |
| Matt Ammendola | NYJ | -1.2437 | 6.0437 | 4.8 |
| Chase McLaughlin | CLE | 0.2755 | 6.0245 | 6.3 |
| Younghoe Koo | ATL | 0.4870 | 5.8130 | 6.3 |
| Matthew Wright | JAX | 0.1985 | 5.6015 | 5.8 |
| Tristan Vizcaino | LAC | -0.4080 | 5.1080 | 4.7 |
| Ka'imi Fairbairn | HOU | -0.6728 | 5.0728 | 4.4 |
| Jason Myers | SEA | 0.0330 | 4.9670 | 5.0 |
| Ryan Santoso | DET | -0.4670 | 4.9670 | 4.5 |
| Aldrick Rosas | DET | -0.7978 | 4.7978 | 4.0 |
| Josh Lambo | JAX | -2.7030 | 4.4030 | 1.7 |
| Lirim Hajrullahu | DAL | 1.7250 | 3.2750 | 5.0 |
| Cody Parkey | NO | -0.2750 | 3.2750 | 3.0 |
| Brett Maher | NO | 0.4940 | 2.0060 | 2.5 |
| Riley Patterson | DET | 1.2630 | 0.7370 | 2.0 |
Nick Folk continues his reign as the top kicker in both fantasy points and expected fantasy points. We keep waiting for New England to improve their red-zone offense, but even when that happens, Folk will remain a top-five kicker moving forward. The same goes for Daniel Carlson, as the Raiders have struggled way too much in the red zone; further improvement could hurt Carlson’s standing, but the team has also been very conservative on fourth downs.
We’re also seeing the fall of Randy Bullock, aligned with the Titans’ offensive issues, as well as the rise of Evan McPherson, who also has been extremely efficient for Cincinnati this season. I tend to look solely at kicker usage, but it’s worth noting that McPherson has been fantastic, even from longer distances.
Hopefully, this helps explain my thought process when it comes to my kicker rankings. Speaking of which, here they are!
Week 13 Kicker Rankings
BYES: CAR, CLE, GB, TEN
More Week 13 Rankings: QB | RB | WR | TE | Kicker | D/ST | PPR | Flex
| Rnk | Kicker | Team | Opponent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Greg Joseph | MIN | DET |
| 2 | Greg Zuerlein | DAL | NO |
| 3 | Daniel Carlson | LV | WSH |
| 4 | Tyler Bass | BUF | NE |
| 5 | Nick Folk | NE | BUF |
| 6 | Justin Tucker | BAL | PIT |
| 7 | Matt Prater | ARI | CHI |
| 8 | Matt Gay | LAR | JAX |
| 9 | Ryan Succop | TB | ATL |
| 10 | Robbie Gould | SF | SEA |
| 11 | Evan McPherson | CIN | LAC |
| 12 | Harrison Butker | KC | DEN |
| 13 | Jake Elliot | PHI | NYJ |
| 14 | Michael Badgley | IND | HOU |
| 15 | Brian Johnson | WSH | LV |
| 16 | Dustin Hopkins | LAC | CIN |
| 17 | Graham Gano | NYG | MIA |
| 18 | Chris Boswell | PIT | BAL |
| 19 | Brandon McManus | DEN | KC |
| 20 | Jason Sanders | MIA | NYG |
| 21 | Brett Maher | NO | DAL |
| 22 | Jason Myers | SEA | SF |
| 23 | Younghoe Koo | ATL | TB |
| 24 | Cairo Santos | CHI | ARI |
| 25 | Kaimi Fairbairn | HOU | IND |
| 26 | Matthew Wright | JAX | LAR |
| 27 | Matt Ammendola | NYJ | PHI |
| 28 | Riley Patterson | DET | MIN |
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