One of the biggest factors when it comes to a starting pitcher’s matchup is the current state of the opponent’s rosters. Sometimes a pitcher may luck out and face a weaker lineup due to injuries and off days. While it’s hard to predict when a team’s best hitters might get a day off, when a normally powerful lineup has many key player injuries it changes all the projections for the upcoming week.
This week is one of those weeks where star hitters continue to hit the IL on teams that normally require a cautious approach in lineup decisions. The Phillies, in particular, just lost both Harper and Schwarber to injuries for next which makes them a far less intimidating lineup. Those injuries and many more have been taken into account with this week’s starting pitcher rankings and start confidence scores, providing a rare opportunity to stream against several normally strong lineups with greater confidence.
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Starting Pitcher Rankings for Week 15 (7/1 – 7/7)
| Rnk | Pitcher | Team | Opp | Confidence Level |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Garrett Crochet | CWS | @MIA | 9 |
| 2 | Chris Sale | ATL | SFG | 8 |
| 3 | Corbin Burnes | BAL | @SEA | 7 |
| 4 | Tarik Skubal | DET | @MIN/ @CIN | 7 (both matchups) |
| 5 | Jack Flaherty | DET | @MIN | 7 |
| 6 | Hunter Brown | HOU | @TOR/ @MIN | 7 (both matchups) |
| 7 | Framber Valdez | HOU | @TOR | 7 |
| 8 | Cole Ragans | KCR | @COL | 7 |
| 9 | Tyler Glasnow | LAD | MIL | 7 |
| 10 | Zack Wheeler | PHI | @CHC/ @ATL | 7 (@CHC=8 & @ATL=6) |
| 11 | Mitch Keller | PIT | STL | 7 |
| 12 | Paul Skenes | PIT | NYM | 7 |
| 13 | Matt Waldron | SDP | ARI | 7 |
| 14 | George Kirby | SEA | BAL | 7 |
| 15 | Logan Gilbert | SEA | BAL | 7 |
| 16 | Zac Gallen | ARI | @SDP | 6 |
| 17 | Reynaldo Lopez | ATL | SFG/ PHI | 6 (both matchups) |
| 18 | Max Fried | ATL | PHI | 6 |
| 19 | Grayson Rodriguez | BAL | @SEA | 6 |
| 20 | Albertt Suarez | BAL | @OAK | 6 |
| 21 | Brayan Bello | BOS | @MIA | 6 |
| 22 | Nick Pivetta | BOS | @MIA | 6 |
| 23 | Justin Steele | CHC | LAA | 6 |
| 24 | Erick Fedde | CWS | @CLE/ @MIA | 6 (@CLE=5 & @MIA=7) |
| 25 | Hunter Greene | CIN | DET | 6 |
| 26 | Tanner Bibee | CLE | SFG | 6 |
| 27 | Ronel Blanco | HOU | @TOR | 6 |
| 28 | Michael Wacha | KCR | TBR | 6 |
| 29 | Seth Lugo | KCR | @COL | 6 |
| 30 | Zach Plesac | LAA | @OAK | 6 |
| 31 | James Paxton | LAD | MIL | 6 |
| 32 | Freddy Peralta | MIL | @LAD | 6 |
| 33 | Bailey Ober | MIN | DET | 6 |
| 34 | Pablo Lopez | MIN | HOU | 6 |
| 35 | Christian Scottt | NYM | @WSH | 6 |
| 36 | Luis Gil | NYY | CIN/ @TOR | 6 (both matchups) |
| 37 | Carlos Rodon | NYY | CIN | 6 |
| 38 | Cristopher Sanchez | PHI | @CHC | 6 |
| 39 | Aaron Nola | PHI | @ATL | 6 |
| 40 | Jared Jones | PIT | STL/ NYM | 6 (STL=7 & NYM=5) |
| 41 | Dylan Cease | SDP | @TEX | 6 |
| 42 | Michael King | SDP | ARI | 6 |
| 43 | Logan Webb | SFG | @ATL | 6 |
| 44 | Luis Castillo | SEA | BAL/ TOR | 6 (both matchups) |
| 45 | Ryan Pepiot | TBR | @KCR | 6 |
| 46 | Zach Eflin | TBR | @KCR | 6 |
| 47 | Max Scherzer | TEX | SDP | 6 |
| 48 | Dean Kremer | BAL | @SEA | 5 |
| 49 | Cade Povich | BAL | @OAK | 5 |
| 50 | Cole Irvin | BAL | @OAK | 5 |
| 51 | Kutter Crawford | BOS | @MIA/ @NYY | 5 (@MIA=6 & @NYY=4) |
| 52 | Tanner Houck | BOS | @NYY | 5 |
| 53 | Shota Imanaga | CHC | PHI | 5 |
| 54 | Kyle Hendricks | CHC | LAA | 5 |
| 55 | Gavin Williams | CLE | CWS/ SFG | 5 (both matchups) |
| 56 | Ben Lively | CLE | CWS | 5 |
| 57 | Triston McKenzie | CLE | CWS | 5 |
| 58 | Cal Quantrill | COL | MIL | 5 |
| 59 | Reese Olson | DET | @CIN | 5 |
| 60 | Spencer Arrighetti | HOU | @TOR/ @MIN | 5 (both matchups) |
| 61 | Justin Verlander | HOU | @MIN | 5 |
| 62 | Jose Soriano | LAA | @OAK | 5 |
| 63 | Griffin Canning | LAA | @CHC | 5 |
| 64 | Tyler Anderson | LAA | @CHC | 5 |
| 65 | Gavin Stone | LAD | ARI | 5 |
| 66 | Landon Knack | LAD | ARI | 5 |
| 67 | Valente Bellozo | MIA | BOS/ CWS | 5 (BOS=4 & CWS=6) |
| 68 | Colin Rea | MIL | @COL | 5 |
| 69 | Simeon Woods Richardson | MIN | DET/ HOU | 5 (DET=6 & HOU=4) |
| 70 | Joe Ryan | MIN | HOU | 5 |
| 71 | David Peterson | NYM | @WSH/ @PIT | 5 (both matchups) |
| 72 | Sean Manaea | NYM | @WSH | 5 |
| 73 | Luis Severino | NYM | @PIT | 5 |
| 74 | Marcus Stroman | NYY | CIN | 5 |
| 75 | Nestor Cortes | NYY | BOS | 5 |
| 76 | Gerrit Cole | NYY | BOS | 5 |
| 77 | JP Sears | OAK | LAA | 5 |
| 78 | Ranger Suarez | PHI | @ATL | 5 |
| 79 | Martin Perez | PIT | STL | 5 |
| 80 | Kyle Gibson | STL | @PIT/ @WSH | 5 (both matchups) |
| 81 | Sonny Gray | STL | @WSH | 5 |
| 82 | Yu Darvish | SDP | @TEX/ ARI | 5 (@TEX=4 & ARI=6) |
| 83 | Bryce Miller | SEA | TOR | 5 |
| 84 | Zack Littell | TBR | @KCR/ @TEX | 5 (@KCR=6 & @TEX=4) |
| 85 | Taj Bradley | TBR | @TEX | 5 |
| 86 | Nathan Eovaldi | TEX | SDP/ TBR | 5 (SDP=4 & TBR=6) |
| 87 | Andrew Heaney | TEX | TBR | 5 |
| 88 | Chris Bassitt | TOR | HOU | 5 |
| 89 | Kevin Gausman | TOR | @SEA | 5 |
| 90 | Mitchell Parker | WSH | NYM | 5 |
| 91 | Jake Irvin | WSH | NYM | 5 |
| 92 | Ryne Nelson | ARI | @LAD/ @SDP | 4 (both matchups) |
| 93 | Jordan Montgomery | ARI | @LAD | 4 |
| 94 | Brandon Pfaadt | ARI | @SDP | 4 |
| 95 | Charlie Morton | ATL | SFG | 4 |
| 96 | Spencer Schwellenbach | ATL | PHI | 4 |
| 97 | Hayden Wesneski | CHC | PHI/ LAA | 4 (both matchups) |
| 98 | Drew Thorpe | CWS | @CLE | 4 |
| 99 | Jonathan Cannon | CWS | @MIA | 4 |
| 100 | Andrew Abbott | CIN | @NYY | 4 |
| 101 | Frankie Montas | CIN | @NYY | 4 |
| 102 | Carson Spiers | CIN | DET | 4 |
| 103 | Logan Allen | CLE | SFG | 4 |
| 104 | Ryan Feltner | COL | MIL/ KCR | 4 (both matchups) |
| 105 | German Marquez | COL | KCR | 4 |
| 106 | Kyle Freeland | COL | KCR | 4 |
| 107 | Kenta Maeda | DET | @MIN | 4 |
| 108 | Casey Mize | DET | @CIN | 4 |
| 109 | Brady Singer | KCR | TBR/ @COL | 4 (TBR=5 & @COL=3) |
| 110 | Alec Marsh | KCR | TBR | 4 |
| 111 | Bobby Miller | LAD | ARI/ @SFG | 4 (both matchups) |
| 112 | Walker Buehler | LAD | MIL | 4 |
| 113 | Roddery Munoz | MIA | CWS | 4 |
| 114 | Yonny Chirinos | MIA | CWS | 4 |
| 115 | Bryse Wilson | MIL | @COL/ @LAD | 4 (both matchups) |
| 116 | Tobias Myers | MIL | @COL | 4 |
| 117 | David Festa | MIN | DET | 4 |
| 118 | Jose Quintana | NYM | @WSH | 4 |
| 119 | Tylor Megill | NYM | @PIT | 4 |
| 120 | Joey Estes | OAK | LAA | 4 |
| 121 | Bailey Falter | PIT | NYM | 4 |
| 122 | Miles Mikolas | STL | @PITT | 4 |
| 123 | Lance Lynn | STL | @WSH | 4 |
| 124 | Jordan Hicks | SFG | @ATL/ @CLE | 4 (@ATL=3 & @CLE=5) |
| 125 | Blake Snell | SFG | @ATL | 4 |
| 126 | Hayden Birdsong | SFG | @CLE | 4 |
| 127 | Jon Gray | TEX | SDP | 4 |
| 128 | Michael Lorenzen | TEX | TBR | 4 |
| 129 | Jose Berrios | TOR | HOU/ @SEA | 4 (HOU=3 & @SEA=5) |
| 130 | Yusei Kikuchi | TOR | HOU | 4 |
| 131 | MacKenzie Gore | WSH | NYM | 4 |
| 132 | Slade Cecconi | ARI | @LAD | 3 |
| 133 | Josh Winckowski | BOS | @NYY | 3 |
| 134 | Jameson Taillon | CHC | PHI | 3 |
| 135 | Austin Gomber | COL | MIL/ KCR | 3 (both matchups) |
| 136 | Dakota Hudson | COL | MIL | 3 |
| 137 | Roasny Contreras | LAA | @OAK/ @CHC | 3 (@OAK=4 & @CHC=2) |
| 138 | Kyle Tyler | MIA | BOS | 3 |
| 139 | Dallas Keuchel | MIL | @COL/ @LAD | 3 (both matchups) |
| 140 | Mitch Spence | OAK | LAA/ BAL | 3 (LAA=4 & BAL=2) |
| 141 | Randy Vasquez | SDP | @TEX | 3 |
| 142 | Spencer Howard | SFG | @CLE | 3 |
| 143 | Aaron Civale | TBR | @TEX | 3 |
| 144 | DJ Herz | WSH | NYM/ STL | 3 (NYM=2 & STL=4) |
| 145 | Chad Kuhl | CWS | @CLE | 2 |
| 146 | Graham Ashcraft | CIN | @NYY/ DET | 2 (@NYY=1 & DET=3) |
| 147 | Trevor Rogers | MIA | BOS | 2 |
| 148 | Hogan Harris | OAK | BAL | 2 |
| 149 | Michael Mercado | PHI | @CHC/ @ATL | 2 (both matchups) |
| 150 | Andre Pallante | STL | @PITT | 2 |
| 151 | Yariel Rodriguez | TOR | HOU/ @SEA | 2 (HOU=1 & @SEA=3) |
| 152 | Josiah Gray | WSH | STL | 2 |
| 153 | Luis Medina | OAK | BAL | 1 |
| 154 | Patrick Corbin | WSH | STL | 1 |
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