Release the hounds. Get ready for a track meet. Whoever has the ball last just might win. I know all about the vaunted Los Angeles Rams’ defense, but Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills offense happen to be pretty good. It could very well turn into a game of can you top this between Allen and Matthew Stafford. The argument could also be made, especially before the season, that this is a preview of the Super Bowl. The Rams are at home and are favored by the customary 3.5 points. If proof was needed on the offensive expectations of tonight’s game, look no further than the over/under of 54.5 points. Now, let’s get into some Monday night DFS picks.
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MNF Notes
Matthew Stafford, Los Angeles Rams
When it comes to DFS points allowed, the Bills are terrible. Or, they are great, depending on what side of things you are looking at things from. We also know that all of the great talent available to us comes with a heavy price tag tonight. While it’s possible to fit multiple high-priced stars in your lineup, it also involves some risks at the back end. And then what if you get it wrong between Puka Nacua and Davonte Adams? Both have substantial roles, and while Nacua is better, it doesn’t mean Adams can’t leave with the touchdowns.
Instead, the focus here is on the man who will be throwing them the football. The Bills are allowing the third most DraftKings points to opposing quarterbacks this season, and that should continue tonight. After not throwing a touchdown pass last week, but six in the two weeks prior, Stafford needs a big bounce-back game. And here it is.
Keon Coleman, Buffalo Bills
We are assuming that DJ Moore will return to the field tonight, but Joshua Palmer is officially ruled out. That means we should, once again, see a larger role from Coleman. We know that the Bills will be taking it to the air, and big plays should certainly be on the table tonight. Last week, Coleman was targeted seven times and he turned that into six catches, 116 yards and his first touchdown of the season. Maybe he won’t go as crazy tonight, as finding consistency is one of the biggest issues for Coleman throughout his career.
Blake Corum, Los Angeles Rams
From a cost perspective, Corum is likely the cheapest I’m going with any comfort tonight. In fact, it’s another case for balance. Corum is averaging 40 yards per game this season with five receptions in total. The Rams have made an effort to get Corum the ball consistently to keep Kyren Williams fresh. While it’s clear that Williams is who we should be targeting, if Corum gets into the end zone, everything changes.
Tyler Higbee, Los Angeles Rams
The Rams’ tight end situation isn’t exactly ideal. There are a lot of options, and sometimes, not a ton of clarity. If we go based on the last two weeks, though, that brings us right to Higbee. He’s was targeted 17 times and caught 13 passes for 129 yards and a touchdown. Yes, Nacua was out for one week of that, but it helps to illustrate how Los Angeles views things.
Week 5 Monday Night Football DFS Ranks
| Rnk | Player | Pos | Team | DK | FD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Matthew Stafford | QB | LAR | $9,000 | $12,000 |
| 2 | Josh Allen | QB | BUF | $11,800 | $13,200 |
| 3 | Kyren Williams | RB | LAR | $9,800 | $10,400 |
| 4 | Puka Nacua | WR | LAR | $11,400 | $12,400 |
| 5 | James Cook III | RB | BUF | $10,600 | $11,200 |
| 6 | Davante Adams | WR | LAR | $9,400 | $9,800 |
| 7 | Dalton Kincaid | TE | BUF | $6,600 | $8,400 |
| 8 | DJ Moore | WR | BUF | $7,600 | $9,000 |
| 9 | Khalil Shakir | WR | BUF | $7,000 | $7,000 |
| 10 | Keon Coleman | WR | BUF | $5,600 | $5,600 |
| 11 | Tyler Bass | K | BUF | $4,800 | $6,800 |
| 12 | Harrison Mevis | K | LAR | $5,000 | $6,400 |
| 13 | Tyler Higbee | TE | LAR | $4,400 | $4,600 |
| 14 | Blake Corum | RB | LAR | $3,800 | $7,200 |
| 15 | Ty Johnson | RB | BUF | $3,200 | $4,800 |
| 16 | Konata Mumpfield | WR | LAR | $2,200 | $4,000 |
| 17 | Dawson Knox | TE | BUF | $2,600 | $3,400 |
| 18 | Colby Parkinson | TE | LAR | $2,400 | $4,400 |
| 19 | Jordan Whittington | WR | LAR | $2,000 | $3,600 |
| 20 | Ray Davis | RB | BUF | $1,400 | $2,600 |
| 21 | Davis Allen | TE | LAR | $1,600 | $2,200 |
| 22 | Rams | DST | LAR | $4,200 | $6,200 |
| 23 | Bills | DST | BUF | $3,400 | $6,600 |
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