As we officially have passed the one-third mark of the fantasy baseball season, we are starting to get a strong glimpse of who is overvalued and undervalued based on the cost to acquire their services in drafts or auctions this spring. Some performances have exceeded expectations, while others have fallen behind. And time is running out to change their fortunes.
Value is an ever-changing target, but we do have a snapshot in time to look at how we valued them in our drafts this spring. With about 65-70 games played for each team this season, it’s a good time to look at who is performing how we hoped, and who is falling behind.
This weekly piece will look at the past seven days of fantasy baseball performances to see who should be considered overvalued and undervalued going forward. When necessary, I will reference the Fantrax top 400 rotisserie rankings for the 2026 fantasy baseball season.
Fantasy Baseball’s Most Overvalued Players
(Stats are up to date as of Jun 8)
Seiya Suzuki (OF – CHC)
Seiya Suzuki’s surface numbers have remained respectable (but still disappointing at .247/.336/.417), but several indicators suggest fantasy managers may have overestimated his value entering the season. His hard-hit rate and barrel rate have both dropped way off compared to his 2025 performance, resulting in less consistent power production. When Suzuki is not driving the baseball, he becomes heavily dependent on batting average to maintain fantasy value, and it just hasn’t been there this year.
The larger issue is his spring draft cost. Suzuki was often selected as a top-20 outfielder based on the expectation of production in a strong lineup. Instead, he has settled into a mediocre hitter instead of an elite fantasy hitter. His declining quality of contact makes it difficult to project a major second-half surge, leaving fantasy managers with a player who is useful but unlikely to return the value they paid on draft day.
Suzuki’s expected statistics (average and slugging percentage) don’t tell us that a change is coming.
Alex Bregman (3B – CHC)
Few hitters have disappointed relative to expectations more than Alex Bregman, and he admitted as much this week after an 0-for-5 game. Through 65 games, Bregman owns just a .669 OPS with five home runs and 19 RBI. He has struggled mightily with runners in scoring position and leads Major League Baseball with 143 runners left on base. Bregman himself described his offensive performance as “awful.”
The problem for fantasy managers is that Bregman’s declining power has removed much of the value that once made him a premium fantasy option. His five home runs put him well behind many starting fantasy third basemen, and his run production and RBIs have cratered despite hitting in a decent lineup. Managers who paid for vintage Alex Bregman production have instead received one of the least productive everyday third basemen in fantasy baseball.
Fantasy Baseball’s Most Undervalued Players
JJ Wetherholt (SS – STL)
The rookie middle infielder for the St. Louis Cardinals has quickly become one of the best values in fantasy baseball, based on draft slot. Through his first 59 games this season, Wetherholt has posted a .753 OPS with nine home runs, 25 RBI, and seven stolen bases while showing the advanced plate discipline that made him one of baseball’s premier prospects. His 11.4% walk rate is outstanding for a young rookie, and his .357 xwOBA suggests his strong start is fully supported.
What makes Wetherholt particularly attractive in fantasy formats is his strong approach at the plate, especially for a young age. He combines a 48.4% hard-hit rate with above-average on-base ability, creating production across multiple categories. In the minors during 2025, he posted a .306/.421/.510 line with 17 home runs and 23 stolen bases, demonstrating the 20-homer, 20-steal upside that could come as soon as 2026. Wetherholt’s underlying metrics indicate he should be treated as an every-week fantasy starter, and fantasy managers have caught on now that he is 99% rostered in Fantrax leagues.
Xavier Edwards (2B/SS – MIA)
Xavier Edwards continues to be one of the most overlooked fantasy assets despite producing elite category contributions everywhere. After the first week of June, Edwards owns a batting average north of .300 while ranking among the league leaders in stolen bases (11) and runs scored (41). He has incredible bat-to-ball skills. Edwards has maintained a strikeout rate around 12% and has an identical walk rate, putting him among the best contact hitters in baseball. In a time where batting average has become increasingly difficult to find, Edwards (.302 average) provides a category advantage that many fantasy managers underestimate.
The underlying metrics suggest his production is sustainable. Edwards pairs his strong contact ability with a chase rate (22.5%) that ranks well above league average, allowing him to consistently get on base and utilize his speed. While he will never be a major home run source (he does already have three more than last season), fantasy managers often overlook how valuable a .300 hitter with 40-plus steal potential can be. Because he was drafted outside the early rounds in many leagues, Edwards has dramatically outperformed his spring value and remains one of the biggest fantasy bargains of the season.
