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2026 CFF: Week 1 Group of 6 Watch List

New here? Welcome to the column where I dig through the couch cushions of college football so you don’t have to. This week’s topic: Your CFF Week 1 Group of 6 Watch List. I am Luke Probasco, one half of the G5 Hive. You may know me from our Worker Bee Series, where we talk with all 70 Group of 6 correspondents to dive into their teams heading into the new season.

Every week this season, the rule is simple: every player featured has to (1) play for a Group of 6 program, and (2) be rostered in under 30% of leagues. In other words, no blue bloods, no household names, no guys your league mates already have queued up in their favorites tab. Just the ones flying quietly under the radar, waiting for you to scoop them up before everyone else catches on.

Ownership percentages are just vibes with math attached, and this week’s list of under-owned gems proves it. We’ve got a tight end room that somehow gets more efficient in the red zone, and a receiver whose new OC loves to Sling It Everywhere, another receiver whose OC has a proven track record, a literal bell cowboy and a quarterback whose passing stats will make you wince — although his legs might just save your Saturdays. Let’s get into it – Your CFF Week 1 Group of 6 Watch List.


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Your CFF Week 1 Group of 6 Watch List

Tight End

Jeron Askren, Missouri State — 8% Owned

Missouri State runs a Casey Woods led offense (with an assist from Mark Cala), and if you want a preview of what that means for the tight end position, look no further than Woods’ four-year run as OC at SMU from 2022–2025. His TE1s averaged 44 targets, 29 receptions, 405 yards, and 5 TDs a season — not bad, but the real story is usage. Specifically, these tight ends run a route on 79% of snaps and command a 9.9% target share. Then things get spicy near the goal line: when you look at the full tight end room (not just the TE1), their red zone target share jumps from 17% all the way up to 22%.

In other words, this offense trusts its tight ends when it matters most. All told, that’s a season average of 99.5 PPR points (8.29 PPG) for the TE1 — one of the best marks you’ll find anywhere in the Group of 6. Overall, quietly one of the better streaming options at a position that’s mostly a wasteland.

Wide Receiver

Howard Kinchen, Troy — 5% Owned

Okay, everybody sit up straight for this one, because it’s time to get pumped. Howard Kinchen. Say it a few times. Learn it. If you don’t, my co-host Justice will show up at your door! Troy just brought in new OC Adam Austin, and based on his two seasons calling plays at Tarleton, this offense is about to sling the rock all over the yard. As a result, Austin’s WR1 averaged 101 targets, 65 receptions, 1,236 yards, and 11 TDs over a full season — good for a staggering 254.6 PPR points, or 21.22 PPG.

That’s not a WR2 flier. In fact, that’s a legitimate league-winning number if Kinchen slides into that role. He gets his first crack at it this weekend against Sam Houston, and if you’re the type who likes to say “I told you so” in your league group chat, now’s your chance to plant the flag.

Javon Robinson, Utah State — 16% Owned

Robert Anae takes over as Utah State’s OC after Kevin McGiven bounced for Utah, and Anae brings a track record worth paying attention to: in 7 of his last 10 seasons as a play-caller, his WR1 has lined up in the slot. Anae’s WR1 averaged 102 targets, 68 receptions, 862 yards, and 6 TDs on the season — a tidy 15.36 PPG.

If Javon Robinson is that slot guy (and the odds favor him), he’s a strong bet to be a weekly starter in PPR formats, quietly outproducing plenty of receivers with far higher ownership.

Running Back and Quarterback

Wyoming:
RB Samuel “Tote” Harris — 17% Owned

Two Cowboys, one new play-caller, one section — because you can’t talk about either of these guys without talking about Christian Taylor, Wyoming’s brand-new OC. Taylor spent 2021–2023 running the offense at William & Mary, and as a result, his track record there is basically the scouting report for what Wyoming’s backfield and passing attack could look like this season.

To begin with, let’s start with the ground game. Under Taylor, the RB1 in his system averages 142 carries for 870 yards and 7 TDs per season, adding 13 catches on 16 targets for another 101 yards through the air — that is, 155 total touches for 971 yards, or 14.9 touches and 109.5 yards per game. Consequently, that’s 14.7 PPG in full-PPR formats. If Samuel “Tote” Harris steps into that RB1 role the way the usage patterns suggest, he’s not fighting for touches — he’s the whole meal. Historically, that RB1’s carries have nearly doubled the RB2’s in Taylor’s system, which is bell cow — sorry, bell cowboy — territory if it translates to Laramie.

QB Tyler Hughes — 9% Owned

Now, for the quarterback. Taylor’s William & Mary QBs averaged 1,631 passing yards, 10 passing TDs, and 7 INTs — numbers that won’t make anyone forget about Josh Allen anytime soon. But the legs are where it gets interesting: his QB1 also averaged 473 rushing yards and 3 rushing TDs on the ground. If Tyler Hughes’ role mirrors that historical usage, that’s 19.9 PPG in 6-point passing TD leagues, or 18.07 PPG in 4-point leagues. Overall, respectable numbers, even if nobody’s calling Hughes a league-winner.

Here’s the big caveat: all of this is what Taylor’s system has produced before, not what Harris or Hughes have actually done yet in it. In other words, consider it a scouting projection, not a stat line — but it’s exactly the kind of signal worth knowing before Week 1 kicks off against Colorado State.


Your CFF Week 1 Group of 6 Watch List

The bottom line: low ownership doesn’t mean low upside. Between a tight end room that gets more trusted the closer it gets to paydirt, a receiver stepping into a system built to sling it, a slot specialist inheriting a proven role, and a new Wyoming OC whose system history points to a workhorse back and a dual-threat QB, this week’s list has something for every corner of your roster. In short, claim these names before your league mates catch on.

If you are looking for more CFF names, check out John Laub’s article College Fantasy Football Waiver Wire: Week 0.


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