If there’s one certainty in our weekly starting pitcher rankings it’s that only a few pitchers are matchup proof talents. Just in the last few weeks we’ve seen several top 15 ranked overall pitchers, like Paul Skenes and Christopher Sanchez, get roughed up by tough matchups. That’s why the weekly rankings can vary greatly from season-long ranks. However, it seems there are times when you start certain pitchers, like Chase Burns and Tarik Skubal, blindly against any matchup each week. We take those anchors and liabilities into consideration this week and down the stretch.
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Starting Pitcher Rankings for Week 21 (8/10 – 8/16)
| Rank | Pitcher | Team | Opponent | Start Confidence Level |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chase Burns | CIN | MIA | 9 |
| 2 | Tarik Skubal | LAD | KC/ MIL | 9 (KC=10 & MIL=8) |
| 3 | Cristopher Sanchez | PHI | @STL | 9 |
| 4 | Chris Sale | ATL | ARI | 8 |
| 5 | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | LAD | MIL | 8 |
| 6 | Jacob Misiorowski | MIL | @LAD | 8 |
| 7 | Zack Wheeler | PHI | @STL | 8 |
| 8 | Dylan Cease | TOR | BOS/ NYY | 8 (BOS=7 & NYY=9) |
| 9 | Sonny Gray | BOS | @TOR/ @PIT | 7 (both matchups) |
| 10 | Gavin Williams | CLE | SD | 7 |
| 11 | Hunter Brown | HOU | @SF | 7 |
| 12 | Max Fried | NYY | SEA | 7 |
| 13 | Jesus Luzardo | PHI | @MIN | 7 |
| 14 | Logan Webb | SF | COL | 7 |
| 15 | Logan Gilbert | SEA | @NYY | 7 |
| 16 | Ian Seymour | TB | BAL | 7 |
| 17 | Kyle Bradish | BAL | @TB | 6 |
| 18 | Ranger Suarez | BOS | @TOR/ @PIT | 6 (both matchups) |
| 19 | Payton Tolle | BOS | @TOR | 6 |
| 20 | Jake Bennett | BOS | @TOR | 6 |
| 21 | Kevin Gausman | CHC | STL | 6 |
| 22 | Andrew Abbott | CIN | @CWS | 6 |
| 23 | Parker Messick | CLE | @DET | 6 |
| 24 | Reid Detmers | LAA | TEX/ KC | 6 (TEX=5 & KC=7) |
| 25 | Blake Snell | LAD | KC | 6 |
| 26 | Sandy Alcantara | MIA | @CIN | 6 |
| 27 | Logan Henderson | MIL | @SD/ @LAD | 6 (@SD=7 & @LAD=5) |
| 28 | Kyle Harrison | MIL | @SD | 6 |
| 29 | Nolan McLean | NYM | @ATL | 6 |
| 30 | Gerrit Cole | NYY | @TOR | 6 |
| 31 | Cam Schlittler | NYY | @TOR | 6 |
| 32 | Michael King | SD | @CLE | 6 |
| 33 | George Kirby | SEA | @HOU | 6 |
| 34 | Drew Rasmussen | TB | @ATH | 6 |
| 35 | Jacob deGrom | TEX | @LAA | 6 |
| 36 | Merrill Kelly | ARI | COL | 5 |
| 37 | Trevor Rogers | BAL | @MIN/ @TB | 5 (both matchups) |
| 38 | Brandon Young | BAL | @MIN | 5 |
| 39 | Chris Bassitt | BAL | @TB | 5 |
| 40 | Clay Holmes | CHC | STL | 5 |
| 41 | Davis Martin | CWS | @DET | 5 |
| 42 | Rhett Lowder | CIN | @CWS | 5 |
| 43 | Brady Singer | CIN | MIA | 5 |
| 44 | Foster Griffin | CLE | @DET | 5 |
| 45 | Joey Cantillo | CLE | SD | 5 |
| 46 | Framber Valdez | DET | CLE | 5 |
| 47 | Troy Melton | DET | CWS | 5 |
| 48 | Peter Lambert | HOU | SEA | 5 |
| 49 | Seth Lugo | KC | @LAA | 5 |
| 50 | Walbert Urena | LAA | TEX | 5 |
| 51 | Eric Lauer | LAD | KC | 5 |
| 52 | Eury Perez | MIA | PIT/ @CIN | 5 (PIT=6 & @CIN=4) |
| 53 | Dustin May | MIL | @SD | 5 |
| 54 | Christian Scott | NYM | @ATL/ WSH | 5 (@ATL=4 & WSH=6) |
| 55 | Sean Manaea | NYM | WSH | 5 |
| 56 | Ryan Weathers | NYY | SEA/ @TOR | 5 (both matchups) |
| 57 | Will Warren | NYY | SEA | 5 |
| 58 | Paul Skenes | PIT | @MIA/ BOS | 5 (@MIA=6 & BOS=4) |
| 59 | Braxton Ashcraft | PIT | @MIA | 5 |
| 60 | Kyle Leahy | STL | PHI | 5 |
| 61 | Robbie Ray | SD | MIL | 5 |
| 62 | Randy Vasquez | SD | @CLE | 5 |
| 63 | Landen Roupp | SF | COL | 5 |
| 64 | Bryan Woo | SEA | @NYY/ @HOU | 5 (@NYY=6 & @HOU=4) |
| 65 | Bryce Miller | SEA | @NYY | 5 |
| 66 | Griffin Jax | TB | BAL | 5 |
| 67 | Nathan Eovaldi | TEX | @LAA | 5 |
| 68 | Cade Cavalli | WSH | CHC | 5 |
| 69 | Brandon Pfaadt | ARI | @ATL | 4 |
| 70 | Eduardo Rodriguez | ARI | @ATL | 4 |
| 71 | Jacob Lopez | ATH | TB/ TEX | 4 (both matchups) |
| 72 | Gage Jump | ATH | TEX | 4 |
| 73 | J.T. Ginn | ATH | TEX | 4 |
| 74 | Bryce Elder | ATL | NYM/ ARI | 4 (both matchups) |
| 75 | Grant Holmes | ATL | ARI | 4 |
| 76 | Shane Baz | BAL | @MIN | 4 |
| 77 | Shota Imanaga | CHC | @WSH | 4 |
| 78 | Matthew Boyd | CHC | STL | 4 |
| 79 | Luis Castillo | CWS | CIN/ @DET | 4 |
| 80 | Nick Lodolo | CIN | @CWS/ MIA | 4 (both matchups) |
| 81 | Tanner Bibee | CLE | @DET/ SD | 4 (both matchups) |
| 82 | Kyle Freeland | COL | @SF | 4 |
| 83 | Keider Montero | DET | CLE | 4 |
| 84 | Hayden Wesneski | HOU | @SF/ SEA | 4 (both matchups) |
| 85 | Ronel Blanco | HOU | @SF | 4 |
| 86 | Cristian Javier | HOU | SEA | 4 |
| 87 | Noah Cameron | KC | @LAD/ @LAA | 4 (@LAD=3 & @LAA=5) |
| 88 | Michael Wacha | KC | @LAD | 4 |
| 89 | Randy Dobnak | KC | @LAA | 4 |
| 90 | George Klassen | LAA | TEX | 4 |
| 91 | Roki Sasaki | LAD | MIL | 4 |
| 92 | Janson Junk | MIA | PIT | 4 |
| 93 | Shane Drohan | MIL | @LAD | 4 |
| 94 | Dean Kremer | MIN | BAL/ PHI | 4 (BAL=5 & PHI=3) |
| 95 | Bailey Ober | MIN | BAL | 4 |
| 96 | Taj Bradley | MIN | PHI | 4 |
| 97 | Robert Stock | NYM | WSH | 4 |
| 98 | Jared Jones | PIT | BOS | 4 |
| 99 | Michael McGreevy | STL | @CHC | 4 |
| 100 | Casey Mize | SD | MIL/ @CLE | 4 (MIL=3 & @CLE=5) |
| 101 | Adrian Houser | SF | HOU | 4 |
| 102 | Emerson Hancock | SEA | @HOU | 4 |
| 103 | Nick Martinez | TB | @ATH | 4 |
| 104 | MacKenzie Gore | TEX | @LAA/ @ATH | 4 (both matchups) |
| 105 | Jose Soriano | TOR | BOS | 4 |
| 106 | Michael Soroka | ARI | COL/ @ATL | 3 (COL=4 & @ATL=2) |
| 107 | Jack Perkins | ATH | TB | 3 |
| 108 | Tyler Mahle | ATL | NYM | 3 |
| 109 | Javier Assad | CHC | @WSH | 3 |
| 110 | David Peterson | CHC | @WSH | 3 |
| 111 | Sean Burke | CWS | CIN | 3 |
| 112 | Noah Schultz | CWS | CIN | 3 |
| 113 | Gabriel Hughes | COL | @ARI/ @SF | 3 (both matchups) |
| 114 | Ryan Feltner | COL | @ARI | 3 |
| 115 | Jackson Jobe | DET | CWS | 3 |
| 116 | Daniel Lynch IV | KC | @LAD | 3 |
| 117 | Ryan Johnson | LAA | TEX/ KC | 3 (TEX=2 & KC=4) |
| 118 | Grayson Rodriguez | LAA | KC | 3 |
| 119 | Justin Wrobleski | LAD | MIL | 3 |
| 120 | Tyler Phillips | MIA | PIT | 3 |
| 121 | Ryan Gusto | MIA | @CIN | 3 |
| 122 | Robert Gasser | MIL | @LAD | 3 |
| 123 | Zebby Matthews | MIN | BAL | 3 |
| 124 | Connor Prielipp | MIN | PHI | 3 |
| 125 | Zac Thornton | NYM | @ATL | 3 |
| 126 | Andrew Painter | PHI | @STL/ @MIN | 3 (@STL=2 & @MIN=4) |
| 127 | Aaron Nola | PHI | @MIN | 3 |
| 128 | Carmen Mlodzinski | PIT | @MIA | 3 |
| 129 | Bubba Chandler | PIT | BOS | 3 |
| 130 | Andre Pallante | STL | PHI | 3 |
| 131 | Matthew Liberatore | STL | @CHC | 3 |
| 132 | Walker Buehler | SD | MIL | 3 |
| 133 | Carson Whisenhunt | SF | HOU | 3 |
| 134 | Freddy Peralta | TB | @ATH/ BAL | 3 (both matchups) |
| 135 | Cody Bradford | TEX | @LAA/ @ATH | 3 (both matchups) |
| 136 | Jameson Taillon | TOR | BOS/ NYY | 3 (BOS=2 & NYY=4) |
| 137 | Max Scherzer | TOR | BOS | 3 |
| 138 | Jake Irvin | WSH | CHC/ @NYM | 3 (both matchups) |
| 139 | Andrew Alvarez | WSH | @NYM | 3 |
| 140 | Mitch Bratt | ARI | COL | 2 |
| 141 | Mason Barnett | ATH | TB | 2 |
| 142 | Martin Perez | ATL | NYM | 2 |
| 143 | Patrick Sandoval | BOS | @PIT | 2 |
| 144 | Anthony Kay | CWS | @DET | 2 |
| 145 | Tomoyuki Sugano | COL | @ARI | 2 |
| 146 | Michael Lorenzen | COL | @SF | 2 |
| 147 | Drew Anderson | DET | CLE/ CWS | 2 (CLE=3 & CWS=1) |
| 148 | Hunter Dobbins | STL | PHI/ @CHC | 2 (both matchups) |
| 149 | Blade Tidwell | SF | HOU/ COL | 2 (both matchups) |
| 150 | Kumar Rocker | TEX | @ATH | 2 |
| 151 | Shane Bieber | TOR | NYY | 2 |
| 152 | Miles Mikolas | WSH | CHC | 2 |
| 153 | Trevor Williams | WSH | @NYM | 2 |
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