Fantasy EPL Projections for Gameweek 31

Football is notoriously hard to predict, and as such, EPL projections for the fantasy draft game are rare. With so few goals scored, upsets tend to happen more than in other sports, whilst the limited use of substitutes also makes it easy to misjudge the amount of playing time an individual will get. Add these to the fact that any position can and does contribute to almost all aspects of the game (unlike in many American sports), as well as the fact that one goal can have a monumental impact on a player’s score (e.g. a goalkeeper can go from +8 to -2 with one kick), and you have a recipe for disaster. And that’s not even considering the unprecedented situation we currently find ourselves in where some managers are making 8 changes between each game and others can’t fill out their substitutes bench!

So, with that all said, I present to you Fantrax EPL projections for Gameweek 31. Please go easy on them!

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Gameweek 31 EPL Projections

Note: all numbers are based on Togga scoring. Players are colour coded by projected playing time. Green = almost certain to start; yellow = 70-90% chance of starting; red = 50-70% chance of starting, grey = unlikely to start but could play some part. The process explaining these projections can be found at the foot of the article.

Goalkeepers

GOALKEEPERS		Team	Proj.	Clean Sheet Proj?
1	Jordan Pickford	EVE	12.00	Y
2	Kasper Schmeichel	LEI	12.00	Y
3	Rui Patricio	WOL	12.00	Y
4	Alisson	LIV	10.25	Y
5	David de Gea	MUN	10.00	Y
6	Nick Pope	BUR	8.00
7	Ederson	MCI	6.25
8	Martin Dubravka	NEW	6.00
9	Simon Moore	SHU	6.00
10	Hugo Lloris	TOT	6.00
11	Pepe Reina	AVL	4.00
12	Vicente Guaita	CRY	4.00
13	Lukasz Fabianski	WHU	4.00
14	Emiliano Martinez	ARS	2.00
15	Mat Ryan	BHA	2.00
16	Tim Krul	NOR	2.00
17	Alex McCarthy	SOU	2.00
18	Ben Foster	WAT	2.00
19	Aaron Ramsdale	BOU	0.00
20	Kepa Arrizabalaga	CHE	0.00

Defenders

DEFENDERS		Team	Proj.	Clean Sheet Proj.?
1	Trent Alexander-Arnold	LIV	20.00	Y
2	Lucas Digne	EVE	17.50	Y
3	Matt Doherty	WOL	17.00	Y
4	Joseph Gomez	LIV	15.50	Y
5	Luke Shaw	MUN	14.00	Y
6	Aaron Wan-Bissaka	MUN	13.50	Y
7	Serge Aurier	TOT	13.50
8	Seamus Coleman	EVE	13.00	Y
9	Virgil van Dijk	LIV	13.00	Y
10	Ben Chilwell	LEI	12.75	Y
11	Harry Maguire	MUN	12.00	Y
12	Willy Boly	WOL	10.75	Y
13	Jonny Evans	LEI	10.50	Y
14	Dejan Lovren	LIV	10.25	Y
15	James Justin	LEI	10.25	Y
16	James Tarkowski	BUR	10.25
17	Jonny	WOL	10.25	Y
18	Michael Keane	EVE	10.00	Y
19	Caglar Soyuncu	LEI	9.50	Y
20	Ben Mee	BUR	9.00
21	Christian Kabasele	WAT	9.00
22	Eric Bailly	MUN	8.75	Y
23	Mason Holgate	EVE	8.50	Y
24	Federico Fernandez	NEW	8.25
25	Matt Targett	AVL	8.25
26	Adam Masina	WAT	8.00
27	Charlie Taylor	BUR	8.00
28	Conor Coady	WOL	8.00	Y
29	Kortney Hause	AVL	7.75
30	Craig Dawson	WAT	7.50
31	Ryan Bertrand	SOU	7.50
32	Shkodran Mustafi	ARS	7.25
33	Aymeric Laporte	MCI	7.00
34	Benjamin Mendy	MCI	7.00
35	Dan Burn	BHA	7.00
36	Davinson Sanchez	TOT	7.00
37	Jan Bednarek	SOU	7.00
38	Tyrone Mings	AVL	7.00
39	Marcos Alonso	CHE	6.75
40	Adam Webster	BHA	6.50
41	Jamaal Lascelles	NEW	6.50
42	Ben Davies	TOT	6.25
43	Cesar Azpilicueta	CHE	6.25
44	Danny Rose	NEW	6.25
45	Jack Stephens	SOU	6.00
46	Lewis Dunk	BHA	6.00
47	Max Aarons	NOR	6.00
48	Issa Diop	WHU	5.25
49	Martin Montoya	BHA	5.25
50	Nathan Ake	BOU	5.25
51	Diego Rico	BOU	5.00
52	Javier Manquillo	NEW	5.00
53	Steve Cook	BOU	5.00
54	Jamal Lewis	NOR	4.50
55	Yan Valery	SOU	4.50
56	Kiko Femenia	WAT	4.25
57	Aaron Cresswell	WHU	4.00
58	Enda Stevens	SHU	4.00
59	John Lundstram	SHU	4.00
60	Djibril Sidibe	EVE	3.75
61	Kyle Walker	MCI	3.75
62	Jack Robinson	SHU	3.50
63	Ruben Vinagre	WOL	3.50
64	Scott Dann	CRY	3.50
65	Adam Smith	BOU	3.00
66	Jeffrey Schlupp	CRY	3.00
67	Rob Holding	ARS	3.00
68	Chris Basham	SHU	2.75
69	Gary Cahill	CRY	2.75
70	Hector Bellerin	ARS	2.75
71	Antonio Rudiger	CHE	2.50
72	Matthew Lowton	BUR	2.50
73	Ezri Konsa Ngoyo	AVL	2.25
74	Phil Jagielka	SHU	2.25
75	Jeremy Ngakia	WHU	2.00
76	Kieran Tierney	ARS	2.00
77	Ryan Fredericks	WHU	2.00
78	Timm Klose	NOR	2.00
79	Ahmed El Mohamady	AVL	1.75
80	George Baldock	SHU	1.75
81	Joel Ward	CRY	1.75
82	Patrick van Aanholt	CRY	1.25
83	Adrian Mariappa	WAT	1.00
84	Erik Pieters	BUR	1.00
85	Jack Stacey	BOU	1.00
86	Leighton Baines	EVE	1.00
87	Nicolas Otamendi	MCI	1.00
88	DeAndre Yedlin	NEW	0.50
89	Neco Williams	LIV	0.50
90	Reece James	CHE	0.50
91	Andreas Christensen	CHE	0.25
92	Kyle Walker-Peters	SOU	0.25

Midfielders

MIDFIELDERS		Team	Proj.	Clean Sheet Proj.?
1	Paul Pogba	MUN	19.00	Y
2	Bruno Fernandes	MUN	18.00	Y
3	James Maddison	LEI	17.50	Y
4	Nathan Redmond	SOU	16.75
5	Kevin De Bruyne	MCI	16.00
6	Riyad Mahrez	MCI	16.00
7	Gylfi Sigurdsson	EVE	15.50	Y
8	Jonjo Shelvey	NEW	13.25
9	Dele Alli	TOT	13.00
10	Christian Pulisic	CHE	12.25
11	Joao Moutinho	WOL	12.00	Y
12	Emiliano Buendia	NOR	11.50
13	Matt Ritchie	NEW	11.50
14	Michail Antonio	WHU	11.25
15	James Ward-Prowse	SOU	11.00
16	John McGinn	AVL	10.50
17	Will Hughes	WAT	10.00
18	Jack Grealish	AVL	9.50
19	Jordan Henderson	LIV	9.50	Y
20	Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain	LIV	9.25	Y
21	Ondrej Duda	NOR	9.00
22	Stuart Armstrong	SOU	9.00
23	Abdoulaye Doucoure	WAT	8.75
24	Demarai Gray	LEI	8.50	Y
25	Scott McTominay	MUN	8.50	Y
26	Moussa Sissoko	TOT	8.25
27	David Brooks	BOU	8.00
28	Declan Rice	WHU	8.00
29	Giovani Lo Celso	TOT	8.00
30	N’Golo Kante	CHE	8.00
31	Wilfred Ndidi	LEI	7.75	Y
32	Ashley Westwood	BUR	7.50
33	Ilkay Gundogan	MCI	7.50
34	Mark Noble	WHU	7.50
35	Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg	SOU	7.50
36	Erik Lamela	TOT	7.25
37	Tomas Soucek	WHU	7.25
38	Miguel Almiron	NEW	7.00
39	Rodrigo	MCI	7.00
40	Ruben Neves	WOL	7.00	Y
41	Tom Davies	EVE	7.00	Y
42	Alex Iwobi	EVE	6.75	Y
43	Mateo Kovacic	CHE	6.75
44	Trezeguet	AVL	6.75
45	Aaron Mooy	BHA	6.50
46	Alexander Tettey	NOR	6.50
47	Dennis Praet	LEI	6.50	Y
48	Etienne Capoue	WAT	6.50
49	Onel Hernandez	NOR	6.50
50	Yves Bissouma	BHA	6.50
51	Fabinho	LIV	6.25	Y
52	Isaac Hayden	NEW	6.25
53	James McArthur	CRY	6.25
54	Luka Milivojevic	CRY	6.25
55	Solly March	BHA	6.25
56	Kenny McLean	NOR	6.20
57	Andre Gomes	EVE	6.00	Y
58	Manuel Lanzini	WHU	6.00
59	Jorginho	CHE	5.75
60	Junior Stanislas	BOU	5.75
61	Jack Cork	BUR	5.50
62	Jefferson Lerma	BOU	5.50
63	Josh Brownhill	BUR	5.50
64	Keinan Davis	AVL	5.50
65	Mesut Ozil	ARS	5.50
66	Douglas Luiz	AVL	5.25
67	Lewis Cook	BOU	5.25
68	Cheikhou Kouyate	CRY	5.00
69	Eric Dier	TOT	5.00
70	Marvelous Nakamba	AVL	5.00
71	Romain Saiss	WOL	5.00	Y
72	Dani Ceballos	ARS	4.75
73	Harry Wilson	BOU	4.75
74	Oliver Norwood	SHU	4.75
75	Harvey Barnes	LEI	4.50
76	John Fleck	SHU	4.50
77	Pascal Gross	BHA	4.50
78	Andros Townsend	CRY	4.25
79	Bernardo Silva	MCI	4.25
80	Fernandinho	MCI	4.25
81	Leandro Trossard	BHA	4.25
82	Mason Mount	CHE	4.25
83	Conor Hourihane	AVL	4.00
84	Dale Stephens	BHA	4.00
85	Georginio Wijnaldum	LIV	4.00
86	Phil Foden	MCI	4.00
87	Philip Billing	BOU	4.00
88	Tanguy Ndombele	TOT	4.00
89	Youri Tielemans	LEI	4.00
90	Ross Barkley	CHE	3.75
91	Daniel Podence	WOL	3.50
92	Alexis Mac Allister	BHA	3.00
93	Anwar El Ghazi	AVL	3.00
94	Nabil Bentaleb	NEW	3.00
95	Nemanja Matic	MUN	3.00
96	Oriol Romeu	SOU	3.00
97	Tom Cleverley	WAT	3.00
98	Dan Gosling	BOU	2.50
99	David Silva	MCI	2.50
100	Diogo Jota	WOL	2.50
101	Jack Wilshere	WHU	2.50
102	Jota	AVL	2.50
103	Juan Mata	MUN	2.50
104	Mario Vrancic	NOR	2.50
105	Sander Berge	SHU	2.50
106	Todd Cantwell	NOR	2.50
107	Valentino Lazaro	NEW	2.50
108	Ainsley Maitland-Niles	ARS	2.25
109	Felipe Anderson	WHU	2.25
110	Sofiane Boufal	SOU	2.25
111	Aaron Lennon	BUR	2.00
112	Bernard	EVE	2.00
113	Davy Propper	BHA	2.00
114	Fred	MUN	2.00
115	Gabriel Martinelli	ARS	2.00
116	Hamza Choudhury	LEI	2.00
117	Ignacio Pussetto	WAT	2.00
118	Marc Albrighton	LEI	2.00
119	Marco Stiepermann	NOR	2.00
120	Naby Keita	LIV	2.00
121	Pablo Fornals	WHU	2.00
122	Roberto Pereyra	WAT	2.00
123	Ruben Loftus-Cheek	CHE	2.00
124	Ryan Sessegnon	TOT	2.00
125	Ben Osborn	SHU	1.75
126	James McCarthy	CRY	1.75
127	Nathaniel Chalobah	WAT	1.75
128	Robbie Brady	BUR	1.75
129	Anthony Gordon	EVE	1.50
130	Leander Dendoncker	WOL	1.50
131	Matteo Guendouzi	ARS	1.50
132	Ben Godfrey	NOR	1.25
133	Daniel James	MUN	1.25
134	Gedson Fernandes	TOT	1.25
135	Harry Winks	TOT	1.00
136	Joseph Willock	ARS	1.00
137	Luke Freeman	SHU	1.00
138	Max Meyer	CRY	1.00
139	Morgan Gibbs-White	WOL	1.00
140	Jeff Hendrick	BUR	0.50
141	Jairo Riedewald	CRY	0.25

Forwards

FORWARDS		Team	Proj.
1	Sadio Mane	LIV	20.00
2	Adama Traore	WOL	19.00
3	Richarlison	EVE	19.00
4	Jamie Vardy	LEI	18.25
5	Allan Saint-Maximin	NEW	18.00
6	Raul Jimenez	WOL	17.75
7	Danny Ings	SOU	17.00
8	Son Heung-Min	TOT	16.75
9	Anthony Martial	MUN	16.50
10	Marcus Rashford	MUN	16.50
11	Ismaila Sarr	WAT	15.75
12	Harry Kane	TOT	15.00
13	Michael Obafemi	SOU	14.00
14	Roberto Firmino	LIV	14.00
15	Dominic Calvert-Lewin	EVE	13.75
16	Dwight McNeil	BUR	13.25
17	Mohamed Salah	LIV	13.00
18	Raheem Sterling	MCI	12.75
19	Mason Greenwood	MUN	12.00
20	Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang	ARS	11.50
21	Matej Vydra	BUR	11.25
22	Joelinton	NEW	11.00
23	Troy Deeney	WAT	11.00
24	Ayoze Perez	LEI	9.75
25	Jarrod Bowen	WHU	9.75
26	Pedro Neto	WOL	9.50
27	Jay Rodriguez	BUR	9.25
28	Gabriel Jesus	MCI	9.00
29	Steven Bergwijn	TOT	9.00
30	Nicolas Pepe	ARS	8.75
31	Willian	CHE	7.75
32	Christian Benteke	CRY	7.00
33	Danny Welbeck	WAT	7.00
34	Oliver McBurnie	SHU	6.75
35	Wilfried Zaha	CRY	6.50
36	Andriy Yarmolenko	WHU	6.25
37	Mbwana Samatta	AVL	6.00
38	Aaron Connolly	BHA	5.75
39	Jordan Ayew	CRY	5.50
40	Teemu Pukki	NOR	5.50
41	Eddie Nketiah	ARS	5.25
42	Tammy Abraham	CHE	5.00
43	Arnaut Danjuma Groeneveld	BOU	4.50
44	Bukayo Saka	ARS	4.50
45	Alexandre Lacazette	ARS	4.00
46	Andy Carroll	NEW	4.00
47	Olivier Giroud	CHE	4.00
48	Kelechi Iheanacho	LEI	3.75
49	Lys Mousset	SHU	3.75
50	Josip Drmic	NOR	3.00
51	Leroy Sane	MCI	3.00
52	Callum Wilson	BOU	2.25
53	Neal Maupay	BHA	2.25
54	Odion Ighalo	MUN	2.25
55	Richairo Zivkovic	SHU	2.25
56	Dwight Gayle	NEW	2.00
57	Moise Kean	EVE	2.00
58	Adam Idah	NOR	1.50
59	Dominic Solanke	BOU	1.50
60	Takumi Minamino	LIV	1.50
61	Divock Origi	LIV	1.25
62	William Smallbone	SOU	1.25
63	Albian Ajeti	WHU	1.00
64	Billy Sharp	SHU	1.00
65	Glenn Murray	BHA	1.00
66	Che Adams	SOU	0.50

The EPL Projections Process

Players rated by PremierInjuries.com as having a 50% chance of playing (or lower) were assumed to not have any involvement in a game. Scores are not given for players who are not thought to play (e.g. Hudson-Odoi in gameweek 30). Bookmakers odds were used as a basis for the match result, with individual intuition then added to predict a score. Substitutions were projected based on this match result, so, for example, if it was predicted that Tottenham would be losing/lose to Manchester United then the prediction of Jose Mourinho’s substitutes would reflect this and be different than if it was predicted that Tottenham would be beating/beat Manchester United.

Average values for each relevant stat were calculated and then adjusted based on the upcoming fixture. As a rudimentary check on the validity of scores, projected scores as a sum for all players, and then for each position, were calculated and compared with previous weeks to ensure similarity. That said, it is all but impossible and illogical to predict extreme outcomes, and hence, no player actually exceeds a score of 18 points in a single game (even though clearly there will be some that do). Likewise, there will undoubtedly be a few surprise results that are not built into the projections.

The prediction of a clean sheet is arguably the most difficult and contentious aspect of projections (see the Bournemouth and Crystal Palace defenders so high up the list!), and therefore may need amending in the future.

Wondering who the best current Draft Premier League players are to target? Look no further than our Top 150 Player Rankings!

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Are these EPL Projections something you’d like to see going forward? Let Luke know about it in the comments below.

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EPL Statistics

Fantasy EPL Player Projections: Gameweek 31