One of the great things about advanced statistics over the last decade is the ability to measure a player’s true performance independent of luck. For hitters, the BABIP (batted balls in play) statistic is reliably accurate in identifying when a hitter’s high batting average is driven by luck. For pitchers, the FIP (fielding independent pitching) provides a similar measure. This stat looks solely at outcomes a pitcher can control, like strikeouts, walks, and home runs. Anything else involves fielding, and that’s out of their control. This is a key aspect of assessing if a slumping pitcher is just having bad luck or a victim of a poor defensive team. This gets factored into weekly start confidence ratings that go into the weekly starting pitcher rankings.
More great Fantasy Baseball Analysis: Fantasy Baseball Waiver Wire | Weekly SP Rankings | Pitching Streamers | Two-Start Pitchers | Lineup Analysis | MLB Injury Report | Rookie Report | Advanced Stats | Under the Radar | Overvalued & Undervalued | Bullpen Report
Starting Pitcher Rankings for Week 15 (6/29 – 7/5)
| Rank | Pitcher | Team | Opponent | Start Confidence Level |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jacob Misiorowski | MIL | CIN | 9 |
| 2 | Chris Sale | ATL | NYM | 8 |
| 3 | Sonny Gray | BOS | @LAA | 8 |
| 4 | Chase Burns | CIN | @MIL | 8 |
| 5 | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | LAD | SD | 8 |
| 6 | Cam Schlittler | NYY | DET | 8 |
| 7 | Cristopher Sanchez | PHI | PIT | 8 |
| 8 | Bryce Miller | SEA | LAA | 8 |
| 9 | Dylan Cease | TOR | @SEA | 8 |
| 10 | Kyle Bradish | BAL | @CIN | 7 |
| 11 | Connelly Early | BOS | WSH | 7 |
| 12 | Hunter Brown | HOU | TB | 7 |
| 13 | Shohei Ohtani | LAD | @ATH | 7 |
| 14 | Max Meyer | MIA | @COL | 7 |
| 15 | Sean Manaea | NYM | @TOR | 7 |
| 16 | Carlos Rodon | NYY | MIN | 7 |
| 17 | Zack Wheeler | PHI | PIT | 7 |
| 18 | Jesus Luzardo | PHI | @KC | 7 |
| 19 | Braxton Ashcraft | PIT | @PHI/ @WSH | 7 (both matchups) |
| 20 | Paul Skenes | PIT | @PHI | 7 |
| 21 | Logan Webb | SF | @COL | 7 |
| 22 | Emerson Hancock | SEA | LAA | 7 |
| 23 | Logan Gilbert | SEA | TOR | 7 |
| 24 | Jacob deGrom | TEX | @CLE/ DET | 7 (@CLE=8 & DET=6) |
| 25 | Merrill Kelly | ARI | MIL | 6 |
| 26 | Bryce Elder | ATL | NYM | 6 |
| 27 | Shane Baz | BAL | CWS | 6 |
| 28 | Ranger Suarez | BOS | WSH/ @LAA | 6 (both matchups) |
| 29 | Payton Tolle | BOS | WSH | 6 |
| 30 | Davis Martin | CWS | @CLE | 6 |
| 31 | Andrew Abbott | CIN | @MIL | 6 |
| 32 | Hunter Greene | CIN | BAL | 6 |
| 33 | Parker Messick | CLE | TEX/ CWS | 6 (both matchups) |
| 34 | Joey Cantillo | CLE | TEX | 6 |
| 35 | Tarik Skubal | DET | @NYY | 6 |
| 36 | Framber Valdez | DET | @TEX | 6 |
| 37 | Tatsuya Imai | HOU | MIN | 6 |
| 38 | Emmet Sheehan | LAD | SD | 6 |
| 39 | Kyle Harrison | MIL | CIN | 6 |
| 40 | Brandon Woodruff | MIL | @ARI | 6 |
| 41 | Joe Ryan | MIN | @HOU | 6 |
| 42 | Nolan McLean | NYM | @TOR/ @ATL | 6 (both matchups) |
| 43 | Freddy Peralta | NYM | @TOR | 6 |
| 44 | Ryan Weathers | NYY | DET/ MIN | 6 (both matchups) |
| 45 | Will Warren | NYY | DET | 6 |
| 46 | Bubba Chandler | PIT | @PHI/ @WSH | 6 (both matchups) |
| 47 | Landen Roupp | SF | @ARI | 6 |
| 48 | Bryan Woo | SEA | LAA/ TOR | 6 (both matchups) |
| 49 | Ian Seymour | TB | @KC | 6 |
| 50 | Drew Rasmussen | TB | @HOU | 6 |
| 51 | Eduardo Rodriguez | ARI | SF | 5 (both matchups) |
| 52 | Gage Jump | ATH | LAD/ MIA | 5 (LAD=4 & MIA=6) |
| 53 | Grant Holmes | ATL | STL/ NYM | 5 STL=6 & NYM=4) |
| 54 | Reynaldo Lopez | ATL | STL | 5 |
| 55 | Trevor Rogers | BAL | CWS | 5 |
| 56 | Brandon Young | BAL | @CIN | 5 |
| 57 | Jake Bennett | BOS | @LAA | 5 |
| 58 | Shota Imanaga | CHC | SD/ STL | 5 (both matchups) |
| 59 | Sean Burke | CWS | @BAL/ @CLE | 5 (@BAL=4 & @CLE=6) |
| 60 | Nick Lodolo | CIN | @MIL/ BAL | 5 (both matchups) |
| 61 | Brady Singer | CIN | BAL | 5 |
| 62 | Tanner Bibee | CLE | TEX/ CWS | 5 (both matchups) |
| 63 | Troy Melton | DET | @NYY | 5 |
| 64 | Peter Lambert | HOU | MIN | 5 |
| 65 | Mike Burrows | HOU | MIN | 5 |
| 66 | Michael Wacha | KC | PHI | 5 |
| 67 | Reid Detmers | LAA | BOS | 5 |
| 68 | Roki Sasaki | LAD | SD | 5 |
| 69 | Sandy Alcantara | MIA | @COL/ @ATH | 5 (both matchups) |
| 70 | Taj Bradley | MIN | @HOU | 5 |
| 71 | Gerrit Cole | NYY | MIN | 5 |
| 72 | Aaron Nola | PHI | PIT/ @KC | 5 (PIT=5 & @KC=6) |
| 73 | Michael McGreevy | STL | @ATL | 5 |
| 74 | Michael King | SD | @LAD | 5 |
| 75 | Trevor McDonald | SF | @ARI | 5 |
| 76 | George Kirby | SEA | TOR | 5 |
| 77 | Griffin Jax | TB | @KC/ @HOU | 5 (@KC=6 & @HOU=4) |
| 78 | Nick Martinez | TB | @KC | 5 |
| 79 | MacKenzie Gore | TEX | @CLE | 5 |
| 80 | Nathan Eovaldi | TEX | @CLE | 5 |
| 81 | Kevin Gausman | TOR | NYM | 5 |
| 82 | Shane Bieber | TOR | @SEA | 5 |
| 83 | Foster Griffin | WSH | PIT | 5 |
| 84 | Brandon Pfaadt | ARI | SF | 4 |
| 85 | Zac Gallen | ARI | SF | 4 |
| 86 | J.T. Ginn | ATH | LAD | 4 |
| 87 | Jack Perkins | ATH | MIA | 4 |
| 88 | Martin Perez | ATL | STL | 4 |
| 89 | Dean Kremer | BAL | @CIN | 4 |
| 90 | Matthew Boyd | CHC | SD | 4 |
| 91 | Colin Rea | CHC | STL | 4 |
| 92 | Erick Fedde | CWS | @BAL/@CLE | 4 (@BAL=3 & @CLE=5) |
| 93 | Anthony Kay | CWS | @CLE | 4 |
| 94 | Rhett Lowder | CIN | @MIL | 4 |
| 95 | Slade Cecconi | CLE | CWS | 4 |
| 96 | Gavin Williams | CLE | CWS | 4 |
| 97 | Casey Mize | DET | @NYY | 4 |
| 98 | Keider Montero | DET | @TEX | 4 |
| 99 | Jack Flaherty | DET | @TEX | 4 |
| 100 | Cristian Javier | HOU | TB | 4 |
| 101 | Seth Lugo | KC | TB | 4 |
| 102 | Stephen Kolek | KC | TB | 4 |
| 103 | Jose Soriano | LAA | @SEA | 4 |
| 104 | Walbert Urena | LAA | BOS | 4 |
| 105 | Sam Aldegheri | LAD | BOS | 4 |
| 106 | Justin Wrobleski | LAD | @ATH | 4 |
| 107 | Eury Perez | MIA | @COL/ @ATH | 4 (both matchups) |
| 108 | Tyler Phillips | MIA | @ATH | 4 |
| 109 | Brandon Sproat | MIL | CIN/ @ARI | 4 (both matchups) |
| 110 | Zebby Matthews | MIN | @HOU/ @NYY | 4 (both matchups) |
| 111 | Christian Scott | NYM | @ATL | 4 |
| 112 | Alan Rangel | PHI | PIT | 4 |
| 113 | Jared Jones | PIT | @PHI | 4 |
| 114 | Mitch Keller | PIT | @WSH | 4 |
| 115 | Dustin May | STL | @CHC | 4 |
| 116 | Robbie Ray | SF | @COL | 4 |
| 117 | Shane McClanahan | TB | @HOU | 4 |
| 118 | Trey Yesavage | TOR | NYM/ @SEA | 4 (NYM=3 & @SEA=5) |
| 119 | Cade Cavalli | WSH | @BOS | 4 |
| 120 | Jeffrey Springs | ATH | LAD | 3 |
| 121 | Aaron Civale | ATH | MIA | 3 |
| 122 | Trey Gibson | BAL | CWS | 3 |
| 123 | Javier Assad | CHC | SD | 3 |
| 124 | David Peterson | CHC | STL | 3 |
| 125 | Sean Sullivan | COL | MIA | 3 |
| 126 | Tomoyuki Sugano | COL | MIA | 3 |
| 127 | Spencer Arrighetti | HOU | TB | 3 |
| 128 | Noah Cameron | KC | TB | 3 |
| 129 | Grayson Rodriguez | LAA | @SEA | 3 |
| 130 | Eric Lauer | LAD | @ATH/ SD | 3 (both matchups) |
| 131 | Ryan Gusto | MIA | @COL | 3 |
| 132 | Shane Drohan | MIL | CIN/ @ARI | 3 (both matchups) |
| 133 | Connor Prielipp | MIN | @NYY | 3 |
| 134 | Matthew Liberatore | STL | @ATL | 3 |
| 135 | Andre Pallante | STL | @CHC | 3 |
| 136 | Walker Buehler | SD | @CHC | 3 |
| 137 | Randy Vasquez | SD | @LAD | 3 |
| 138 | Tyler Mahle | SF | @ARI/ @COL | 3 (both matchups) |
| 139 | Kumar Rocker | TEX | DET | 3 |
| 140 | Jake Irvin | WSH | @BOS | 3 |
| 141 | Zack Littell | WSH | PIT | 3 |
| 142 | Jose Cabrera | ARI | MIL | 2 |
| 143 | Noah Schultz | CWS | @BAL | 2 |
| 144 | Kyle Freeland | COL | MIA/ SF | 2 (both matchups) |
| 145 | Michael Lorenzen | COL | MIA | 2 |
| 146 | Tanner Gordon | DET | SF | 2 |
| 147 | Luinder Avila | LAA | PHI | 2 |
| 148 | Michael Paredes | MIN | @NYY | 2 |
| 149 | Zach Thornton | NYM | @ATL | 2 |
| 150 | Kyle Leahy | STL | @ATL/ @CHC | 2 (both matchups) |
| 151 | Griffin Canning | SD | @CHC/ @LAD | 2 (both matchups) |
| 152 | Cal Quantrill | TEX | DET | 2 |
| 153 | Max Scherzer | TOR | NYM | 2 |
| 154 | Miles Mikolas | WSH | @BOS/ PIT | 2 (@BOS=1 & PIT=3) |
| 155 | Ryan Feltner | COL | SF | 1 |
| 156 | Ryan Johnson | LAA | @SEA | 1 |
| 157 | German Marquez | SD | @CHC/ @LAD | (both matchups) |
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