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Top 100 Starting Pitcher Rankings: Week Six

Welcome back to another edition of my top 100 starting pitcher rankings for redraft leagues! This week is extra special because the MLB Trade Deadline ended Monday at 4 PM giving new homes to many pitchers on this list. The Blue Jays even ended up with three new starters! This week I’m taking a look at pitch values from FanGraphs and diving into the top ten starters at throwing each offering. I had a lot of fun looking at this and making some observations, I hope you enjoy it as well! Be sure to interact with me about it on Twitter @devjake. 

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Top-100 Starting Pitcher Rankings for Redraft Leagues

Notes on player movement:

  • FanGraphs pitch values are a fun way to measure how effective individual pitches have been for fantasy players thus far in the season. These are not predictive as they are looking back on past performance, but they do tell us, generally speaking, the quality of these offerings.  All of these observations are based on data through 8/30/2020.
  • The top four-seam fastballs in the game this year have come from:
    1. Trevor Bauer
    2. Zach Wheeler
    3. Lance Lynn
    4. Walker Buehler
    5. Lucas Giolito
    6. Max Fried
    7. Justin Dunn
    8. Marco Gonzales
    9. Brandon Woodruff
    10. Zac Gallen
  • This is particularly interesting because Dunn is starting to creep towards relevance and almost made my list this week. Fried had struggled with his fastball last year, but his newfound success makes me even more bullish about him moving forward.
  • Other interesting guys who didn’t quite make the list are Tony Gonsolin whose fastball ranked 13th, Spencer Turnbull at 15th, and Shane Bieber at 22nd. Bieber has reduced his fastball usage this year, yet added both velo and has reduced his HR/FB rate on the pitch.
  • The top sliders in the game this year have come from:
    1. Dinelson Lamet
    2. Kenta Maeda
    3. Christian Javier
    4. Randy Dobnak
    5. Brad Keller
    6. Steven Brault
    7. Carlos Carrasco
    8. Max Scherzer
    9. Anthony DiSclafani
    10. Lance Lynn
  • Lamet has fully broken out this season partially due to his slider being one of the best pitches in the game. Javier, Dobnak, Keller, and Brault have also been relevant with the help of an elite slider.
  • Outside of this group Dylan Bundy, who is known for his increased slider usage, comes in at number 11. Zach Plesac, a favorite breakout of mine, ranks 12th on this list while Corbin Burnes, who has looked great as a starter his last few outings is 20th.
  • The top cutters in the game this year have come from:
    1. Dallas Keuchel
    2. Yu Darvish
    3. Jon Lester
    4. Yusei Kikuchi
    5. Zac Gallen
    6. Adam Wainwright
    7. Zach Davies
    8. Shane Bieber
    9. Hyun Jin Ryu
    10. Aaron Civale
  • The cutter is a brand new pitch for Bieber and man is it a good one. Waino is playing some of the best baseball we’ve seen from him in years and it’s helped mightily by that cutter. Zac Gallen appears on yet another top-10 showing why he really has taken the leap into the elite starter pool.
  • Outside of this top ten, Trevor Bauer comes in at number 11 as he is having the best season of his career. My favorite new pitcher to watch is Dustin May who ranks 14th. Martin Perez of the Red Sox has been relevant continuing his reliance on the cutter that we started to see in 2019.
  • The best curveballs in the game this year have come from:
    1. Shane Bieber
    2. Jose Berrios
    3. Adam Wainwright
    4. Zac Gallen
    5. Gio Gonzalez
    6. Framber Valdez
    7. German Marquez
    8. Clayton Kershaw
    9. Sonny Gray
    10. Austin Voth
  • Are you kidding me Bieber and Gallen?!!! Just give Bieber the Cy Young award now. Waino’s return to relevance is now backed by a second pitch that has been performing at an elite level. Valdez has a real out pitch with his curveball, he goes to it 58% of the time in two-strike counts.
  • The ever elite Zack Greinke ranks just outside the top ten at number 11. Blake Snell ranks 18th and Aaron Nola ranks 19th on this list. These three guys all have so many weapons that they can throw at hitters any day they take the mound.
  • The best changeups in the game this year have come from:
    1. Chris Paddack
    2. Kyle Freeland
    3. Zach Davies
    4. Johnny Cueto
    5. Hyun Jin Ryu
    6. Anibal Sanchez
    7. Logan Webb
    8. Dylan Bundy
    9. Sean Manea
    10. Kenta Maeda
  • Davies has now appeared on two of these lists, but it’s his changeup that gets batters to swing and miss. This year his swinging strike rate on the pitch is 21% and he throws it 54% of the time in two-strike counts. His cutter is just impossible to do damage against.
  • Maeda and Bundy are two players having the best seasons of their careers. Bundy’s slider and changeup are elite and both are true out pitches. Maeda has shown increased confidence in his changeup going to it 44% of the time in two-strike counts this year up from 33% last year.
  •  Sixto Sanchez and Aaron Nola barely missed the list coming in at 13th and 16th respectively, however, its Sanchez’s changeup you need to look out for as it could challenge to be one of the best in the game.

If you have any questions about the list don’t hesitate to hit me up on Twitter @devjake. Thanks for reading!

All players that are injured or on COVID-19 IL are not included in these starting pitcher rankings.

1Jacob deGrom1
2Gerrit Cole2
3Shane Bieber3
4Yu Darvish4
5Sonny Gray5
6Lance Lynn6
7Clayton Kershaw7
8Aaron Nola8
9Max Fried12
10Jack Flaherty20
11Blake Snell11
12Max Scherzer13
13Lucas Giolito17
14Trevor Bauer15
15Zac Gallen16
16Brandon Woodruff10
17Dinelson Lamet14
18Luis Castillo16
19Patrick Corbin18
20Mike ClevingerNR
21Kenta Maeda23
22Aaron Civale21
23Dylan Bundy22
24Pablo Lopez24
25Zack Grienke25
26Jesus Luzardo26
27Hyun Jin Ryu27
28Kyle Hendricks28
29Zach PlesacNR
30Frankie Montas29
31Carlos Carrasco30
32Tyler Glasnow40
33Elieser Hernandez41
34Dallas Keuchel36
35Dustin May31
36Chris Paddack32
37Zack Wheeler33
38Julio Urias34
39German Marquez35
40Sixto Sanchez37
41Kevin Gausman38
42Jose Berrios39
43Corbin Burnes44
44Tony GonsolinNR
45Marco Gonzales42
46Framber Valdez43
47Ian AndersonNR
48Zach Davies48
49Andrew Heaney49
50Tarik Skubal45
51Adam Wainwright68
52Randy Dobnak47
53Griffin Canning60
54Adrian Houser51
55Lance McCullers Jr.64
56Tyler Mahle70
57Zach EflinNR
58Spencer Turnbull51
59Triston McKenzie52
60Brad Keller53
61Johnny Cueto54
62Chris Bassitt55
63Garrett Richards56
64Matthew Boyd74
65Masahiro Tanaka58
66Taijuan WalkerNR
67Danny DuffyNR
68Luke Weaver61
69Ross Stripling63
70Rich Hill65
71Dylan Cease66
72Logan Webb67
73Casey Mize46
74Dane Dunning71
75Justus Sheffield73
76Mike Minor78
77David PetersonNR
78Chad Kuhl76
79Nick Margevicius77
80Kwang Hyun Kim98
81Robbie Ray79
82Jordan Montgomery80
83Christian Javier88
84Alex Cobb72
85Spencer Howard59
86Tommy Milone83
87Antonio Senzatela84
88Anthony DeSclafani86
89Yusei Kikuchi89
90Tyler ChatwoodNR
91Kyle Freeland91
92Martin Perez92
93Trevor Cahill94
94Stephen Brault96
95Tyler Anderson97
96Dakota Hudson99
97Sandy AlcantaraNR
98Jake JunisNR
99Michael WachaNR
100Brady Singer85

Fell off List: Walker Buehler, Merrill Kelly, Ryan Yarborough, Matt Shoemaker, Nate Eovaldi, Jonathan Loaisiga, Patrick Sandoval, Adam Plutko, Daniel Ponce de Leon, Kyle Gibson, Alec Mills, Josh Lindblom

New to List: Tony Gonsolin, David Peterson, Danny Duffy, Mike Clevinger, Ian Anderson, Zach Eflin, Michael Pineda, Michael Wacha, Tyler Chatwood, Jake Junis, Zach Plesac, Taijuan Walker

If you’re on board with these starting pitcher rankings, you should also check out Jake’s Top 100 Starting Pitchers for Dynasty Leagues.

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