Fantasy Baseball Overvalued and Undervalued – Dodgers Not Playing Like Champions

As we officially reach the one-third mark of the fantasy baseball season, we are starting to get a strong glimpse of who is overvalued and undervalued based on the cost to acquire their services in drafts or auctions this spring. Some performances have exceeded expectations, while others have fallen behind. And time is running out to change their fortunes.

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Value is an ever-changing target, but we do have a snapshot in time to look at how we valued them in our drafts this spring. With about 60 to 65 games played for each team this season, it’s a good time to look at who is performing how we hoped, and who is falling behind.

This weekly piece will look at the past seven days of fantasy baseball performances to see who should be considered overvalued and undervalued going forward. When necessary, I will reference the Fantrax top 400 rotisserie rankings for the 2026 fantasy baseball season.

Fantasy Baseball’s Most Overvalued Players

(Stats are up to date as of Jun 2)

Kyle Tucker (OF – LAD)

It’s time to have a conversation about two Los Angeles Dodgers players taken in the top 40 in 2026 fantasy baseball drafts. First up is Kyle Tucker. His .238/.336/.386 line with four home runs and four steals is a far cry from what the Dodgers were looking for when Tucker signed a four-year, $240 million contract this offseason. His BABIP, walk rate, strikeout rate, groundball rate, and flyball rate are all identical to last year. So what’s keeping the production down?

In addition to the rumors that Tucker is still somewhat hurt, his barrel rate and exit velocity have fallen off a cliff this season. For a player with a 10.3% career barrel rate, his 5.4% this year is baffling. Combine that with a career-low home run to fly ball rate, and you have a recipe for a poor season. He has gone from strong home run parks like Daikin Park and Wrigley Field to Dodger Stadium, so that’s also working against him.

For a player who turns 30 in six months and relies on his power/speed combo for his success, he is still searching for the all-around game that brought him so much success in 2021-2025.

Freddie Freeman (1B – LAD)

Speaking of players who are past their prime, Freddie Freeman, at almost 37 years old, is nowhere near the fantasy baseball asset he used to be. Freeman was a top-40 player in draft rooms, but he is ranked lower than 150 in fantasy rotisserie leagues this season. The reason? He is hitting only .266/.355/.458 with nine home runs and 32 RBI.

For comparison, teammate Andy Pages has 13 home runs and 50 RBI already. Freeman is still showing a little pop this season, but has largely disappointed. Even with a .266/.355/.458 line, imagine where he would be if not for the eight hits and three home runs he has had in his last six games.

Freeman’s Statcast numbers still seem to be mostly in line with his career numbers, but his zone swing percentage has fallen more than two percentage points. He isn’t being as aggressive with pitches in the zone overall. That can change, of course, but for now, what Freeman is doing does not put him in the top eight first basemen overall.

Fantasy Baseball’s Most Undervalued Players

Bo Bichette (SS – NYM)

Fantasy managers who drafted Bo Bichette are likely getting very frustrated with his sluggish surface stats. It’s starting to look like 2024 all over again. Like many of the Mets, it has been abysmal for large parts of 2026. But the underlying metrics scream a buy-low opportunity for Bichette, at least.

The absolute biggest driver of his early-season struggles has been his very low .241 batting average on balls in play (BABIP). For a player with a career BABIP well north of .330 who consistently sprays line drives across the field, this is a real statistical misfortune in 2026, rather than some kind of skills decline or poor discipline. He is hitting the ball hard like in previous seasons (45.5% hard-hit rate, 46.8% for his career).

Supporting this potential bounce-back is Bichette’s steady plate discipline. While his luck on batted balls has disappeared, his walk rate has held firm at over 7%, preventing his on-base percentage (OBP) from completely cratering. He also is down to just a 16% strikeout rate, which is the second-best mark of his career. When a hitter maintains his vision and approach while suffering from batted-ball luck, positive regression is likely to happen. Trade for him now before a hot streak pushes his value back up.

Ezequiel Tovar (SS – COL)

Ezequiel Tovar’s role in Colorado was supposed to make him a fantasy darling, especially after his 26 homers and six steals in 2024. It’s been pretty miserable ever since that season, however. His early 2026 output has also been incredibly underwhelming. Why is that?

A relatively low (for Tovar) .287 BABIP that goes against what we know about hitters playing half their games at Coors Field. Tovar boasts a high line-drive rate, an excellent groundball-to-flyball ratio, and he very rarely pops balls up in the air. This is a batted-ball profile that should work in high-altitude Denver. Despite posting a hard-hit percentage that is identical to his career average, his luck hasn’t aligned with the quality of his contact.

His expected statistics say this could all change very soon, especially with a summer at Coors Field. Tovar’s expected batting average, expected slugging percentage, and expected wOBA are all well above his actual production for 2026. Once that hard contact starts turning into doubles and home runs, his combination of a hard-hit rate and a corrected BABIP will make him a massive fantasy asset for the second half of the season.