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Weekly Wrap: Week 16 of Fantasy Hockey

Welcome back to the Weekly Wrap. Week 16 of fantasy hockey is in the books, which means the NHL Trade Deadline is just six weeks away. The NHL trade deadline will once again be busy and intense. Hopefully your league’s trade deadline puts it to shame.

There’s lots to discuss from last week, let’s dive in.

Week 16 of Fantasy Hockey

Eastern Conference – Atlantic Division

Morgan Geekie, C, Boston Bruins

Geekie finally looks to be taking a step into fantasy relevance. He has four goals on nine shots in his last four games, and 12 points in his last 14 games. His 26 points in 46 games don’t look that impressive at first glance. However, when you break it down he only had five points in his first 20 games. That means he’s produced 21 points in his last 26 games. His ice time has also steadily increased. In October he played an average of 12:40 per game, in November it increased to 15:21, in December 16:23, and in January it’s up to 17:29. As of right now, he’s only owned in 29% of Fantrax pools. The secret isn’t fully out on Geekie, just yet.

Brady Tkachuk, LW/RW, Ottawa Senators

The drought ended in Week 16 of fantasy hockey.

Ten games. That was his pointless streak until he scored Sunday night. That’s a tough pill to swallow. At least he maintained his peripheral prowess during the drought. In January, he’s produced 41 penalty minutes, 47 shots and 45 hits. He was above a point-per-game pace before the offense was sucked out of him.

If there is a silver lining, it is that it happened now and not during your playoffs. The good news? Stars follow up droughts with streaks. Expect Tkachuk to begin ramping the offense back up.

Anton Lundell, C, Florida Panthers

Lundell continues to produce well in a third-line roll. If you can, hold on to him this offseason. Sam Bennett is an unrestricted free agent at the end of the year and there hasn’t been a recent update on contract talks. Lundell displayed an ability to take on a top-six role during Alexander Barkov’s injury early in the year. I have to wonder if this limited GM Bill Zito’s desire to resign Bennett. After all, Lundell is signed for three more years at five million. Bennett is going to cost closer to seven. They were shrewd letting Brandon Montour walk after winning the Stanley Cup.

He’s collected nine points while averaging 15:50 time on ice in January with just one minute per game coming on the power play.

Jakob Dobes, G, Montreal Canadiens

He’s been a revelation in his six starts. He has been sensational going, 5-0-1 with a 1.93 goals against average (GAA), and a .933 save percentage (SV%). Dobes has been a good story for the Habs. He’s taken starts from Sam Montembeault. With eight goals against in his last two starts it is way too soon to anoint him as the next great Montreal goalie.  Hell, he may not even achieve Andrew Hammond’s status.

Enjoy the run, but tread cautiously in trade talks.

Eastern Conference – Metropolitan Division

Evgeni Malkin, C, Pittsburgh Penguins

Malkin finds himself on injured reserve in January, again. He’s listed as week-to-week. After a red-hot start to the season, Malkin has been in steady decline with just three points in his last eight games.

His ice time in January has also dropped to 15:38 per game. At 38, Father Time is ticking loudly.

Mika Zibanejad, C, New York Rangers

I just acquired him in a multi-cat pool at a huge discount. With 29 points in 49 games, Zibanejad is on pace for just 48 points. This is just a year removed from producing 92 points.

At 31, this is a reflection of the Rangers season, not regression due to age. A little over a third of the season remains. I put my money on Zibanejad having a big bounce back to end the season. Here’s hoping positive regression hits him hard. With two points in his last seven games, I might need to wait until after the Four Nations Cup to see any potential upswing.

Noah Dobson, D, and Ryan Pulock, D, New York Islanders

They have both been placed on injured reserve. Pulock is expected to miss at least the next three games, while Dobson was placed on long-term injured reserve and may miss the rest of the season.

Anthony DeAngelo, D, New York Islanders

In response, the Islanders signed Anthony DeAngelo to a one-year contract. DeAngelo had been playing exceptionally well in the KHL (32 points in 34 games). He played a whopping 25:07 in his first game with the Islanders, including 5:15 on the power play. The potential is there for DeAngelo to step in and be a big point producer in Dobson’s absence. He does seem to wear his welcome out quickly though. He’s never played three full seasons with the same team in his career.

Scott Perunovich, D, New York Islanders

The Islanders also made a trade. They acquired Perunovich from the St. Louis Blues. Due to injuries and a veteran-laden blueline, Perunovich was never able to establish himself with the Blues. He’ll get a much better look with the Islanders, at least in the short term.

Western Conference – Pacific Division

Trevor Zegras, C/LW, Anaheim Ducks

Zegras has one goal on ten shots and three points in week 16 of fantasy hockey, returning from injury. I’m encouraged that he’s put up points early in his return. I’m hoping this boosts his confidence and gets him back on track. Owning him in three pools, I need him to unleash that electric skill set down the stretch.

Thomas Hertl, C, Vegas Golden Knights

Hertl has three goals and an assist over his last four games. This extends his point streak to nine games. After mediocre production in November and December (14 points in 28 games) Hertl has produced above a point-per-game in January (13 in 14 games).  Like the Golden Knights, he’s rolling along.

Connor McDavid, C, Edmonton Oilers

McDavid was suspended for three games after cross-checking Conor Garland, LW/RW, Vancouver Canucks, to the face. Expect him to return energized and continue his torrid pace.

Week 16 of fantasy hockey missed McDavid. At least the teams that own him did.

Joey Daccord, G, Seattle Kraken

Daccord has started seven of the last eight Kraken games and has played in nine straight. Philipp Grubauer was pulled in his last two starts (January 9th and 12th), after giving up a total of 8 goals over 23 shots in those two games.

It took two seasons, but Daccord has secured the number-one goalie job in Seattle.

Western Conference – Central Division

Kirill Kaprizov, LW/RW, Minnesota Wild

After missing exactly a month, Kaprizov returned on January 23rd. He’s picked up two assists in the three games he’s played post-injury.

We can expect Kaprizov’s production to begin to ramp up. He’s an elite fantasy asset. The points will come.

Niklas Ehlers, LW/RW, Winnipeg Jets

He continues to produce at a point-per-game pace, with 44 points in 42 games. He’s teased us in previous years, only to miss significant time due to injuries. In four of the last six seasons, he has averaged over 0.8 points per game. Yet, he’s only broken 60 points once.

And he’s only averaging 15:37 per game. For whatever reason, Ehlers has only once in his career averaged over 17 minutes per game. It’s an oddity attached to his career in Winnipeg.

Dylan Holloway, LW, St. Louis Blues

Holloway continues his strong campaign with six points in his last six games. How much do the Edmonton Oilers miss his emergence? It is his first full NHL season and he’s on pace for 61 points.

For multi-cat pools, it’s the 189-shot and 180-hit pace that grabs my attention.   Players that offer these peripherals and 60-plus point production are rare.  Sitting on 141 career NHL games, Holloway won’t hit his breakout threshold until next season.

Alexander Ovechkin, LW, Washinton Capitals

Career Goals: 875 (22 on the season)

Gretzky’s Record: 894

To Tie Record: 19 Goals

To Break Record: 20 Goals

In case you are wondering, I haven’t overlooked the blockbuster Mikko Rantanen trade from Friday. I’ll give my fantasy take later this week in a separate article.

That will do it for this week. Thanks for reading.

Follow me on X: @doylelb4

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