NFL DFS: Top DraftKings Plays for Week 10

The DraftKings Week 10 main slate closes the early-morning international slate with the Detroit Lions and New England Patriots. Four teams have a bye this week: the Chicago Bears, Denver Broncos, Philadelphia Eagles, and Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The byes leave the running backs on this DraftKings slate a little thin, especially with Gibbs also playing earlier. So finding value at the position will be key with the lack of options outside the top of the DraftKings slate. No major outliers in team totals either. So we are going to start with the game that will draw the most eyes in the afternoon slate.

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DraftKings Plays for Week 10 NFL Main Slate

Favorite Play: Dak Prescott, Dallas Cowboys ($6,400)

I mentioned Purdy as my favorite play last week. And while he is still in play, Prescott will likely have the ideal scenario to rack up DraftKings points. The Cowboys are projected for the sixth-most points on the slate. Despite that, they are six-point underdogs to a 49ers team that has been on a roll.

The 49ers defense has been solid, but the Dallas Cowboys are eighth in estimated points added per pass. Dallas is also passing the ball the fifth most in the league per game. This will likely be a positive game script for Prescott. There should be plenty of opportunities for DraftKings points Sunday afternoon.

Contrarian Play: Drew Lock, Seattle Seahawks ($5,000)

Lock was a preferred play by many on DraftKings this past week. That was due to his $4,000 salary. That won’t be the case this week, since Darnold’s injury designation came after the salaries dropped. He also disappointed this past week with only 12.6 DraftKings points. The Seahawks are 6.5-point favorites, with rookie Fernando Mendoza getting his first NFL start. Las Vegas has given up the most passing touchdowns in the league, and the fourth-most passing yards. Lock is an affordable DraftKings option with a great matchup.

Running Back

Favorite Play: Ollie Gordon, Miami Dolphins ($5,800)

Speaking of the value mentioned earlier, Gordon is the perfect fit. He is coming off two down games in which he scored under 10 DraftKings points. Now he gets to take on the Colts. The Colts recently traded DeForest Buckner to the San Francisco 49ers. Add to that, the Colts are giving up the third-most rushing yards and the most estimated points added per run on the ground. The Dolphins are underdogs, but Gordon has been fed in his past four games, seeing no fewer than 16 carries in any of those four contests. Gordon is the perfect fit for the RB2 spot in DraftKings lineups.

Contrarian Play: Ashton Jeanty, Las Vegas Raiders ($5,400)

We are tapping the well again with Jeanty. It didn’t work out for us last week. However, the snap share was promising. Jeanty played 64% of snaps, while Washington played only 34%. The Seattle Seahawks are a tough matchup. Jeanty’s outlook is much better in the passing game yet again. Seattle gives up the seventh-most receptions to running backs. The Raiders’ blocking has not been there this season. That is why Jeanty’s receiving outlook matters. Mendoza will likely hunt the checkdown early and often.

Wide Receiver

Favorite Play: Justin Jefferson, Minnesota Vikings ($6,800)

Jefferson’s quarterback upgrade makes him by far the best play for DraftKings purposes. Jefferson has the highest fantasy points per game in his career with Kirk Cousins at quarterback. That includes a WR1 overall finish at 21.6 points per game. The Packers are giving up the seventh-most fantasy points per game. And everyone knows the kind of shootout they could get into. Will that be possible with the Minnesota Vikings? That question needs an answer. The Buffalo Bills provided resistance for Minnesota’s defense, but was that because Buffalo had a three-to-one time-of-possession advantage? Either way, Jefferson is getting an upgrade at the position, and his salary should be at least $600 higher on DraftKings this Sunday.

Contrarian Play: Adonai Mitchell, New York Jets ($4,900)

Last week, Omar Cooper Jr. was the play who returned alright results. 13.8 DraftKings points at his salary is solid, not spectacular. More surprisingly, Mitchell had seven targets and scored zero points. The Kansas City Chiefs funneled through the slot. Buffalo is weaker on the outside, allowing the 11th most fantasy points to outside receivers. Mitchell’s injury held him out, but we’ve already seen him score 30 DraftKings points in a game. He is currently second on the team in targets despite missing four games. Mitchell has shown the upside needed to win tournaments and comes in under a $5,000 salary on DraftKings.

Tight End

Favorite Play: Tyler Warren, Indianapolis Colts ($4,400)

In an effort not to pick Brock Bowers or Trey McBride, Warren is the next best option. Josh Downs is now on the Kansas City Chiefs. So there is no reason that Warren shouldn’t see 15 targets a week. The Miami Dolphins allow the fourth-most fantasy points to the position. This play is a layup that DraftKings users have to take.

Contrarian Play: Brevyn Spann-Ford, Dallas Cowboys ($3,200)

We have already talked about the Cowboys and how the game script will favor the passing attack. CeeDee Lamb will be the popular option and rightly so. However, Spann-Ford, with Jake Ferguson out, could be a good way to get exposure to the Cowboys without paying the ownership premium in this likely high-scoring matchup. Spann-Ford is purely an ownership play on DraftKings. The 49ers are middle of the pack, sitting 16th in fantasy points allowed to tight ends. So Spann-Ford has some upside as well.

Final Thoughts

The game to target this week is the Cowboys and 49ers. The projected total is currently sitting at 56, which is almost a full touchdown higher than any other game. Another game to watch is the Buffalo Bills at the New York Jets. Both games will have plenty of stacking opportunities. Best of luck, as we are over the halfway point of the NFL season!

Make sure to check out all of our Week 10 Fantasy Football Rankings and Analysis!