With all the Bye Weeks last week, we were limited on our selection but we’re back in business this week! As approach the Sunday slate o we have some juicy matchups that should give us some advantages on these prop bets. I’ll break down 5 DraftKings player prop bets that should hit and start your week off right. For any additional prop bet questions, be sure to follow me on X @LobosFFDen.
Week 13 DraftKings Prop Plays
Patrick Mahomes o250.5 passing yards (-120)
Patrick Mahomes may be having a “Down” year in comparison to his MVP-like seasons, but he’s been slowly putting together a solid back half of the year in his 2024 campaign. In the last five games, Mahomes has exceeded this 250.5 prop in all but one game, in which the only game he didn’t hit was a tough game vs. Buffalo. Mahomes gets Las Vegas for the 2nd time this season, in which he tallied 262 passing yards in their first matchup. This Oakland secondary is susceptible to the passing game, and Mahomes should continue his hot streak and torch this defense.
Expected yards:
- 28/37, 299 yards, 3 TDs
- 4 rushing attempts, 16 yards
High Roller Bets:
- 275+ Passing Yards (+165)
- 3+ Passing TDs (+345)
Justin Herbert o20.5 rushing yards (-120)
Justin Herbert is healthy, and adapting to this Harbaugh-led offense. Something that Justin Herbert is doing that he wasn’t doing early in the season, and a new fun element to his game, is the run game. Over the last five weeks, Herbert has rushed for more than 20 yards in all one but one game and is actually averaging 35 yards a game on the ground. In Week 13, he faces a middle-of-the-pack Atlanta defense, in what could be a shootout game. No JK Dobbins and a likely high-scoring game, calls for Herbert to crush this prop.
Expected yards:
- 25/36, 282 yards, 3TDs
- 6 rushing attempts, 41 yards
High Roller Bets:
- 275+ Passing yards (+180)
- 3+ Passing TDs (+350)
Gus Edwards o46.5 rushing yards (-115)
Let’s stay on the Chargers wagon with this next one. With an injured JK Dobbins, Gus Edwards should take the mantle of RB1 in LA, and is more than capable of holding it down. This Chargers offense has leaned heavily on JK Dobbins, and I expect this to stay the same with Gus Edwards. JK had over 46 rushing yards in 63% of his games this season, and Gus Edwards exceeded this in nearly 70% of his games last season with the Ravens. I’m confident in Gus Edwards vs. an Atlanta defense this week, and you should be too.
Expected yards:
- 17 rushing attempts, 81 yards, 1TD
High Roller Bets:
- 80+ rushing yards (+390)
- 2+ TDs (+500)
Mike Evans o57.5 receiving yards (-120)
Mike Evans missed three weeks due to injuries this season, and his consecutive 1,000-yard season record is in jeopardy. Evans currently has 403, and would need right around 100 yards a game to keep his hopes alive. In his return last week, Evans totaled a total of 68 receiving yards on a limited snap count on offense (60%), and as he continues to get healthy, I expect Evans to be a big part of this Bucs offense that is making a playoff push. Evans should exceed this, and keep his century mark target obtainable after this week.
Expected yards:
- 9 targets, 7 receptions, 111 yards, 1TD
High Roller bets:
- Anytime TD (+130)
- 100+ receiving yards (+425)
Courtland Sutton o65.5 receiving yards
This is my bet of the week. After what was considerably a slow start for the 7-year veteran, Courtland Sutton has become Bo Nix’s favorite target in a surging Denver offense. Sutton has exceeded the 65.5-yard mark in 5 consecutive weeks and now faces a Baltimore defense that allows the most receiving yards to opposing WRs. Bo Nix has targeted Sutton more than 6 times in the last 5 weeks, and in what could potentially be a shootout, I want all of Sutton this week.
Expected yards:
- 11 targets, 9 receptions, 121 yards, 1TD
High Roller Bets:
- Anytime TD (+135)
- 100+ receiving yards (+320)
Make sure to check out all of our Week 13 Fantasy Football Rankings and Analysis!