NFL Week 3 Thursday Night Football Player Props and Best Bets

Welcome back for Week 3! Hopefully, you took advantage of some of our player props that hit during last Thursday night’s games.

Now that we have a week of football behind us, we can start using data-driven statistics from the 2026 season to better understand these teams and players. That should give us an even better chance of finding player props that can hit each Thursday night.

Picks from Week 2 TNF

We went 6/10. The DJ Moore injury burned a lot of folks, but hopefully your site voided his lines for you. While it was a risky bet, James Cook only had 1 reception in what turned out to be an almost game-long blowout.

Let’s dive into our favorite player props for Week 3 of Thursday Night Football!

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Week 3 Thursday Night Football Player Props

Atlanta Falcons vs Green Bay Packers

• Green Bay Packers are favored (-6) over the Atlanta Falcons
• Total Over/Under: 44.5

Compared to last week’s TNF game, this matchup may be more of a snooze fest, with fewer points and the potential for a one-sided affair by the time the clock hits zero in the fourth quarter.

Starting with the Falcons, quarterback Michael Penix returns to the starting lineup in Week 3, which should help get this passing game back on track. His return is especially important for wide receiver Drake London. In 14 career games together, London has averaged 6.5 receptions and 92 receiving yards with Penix at quarterback. While the Packers have limited opposing receivers through the first two weeks, London is a top-tier receiver. London’s biggest issue has been his low 18% target share, but that should rise with Penix. London has seen eight or more targets in 12 of their 14 games together. I’m taking London over 66.5 receiving yards and over 5.5 receptions against the Packers, especially if Atlanta falls into a negative game script.

Moving over to the Falcons’ other star player, Bijan Robinson, I’m taking him over 4.5 receptions against the Packers. In Robinson’s last five games with Penix, he has hit that number three times. The Falcons aren’t afraid to game plan around Robinson in the passing game, as we saw when he finished with eight receptions in Week 1. Robinson currently ranks first in target share and yards per route run among running backs, so he is getting open. With improved quarterback play, he should be able to get his receiving production back on track.

I also expect Robinson to get into the end zone in this game. So far on TNF, three of the four teams to play have had a running back score a touchdown. Bijan has also scored in 9 of the 14 games Penix has played at quarterback. The Packers have allowed three rushing touchdowns through two games, the second-most in the league. Give me Bijan Robinson anytime touchdown.

Moving over to the home team, Jordan Love should be on plenty of player-prop cards for TNF. The Packers have the seventh-most passing attempts this season, and without a strong running game, they’ve been forced to lean more on Love’s arm. Love has also been brilliant on TNF, averaging 253 passing yards and 2 passing touchdowns across 6 career games. The Falcons have allowed 221 and 286 passing yards to quarterbacks who aren’t on Love’s level. He should have a strong night at home, so I’m taking Love over 231.5 passing yards and over 1.5 passing touchdowns.

The Kaleb Johnson prop feels like one of the safer plays of the night. Johnson started getting more work after a Marshawn Lloyd fumble, but the Packers’ running game has still been poor. Johnson has now played 12 career NFL games and has just 2 total targets. He ran only 3.8% of the routes in Week 2 and didn’t see a touch on third down or later. Johnson should continue mixing in on early downs while Lloyd and Chris Brooks handle most of the passing-down work. Give me Johnson under 0.5 receiving yards in Week 3.

Christian Watson is really coming into his own as the Packers’ WR1. The Falcons have allowed the eighth-most receiving yards to wide receivers so far, and we just saw Tetairoa McMillan go for over 100 yards against them last week. Atlanta also lost starting cornerback A.J. Terrell to a season-ending injury, which should benefit Green Bay’s passing attack. Watson has produced an impressive 2.98 YPRR this season, showing his ability to create separation and make plays downfield. If Love plays well, Watson should have a strong opportunity to get over 69.5 receiving yards.

The same can be said for Matthew Golden, who has gone over 55 receiving yards in back-to-back games while commanding an impressive 25.4% target share. Without Jayden Reed, the Packers don’t have the same receiver depth they once did, forcing them to rely heavily on Watson and Golden in the passing game. Similar to Watson, if Love is rolling, Golden should benefit from his target opportunity and favorable matchup. I’m taking Golden over 53.5 receiving yards.

Finally, tight end Tucker Kraft has a strong chance to score an anytime touchdown. The Falcons have allowed three touchdowns to tight ends through two games, tied for the second-most in the league, with the position finding the end zone in both matchups. Kraft has also shined on TNF throughout his career, scoring three receiving touchdowns in five games. I’m taking Kraft anytime touchdown to close out the TNF slate.

Check out all of our Week 3 Rankings: Flex Rankings | QB Rankings | RB Rankings | WR Rankings | TE Rankings | MOP Rankings

My Preferred Parlay for This Matchup (+825)

• Jordan Love — Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns
• Jordan Love — Over 231.5 Passing Yards
• Bijan Robinson — Anytime Touchdown
• Drake London  — Over 66.5 Receiving Yards
• Matthew Golden  — Over 53.5 Receiving Yards

Make sure to check out all of our Week 3 Fantasy Football Rankings and Analysis!