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2024 Fantasy Baseball: Starting Pitcher Rankings for Points and Roto

Remember that head start you swore you were going to get on the fantasy baseball season for this year? The clock is ticking, friend. With less than two weeks until Pitchers and Catchers report, the 2024 MLB season is almost upon us. Fear not though, as the team at FantraxHQ has your back with all the information you’ll need to crush your draft. As the saying goes, Proper Planning Prevents Poor Performance. So get cracking on those sheets, fantasy friends! In pitching we (kinda) trust, so there’s no better place to start than on the mound. Below are our Updated 2024  Starting Pitcher Rankings, complete with two lists: one for Points Leagues and one for Roto as well as Head-to-Head leagues

One thing to note: These starting pitcher rankings are to be used as a jumping-off point, a rough guideline for how players stack up right now. So many things can, and will, change between now and the start of the season. As Joe Strummer famously said, “The future is unwritten.”

Ready to make the 2024 MLB season the best yet? Fantrax offers a fantasy baseball league for everyone. Want to get started right away? Then jump into a Best Ball League or a Draft and Hold. Maybe you have an existing league but want the most customizable fantasy baseball platform in existence? Then you definitely need to check out the Fantrax Commissioner! And of course, whether you play roto or points, you can head to the Fantrax Mock Draft Lobby to start your draft prep for the 2024 fantasy baseball season.

The Reasoning Behind the Rankings

To put together a comprehensive analysis, we are using four different categories:

  1. Projected Auction Value, using the ATC projection system
  2. Strikeout minus Walk Percentage (K-BB%)
  3. Strikeouts per 9 Innings (K/9)
  4. Innings Pitched (IP)

These allow us to piece together a complete picture of a pitcher: durability, control, stuff, and value within the game.

As noted above, we’ve updated these starting pitcher rankings utilizing ATC, the projection system found to be one of the most accurate.

We’ve also been busy in the active market, both mock drafting with some other fantasy baseball writers and participating in NFBC draft-and-holds, in the hopes of getting a sense of how managers are valuing pitchers. Those real-life decisions played a part in how players were moved up and down the list.

Stuff+, as well as Pitching+, will be playing a big role here and as soon as those numbers become available, a new list will be produced.

All projections are from Fangraphs using their Auction Calculator.

Let the great discussion begin. We hope that you enjoy these updated 2024 starting pitcher ranks as much as we enjoyed making them. Hit us up in the comments and tell us what you think!


For more of the great fantasy baseball rankings and analysis you’ve come to expect from FantraxHQ, check out our full 2024 Fantasy Baseball Draft Kit! We’re here for you all the way up until Opening Day and then on into your championship run.


2024 Starting Pitcher Rankings

RnkTierPitcherTeam$$Proj K-BB% (ATC)Proj K/9 (ATC)Proj IP (ATC)
1T1+Spencer StriderATL5026.6%12.6178.2
2T1Gerrit ColeNYY42.922.1%10.2195.1
3T1Corbin BurnesBAL29.119.8%10.0187.2
4T1Zack WheelerPHI35.720.1%9.4187.1
5T1Kevin GausmanTOR34.522.3%10.5183.1
6T1George KirbySEA33.720.1%8.6181.2
7T2Pablo LopezMIN30.720.6%10.0184.2
8T2Luis CastilloSEA27.418.8%9.6188.0
9T2Zac GallenARI26.318.9%9.3187.2
10T2Tyler GlasnowLAD31.824.1%11.5141.1
11T2Logan WebbSFG26.416.8%8.1191.2
12T2Yoshinobu YamamotoLAD22.119.9%9.8171.0
13T2Blake Snell15.318.7%11.4148.2
14T2Aaron NolaPHI22.920.6%9.5187.1
15T2Logan GilbertSEA22.819.4%9.1183.2
16T2Freddy PeraltaMIL2421.2%10.9161.2
17T2Tarik SkubalDET30.821.9%10.3156.0
18T3Max FriedATL28.617.6%8.6165.0
19T3Kyle BradishBAL14.716.3%8.9168.1
20T3Zach EflinTBR27.919.9%8.8169.0
21T3Framber ValdezHOU26.816.5%9.0187.0
22T3Bobby MillerLAD1817.5%8.9154.0
23T3Grayson RodriguezBAL17.518.3%9.7155.2
24T3Eury PerezMIA1219.8%10.3134.2
25T4Jesus LuzardoMIA15.219.7%10.2166.1
26T4Kodai SengaNYM13.817.5%10.5171.0
27T4Justin VerlanderHOU10.916.1%8.4158.2
28T4Joe MusgroveSDP21.518.2%9.0162.0
29T4Joe RyanMIN18.821.1%10.0164.1
30T4Justin SteeleCHC13.516.5%8.8171.0
31T4Sonny GraySTL11.515.4%8.7164.2
32T4Michael KingSDP9.418.0%9.8128.2
33T4Cole RagansKCR1.915.8%9.7160.2
34T5Hunter GreeneCIN-0.820.8%11.4150.1
35T5Yu DarvishSDP6.318.1%9.2156.0
36T5Jordan Montgomery7.715.5%8.2162.0
37T5Walker BuehlerLAD4.716.2%8.5132.2
38T5Dylan CeaseCHW-3.717.3%10.4173.2
39T5Shota ImanagaCHC6.717.5%9.1142.0
40T5Chris SaleATL11.921.7%10.6122.0
41T5Jose BerriosTOR0.216.0%8.5174.0
42T5Shane BieberCLE10.216.7%8.5169.2
43T5Bryan WooSEA5.918.2%9.7129.0
44T5Tanner BibeeCLE12.417.5%9.3162.2
45T5Chris BassittTOR7.114.8%8.1182.0
46T5Bailey OberMIN618.4%8.8152.1
47T5Shane BazTBR8.618.9%9.8106.1
48T5Mitch KellerPIT-7.514.8%8.7181.1
49T5Bryce MillerSEA0.716.4%8.3139.2
50T5Hunter BrownHOU0.517.0%9.7147.1
51T5Yusei KikuchiTOR-0.517.0%9.5148.0
52T6Carlos RodonNYY6.619.3%10.2141.2
53T6Nick LodoloCIN-2.320.4%10.8109.2
54T6Cristian JavierHOU-416.4%9.7155.1
55T6Kenta MaedaDET318.8%9.4131.1
56T6Merrill KellyARI1.914.7%8.6179.1
57T6Eduardo RodriguezARI2.214.9%8.5160.1
58T6Braxton GarrettMIA5.917.4%8.9157.1
59T6Nathan EovaldiTEX115.3%8.3153.1
60T6Aaron CivaleTBR4.216.7%8.5145.0
61T6Seth LugoKCR-12.314.4%8.0144.0
62T6Nick PivettaBOS-0.318.6%10.2154.0
63T6Taj BradleyTBR-5.717.3%9.6114.2
64T6Gavin WilliamsCLE-0.715.0%9.3142.1
65T6Nestor CortesNYY8.218.1%9.3129.0
66T6Charlie MortonATL-7.615.3%9.7150.0
67T7Brandon PfaadtARI-7.316.9%8.6140.2
68T7Ryan PepiotTBR2.215.7%9.0131.2
69T7Brayan BelloBOS-14.812.9%7.9161.0
70T7Lucas GiolitoBOS-19.115.9%9.4168.1
71T7Reid DetmersLAA-8.716.3%9.6153.2
72T7Griffin CanningLAA-0.618.4%9.7140.0
73T7Louie VarlandMIN-2.516.6%8.8130.1
74T7Kutter CrawfordBOS-12.316.2%8.8124.2
75T7Tyler WellsBAL-0.316.3%8.696.0
76T7Triston McKenzieCLE-3.915.7%9.0140.2
77T7Reese OlsonDET-11.714.1%8.7134.1
78T7Jon GrayTEX-8.914.8%8.6156.1
79T7Dean KremerBAL-15.512.7%7.7156.1
80T7Chris PaddackMIN-9.316.2%8.3114.1
81T7Sawyer Gipson-LongDET#N/A16.9%8.964.0
82T8Robbie RaySFG-4.818.8%10.151.0
83T8Luis SeverinoNYM-16.714.3%8.6120.0
84T8Emmet SheehanLAD-8.215.8%9.9110.1
85T8Jordan HicksSFG-415.3%10.089.2
86T8Marcus StromanNYY-4.412.7%7.7151.2
87T8Lance LynnSTL-1115.4%8.6160.0
88T8Kyle HarrisonSFG-9.516.0%10.2117.0
89T8Clarke SchmidtNYY-13.313.8%8.1142.1
90T8Max ScherzerTEX6.121.2%10.179.2
91T8Cristopher SanchezPHI-514.0%8.0134.2
92T8Alex CobbSFG-3.814.9%8.1107.1
93T8Jameson TaillonCHC-13.914.5%7.8146.1
94T8Steven MatzSTL-2.315.8%8.5119.0
95T8Sean ManaeaNYM-1.617.2%9.3135.1
96T8Andrew HeaneyTEX-7.616.9%9.6130.0
97T8John MeansBAL0.313.8%7.1127.0
98T9Trevor RogersMIA-7.515.4%9.1115.1
99T9Frankie MontasCIN-10.215.7%8.8127.2
100T9MacKenzie GoreWSN-11.715.4%9.5141.0
101T9Andrew AbbottCIN-11.116.6%9.9133.1
102T9Ranger SuarezPHI-9.812.3%8.0149.0
103T9Joe BoyleOAK#N/A9.8%9.7115.2
104T9Matt ManningDET-17.59.6%6.6105.2
105T9Miles MikolasSTL-14.911.8%6.4172.2
106T9Graham AshcraftCIN#N/A9.9%7.0144.2
107T9Reynaldo LopezATL#N/A19.4%10.462.1
108T9Jack FlahertyDET#N/A13.0%8.8137.0
109T9JP SearsOAK-10.114.4%8.2161.0
110T9Logan AllenCLE-8.614.0%8.6139.0
111T9Kyle GibsonSTL#N/A11.6%7.2171.1
112T9Randy VasquezSDP-15.810.2%7.8103.2
113T9Paul SkenesPIT-12.614.1%8.842.2
114T9James Paxton-6.516.4%9.385.1
115T9Domingo German-10.315.3%8.591.1
116T9Michael WachaKCR-10.713.4%7.7142.0
117T9J.P. FranceHOU-1811.1%7.8117.0
118T9Ricky TiedemannTOR-7.816.1%10.151.2
119T9Michael Lorenzen#N/A9.8%7.1116.2
120T9Jakob Junis-13.615.4%8.477.0
121T9Zack LittellTBR-15.713.6%7.5129.0
122T9Brady SingerKCR#N/A12.9%7.6161.2
123T9Josiah GrayWSN#N/A10.9%8.3160.2
124T10Keaton WinnSFG-7.814.0%7.9111.2
125T10Kyle HurtLAD#N/A16.8%10.548.1
126T10Michael GroveLAD-12.717.2%9.352.0
127T10Drew SmylyCHC-9.315.8%9.071.1
128T10Kyle HendricksCHC#N/A11.2%6.4141.0
129T10Jhony BritoSDP-8.411.9%7.394.1
130T10Anthony DeSclafaniSEA-7.514.9%7.786.0
131T10Tanner HouckBOS-1113.5%8.5129.0
132T10Taijuan WalkerPHI#N/A10.3%7.2159.0
133T10David PetersonNYM-9.115.6%9.871.2
134T10Edward CabreraMIA-8.413.6%9.9130.0
135T10Luis MedinaOAK#N/A9.3%8.4124.2
136T10Paul BlackburnOAK#N/A11.4%7.5135.2
137T10Brandon WilliamsonCIN#N/A10.9%8.077.0
138T10Patrick SandovalLAA-18.911.3%8.4151.2
139T10Chase SilsethLAA-15.513.0%8.9112.1
140T10Bryce ElderATL#N/A9.6%7.1136.2
141T10Michael KopechCHW#N/A#N/A#N/A124.1
142T10Ken WaldichukOAK#N/A12.1%8.6108.1
143T10Tylor MegillNYM-17.112.7%8.383.0
144T10Carlos Carrasco#N/A10.9%7.479.2
145T10Alek ManoahTOR-20.311.2%8.2120.0
146T10Jose QuintanaNYM-12.811.9%7.6150.2
147T10Clayton Kershaw5.316.5%8.995.1
148T10Jose UrquidyHOU-15.612.5%7.397.2
149T10Connor PhillipsCIN-14.314.1%10.538.0
150T10Erick FeddeCHW#N/A9.6%7.0130.1
RnkTierPitcherTeam$$Proj K-BB% (ATC)Proj K/9 (ATC)Proj IP (ATC)
1T1+Spencer StriderATL5026.6%12.6178.2
2T1Gerrit ColeNYY42.922.1%10.2195.1
3T1Corbin BurnesBAL29.119.8%10.0187.2
4T1Kevin GausmanTOR34.522.3%10.5183.1
5T1Zack WheelerPHI35.720.1%9.4187.1
6T1Pablo LopezMIN30.720.6%10.0184.2
7T1George KirbySEA33.720.1%8.6181.2
8T2Tyler GlasnowLAD31.824.1%11.5141.1
9T2Yoshinobu YamamotoLAD22.119.9%9.8171.0
10T2Luis CastilloSEA27.418.8%9.6188.0
11T2Framber ValdezHOU26.816.5%9.0187.0
12T2Kodai SengaNYM13.817.5%10.5171.0
13T2Blake Snell15.318.7%11.4148.2
14T2Zac GallenARI26.318.9%9.3187.2
15T2Aaron NolaPHI22.920.6%9.5187.1
16T3Tarik SkubalDET30.821.9%10.3156.0
17T3Max FriedATL28.617.6%8.6165.0
18T3Logan WebbSFG26.416.8%8.1191.2
19T3Jesus LuzardoMIA15.219.7%10.2166.1
20T3Zach EflinTBR27.919.9%8.8169.0
21T3Freddy PeraltaMIL2421.2%10.9161.2
22T3Joe RyanMIN18.821.1%10.0164.1
23T3Logan GilbertSEA22.819.4%9.1183.2
24T4Grayson RodriguezBAL17.518.3%9.7155.2
25T4Cole RagansKCR1.915.8%9.7160.2
26T4Justin SteeleCHC13.516.5%8.8171.0
27T4Kyle BradishBAL14.716.3%8.9168.1
28T4Sonny GraySTL11.515.4%8.7164.2
29T4Hunter GreeneCIN-0.820.8%11.4150.1
30T4Joe MusgroveSDP21.518.2%9.0162.0
31T4Dylan CeaseCHW-3.717.3%10.4173.2
32T4Bobby MillerLAD1817.5%8.9154.0
33T4Eury PerezMIA1219.8%10.3134.2
34T4Justin VerlanderHOU10.916.1%8.4158.2
35T5Shane BieberCLE10.216.7%8.5169.2
36T5Chris BassittTOR7.114.8%8.1182.0
37T5Tanner BibeeCLE12.417.5%9.3162.2
38T5Jordan Montgomery7.715.5%8.2162.0
39T5Mitch KellerPIT-7.514.8%8.7181.1
40T5Yu DarvishSDP6.318.1%9.2156.0
41T5Merrill KellyARI1.914.7%8.6179.1
42T5Jose BerriosTOR0.216.0%8.5174.0
43T5Nathan EovaldiTEX115.3%8.3153.1
44T5Yusei KikuchiTOR-0.517.0%9.5148.0
45T5Shota ImanagaCHC6.717.5%9.1142.0
46T5Hunter BrownHOU0.517.0%9.7147.1
47T5Braxton GarrettMIA5.917.4%8.9157.1
48T5Cristian JavierHOU-416.4%9.7155.1
49T6Chris SaleATL11.921.7%10.6122.0
50T6Bailey OberMIN618.4%8.8152.1
51T6Carlos RodonNYY6.619.3%10.2141.2
52T6Michael KingSDP9.418.0%9.8128.2
53T6Reid DetmersLAA-8.716.3%9.6153.2
54T6Nick PivettaBOS-0.318.6%10.2154.0
55T6Kenta MaedaDET318.8%9.4131.1
56T6Aaron CivaleTBR4.216.7%8.5145.0
57T6Lucas GiolitoBOS-19.115.9%9.4168.1
58T6Walker BuehlerLAD4.716.2%8.5132.2
59T6Bryce MillerSEA0.716.4%8.3139.2
60T6Eduardo RodriguezARI2.214.9%8.5160.1
61T6Charlie MortonATL-7.615.3%9.7150.0
62T6Nestor CortesNYY8.218.1%9.3129.0
63T6Brayan BelloBOS-14.812.9%7.9161.0
64T6Emmet SheehanLAD-8.215.8%9.9110.1
65T6Shane BazTBR8.618.9%9.8106.1
66T6Andrew AbbottCIN-11.116.6%9.9133.1
67T6Jon GrayTEX-8.914.8%8.6156.1
68T6James Paxton-6.516.4%9.385.1
69T6Nick LodoloCIN-2.320.4%10.8109.2
70T6Bryan WooSEA5.918.2%9.7129.0
71T6Andrew HeaneyTEX-7.616.9%9.6130.0
72T7Griffin CanningLAA-0.618.4%9.7140.0
73T7MacKenzie GoreWSN-11.715.4%9.5141.0
74T7Brady SingerKCR#N/A12.9%7.6161.2
75T7Reese OlsonDET-11.714.1%8.7134.1
76T7Gavin WilliamsCLE-0.715.0%9.3142.1
77T7Ryan PepiotTBR2.215.7%9.0131.2
78T7Triston McKenzieCLE-3.915.7%9.0140.2
79T7Seth LugoKCR-12.314.4%8.0144.0
80T7Dean KremerBAL-15.512.7%7.7156.1
81T7Jameson TaillonCHC-13.914.5%7.8146.1
82T7Kyle HarrisonSFG-9.516.0%10.2117.0
83T7Edward CabreraMIA-8.413.6%9.9130.0
84T7Lance LynnSTL-1115.4%8.6160.0
85T7Frankie MontasCIN-10.215.7%8.8127.2
86T7Logan AllenCLE-8.614.0%8.6139.0
87T7Max ScherzerTEX6.121.2%10.179.2
88T7Clarke SchmidtNYY-13.313.8%8.1142.1
89T7Louie VarlandMIN-2.516.6%8.8130.1
90T7Chris PaddackMIN-9.316.2%8.3114.1
91T7Luis SeverinoNYM-16.714.3%8.6120.0
92T7Taj BradleyTBR-5.717.3%9.6114.2
93T7Michael WachaKCR-10.713.4%7.7142.0
94T7Brandon PfaadtARI-7.316.9%8.6140.2
95T7Josiah GrayWSN#N/A10.9%8.3160.2
96T7Trevor RogersMIA-7.515.4%9.1115.1
97T7Kutter CrawfordBOS-12.316.2%8.8124.2
98T8Cristopher SanchezPHI-514.0%8.0134.2
99T8Keaton WinnSFG-7.814.0%7.9111.2
100T8Michael Lorenzen#N/A9.8%7.1116.2
101T8Jordan WicksCHC-1312.0%7.6115.0
102T8Marcus StromanNYY-4.412.7%7.7151.2
103T8Paul BlackburnOAK#N/A11.4%7.5135.2
104T8Sean ManaeaNYM-1.617.2%9.3135.1
105T8Steven MatzSTL-2.315.8%8.5119.0
106T8Tanner HouckBOS-1113.5%8.5129.0
107T8Mike Clevinger-19.112.5%7.7121.0
108T9John MeansBAL0.313.8%7.1127.0
109T9Patrick SandovalLAA-18.911.3%8.4151.2
110T9Graham AshcraftCIN#N/A9.9%7.0144.2
111T9Sawyer Gipson-LongDET#N/A16.9%8.964.0
112T9Ricky TiedemannTOR-7.816.1%10.151.2
113T9Michael SorokaCHW-17.512.9%8.0104.2
114T9Kyle GibsonSTL#N/A11.6%7.2171.1
115T8Tyler AndersonLAA#N/A10.4%7.2153.2
116T9Huascar YnoaATL#N/A16.3%9.656.2
117T9Hyun Jin Ryu-11.311.3%6.681.1
118T9Miles MikolasSTL-14.911.8%6.4172.2
119T9David PetersonNYM-9.115.6%9.871.2
120T9JP SearsOAK-10.114.4%8.2161.0
121T9Ranger SuarezPHI-9.812.3%8.0149.0
122T9J.P. FranceHOU-1811.1%7.8117.0
123T9Taijuan WalkerPHI#N/A10.3%7.2159.0
124T8Joe BoyleOAK#N/A9.8%9.7115.2
125T9Hurston WaldrepATL#N/A12.7%8.838.2
126T10Michael GroveLAD-12.717.2%9.352.0
127T10Drew SmylyCHC-9.315.8%9.071.1
128T10Kyle HendricksCHC#N/A11.2%6.4141.0
129T10Jhony BritoSDP-8.411.9%7.394.1
130T10Anthony DeSclafaniSEA-7.514.9%7.786.0
131T10Tanner HouckBOS-1113.5%8.5129.0
132T10Taijuan WalkerPHI#N/A10.3%7.2159.0
133T10David PetersonNYM-9.115.6%9.871.2
134T10Edward CabreraMIA-8.413.6%9.9130.0
135T10Luis MedinaOAK#N/A9.3%8.4124.2
136T10Paul BlackburnOAK#N/A11.4%7.5135.2
137T10Brandon WilliamsonCIN#N/A10.9%8.077.0
138T10Patrick SandovalLAA-18.911.3%8.4151.2
139T10Chase SilsethLAA-15.513.0%8.9112.1
140T10Bryce ElderATL#N/A9.6%7.1136.2
141T10Michael KopechCHW#N/A#N/A#N/A124.1
142T10Ken WaldichukOAK#N/A12.1%8.6108.1
143T10Tylor MegillNYM-17.112.7%8.383.0
144T10Carlos Carrasco#N/A10.9%7.479.2
145T10Alek ManoahTOR-20.311.2%8.2120.0
146T10Jose QuintanaNYM-12.811.9%7.6150.2
147T10Clayton Kershaw5.316.5%8.995.1
148T10Jose UrquidyHOU-15.612.5%7.397.2
149T10Connor PhillipsCIN-14.314.1%10.538.0
150T10Erick FeddeCHW#N/A9.6%7.0130.1

 

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2 Comments
  1. Ryan McLaughlin says

    Absolutely! Mike and I were shocked too when we ran the numbers and saw where he ended up. Question moving forward: is he a great sell-high 0r an asset you don’t dare let go?

  2. Doug Anderson says

    Man, I lost track at the way Skubal performed later in the year. He’s gonna get a lot of helium!

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