It usually takes a month for a starting pitcher to get a two-start week. So when that week finally comes and the pitcher has one or two tough matchups, it can be maddening. It’s always hard to resist the temptation to roll the dice. Though, league context is a key consideration for level of risk. In points leagues, for instance, the risk is the lowest as the floor is usually a zero point contribution. The riskiest league format is a head-to-head category league, where one bad start can quickly sink a teams’ chance to win. That’s why I take those aspects into consideration when calculating the start confidence rating for two-start pitchers in the weekly starting pitcher rankings.
More great Fantasy Baseball Analysis: Fantasy Baseball Waiver Wire | Weekly SP Rankings | Pitching Streamers | Two-Start Pitchers | Lineup Analysis | MLB Injury Report | Rookie Report | Advanced Stats | Under the Radar | Overvalued & Undervalued | Bullpen Report
Starting Pitcher Rankings for Week 7 (5/4 – 5/10)
| Rank | Pitcher | Team | Opponent | Start Confidence Level |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dylan Cease | TOR | LAA | 9 |
| 3 | Cole Ragans | KC | CLE | 8 |
| 4 | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | LAD | @HOU | 8 |
| 5 | Max Fried | NYY | @MIL | 8 |
| 6 | Cristopher Sanchez | PHI | ATH/ COL | 8 (ATH=7 & COL=9) |
| 7 | Paul Skenes | PIT | @ARI | 8 |
| 8 | Chris Sale | ATL | @LAD | 7 |
| 9 | Gavin Williams | CLE | @KC/ MIN | 7 (@KC=8 & MIN=6) |
| 10 | Parker Messick | CLE | MIN | 7 |
| 11 | Framber Valdez | DET | BOS | 7 |
| 12 | Jose Soriano | LAA | CWS/ @TOR | 7 (CWS=8 & @TOR=6) |
| 13 | Shohei Ohtani | LAD | @HOU | 7 |
| 14 | Tyler Glasnow | LAD | @HOU | 7 |
| 15 | Eury Perez | MIA | BAL | 7 |
| 16 | Joe Ryan | MIN | @CLE | 7 |
| 17 | Freddy Peralta | NYM | @COL | 7 |
| 18 | Nolan McLean | NYM | @ARI | 7 |
| 19 | Ryan Weathers | NYY | TEX | 7 |
| 20 | Michael King | SD | STL | 7 |
| 21 | Logan Webb | SF | SD | 7 |
| 22 | George Kirby | SEA | ATL | 7 |
| 23 | Jacob deGrom | TEX | @NYY/ CHC | 7 (both matchups) |
| 24 | Kevin Gausman | TOR | @TB | 7 |
| 25 | Connelly Early | BOS | TB | 6 |
| 26 | Ranger Suarez | BOS | TB | 6 |
| 27 | Chase Burns | CIN | HOU | 6 |
| 28 | Nick Lodolo | CIN | HOU | 6 |
| 29 | Tanner Bibee | CLE | @KC/ MIN | 6 (@KC=7 & MIN=5) |
| 30 | Seth Lugo | KC | CLE | 6 |
| 31 | Kris Bubic | KC | DET | 6 |
| 32 | Yusei Kikuchi | LAA | CWS | 6 |
| 33 | Sandy Alcantara | MIA | BAL/ MIN | 6 |
| 34 | Max Meyer | MIA | BAL | 6 |
| 35 | Jacob Misiorowski | MIL | @STL | 6 |
| 36 | Taj Bradley | MIN | @WSH/ @CLE | 6 (@WSH=5 & @CLE=7) |
| 37 | Cam Schlittler | NYY | BAL/ @MIL | 6 (BAL=7 & @MIL=5) |
| 38 | Zack Wheeler | PHI | ATH | 6 |
| 39 | Braxton Ashcraft | PIT | @SF | 6 |
| 40 | Logan Gilbert | SEA | ATL/ @CWS | 6 (ATL=5 & CWS=7) |
| 41 | Bryan Woo | SEA | ATL | 6 |
| 42 | Emerson Hancock | SEA | @CWS | 6 |
| 43 | Nick Martinez | TB | TOR/ @BOS | 6 (both matchups) |
| 44 | Shane McClanahan | TB | TOR | 6 |
| 45 | Trey Yesavage | TOR | LAA | 6 |
| 46 | Eduardo Rodriguez | ARI | PIT/ NYM | 5 (both matchups) |
| 47 | Zac Gallen | ARI | PIT | 5 |
| 48 | Bryce Elder | ATL | @SEA | 5 |
| 49 | Chris Bassitt | BAL | @MIA/ ATH | 5 (both matchups) |
| 50 | Shane Baz | BAL | ATH | 5 |
| 51 | Payton Tolle | BOS | @DET/ TB | 5 (both matchups) |
| 52 | Shota Imanaga | CHC | CIN | 5 |
| 53 | Brady Singer | CIN | @CHC | 5 |
| 54 | Rhett Lowder | CIN | @CHC | 5 |
| 55 | Chase Dollander | COL | @PHI | 5 |
| 56 | Jack Flaherty | DET | BOS | 5 |
| 57 | Keider Montero | DET | @KC | 5 |
| 58 | Spencer Arrighetti | HOU | @CIN | 5 |
| 59 | Michael Wacha | KC | CLE/ DET | 5 (both matchups) |
| 60 | Emmet Sheehan | LAD | ATL | 5 |
| 61 | Janson Junk | MIA | PHI/ WSH | 5 (both matchups) |
| 62 | Bailey Ober | MIN | @WSH | 5 |
| 63 | Clay Holmes | NYM | @ARI | 5 |
| 64 | Will Warren | NYY | TEX | 5 |
| 65 | Jesus Luzardo | PHI | @MIA/ COL | 5 (@MIA=4 & COL=6) |
| 66 | Bubba Chandler | PIT | @ARI/ @SF | 5 (@ARI=4 & @SF=6) |
| 67 | Randy Vasquez | SD | STL | 5 |
| 68 | Robbie Ray | SF | PIT | 5 |
| 69 | Luis Castillo | SEA | @CWS | 5 |
| 70 | Drew Rasmussen | TB | TOR/ @BOS | 5 (both matchups) |
| 71 | Nathan Eovaldi | TEX | @NYY | 5 |
| 72 | MacKenzie Gore | TEX | @NYY | 5 |
| 73 | Jake Irvin | WSH | MIN | 5 |
| 74 | Foster Griffin | WSH | @MIA | 5 |
| 75 | Zack Littell | WSH | @MIA | 5 |
| 76 | Michael Soroka | ARI | PIT | 4 |
| 77 | Merrill Kelly | ARI | NYM | 4 |
| 78 | Luis Severino | ATH | @PHI/ @BAL | 4 (@PHI=3 & @BAL=5) |
| 79 | Jeffrey Springs | ATH | @PHI | 4 |
| 80 | Grant Holmes | ATL | @SEA | 4 |
| 81 | Spencer Strider | ATL | @LAD | 4 |
| 82 | Kyle Bradish | BAL | ATH | 4 |
| 83 | Brayan Bello | BOS | @DET/ TB | 4 (both matchups) |
| 84 | Edward Cabrera | CHC | CIN/ @TEX | 4 (both matchups) |
| 85 | Matthew Boyd | CHC | @TEX | 4 |
| 86 | Noah Schultz | CWS | @LAA | 4 |
| 87 | Andrew Abbott | CIN | @CHC/ HOU | 4 (both matchups) |
| 88 | Sawyer Gipson-Long | DET | @KC | 4 |
| 89 | Mike Burrows | HOU | @CIN | 4 |
| 90 | Reid Detmers | LAA | @TOR | 4 |
| 91 | Roki Sasaki | LAD | ATL | 4 |
| 92 | Kyle Harrison | MIL | NYY | 4 |
| 93 | Simeon Woods Richardson | MIN | @WSH | 4 |
| 94 | Connor Prielipp | MIN | @CLE | 4 |
| 95 | David Peterson | NYM | @COL/ @ARI | 4 (@COL=5 & @ARI=3) |
| 96 | Christian Scott | NYM | @COL | 4 |
| 97 | Mitch Keller | PIT | @ARI | 4 |
| 98 | Michael McGreevy | STL | @SD | 4 |
| 99 | Adrian Houser | SF | SD | 4 |
| 100 | Tyler Mahle | SF | PIT | 4 |
| 101 | Jose Berrios | WSH | LAA | 4 |
| 102 | Cade Cavalli | WSH | MIN/ @MIA | 4 (both matchups) |
| 103 | Ryne Nelson | ARI | NYM | 3 |
| 104 | Jacob Lopez | ATH | @BAL | 3 |
| 105 | Jameson Taillon | CHC | CIN/ @TEX | 3 (both matchups) |
| 106 | Colin Rea | CHC | CIN | 3 |
| 107 | Davis Martin | CWS | @LAA/ SEA | 3 (@LAA=4 & SEA=2) |
| 108 | Erick Fedde | CWS | @LAA | 3 |
| 109 | Chase Petty | CIN | @CHC | 3 |
| 110 | Joey Cantillo | CLE | @KC | 3 |
| 111 | Michael Lorenzen | COL | NYM | 3 |
| 112 | Kyle Freeland | COL | @PHI | 3 |
| 113 | Lance McCullers Jr. | HOU | LAD | 3 |
| 114 | Kai-Wei Teng | HOU | @CIN | 3 |
| 115 | Noah Cameron | KC | CLE/ DET | 3 (both matchups) |
| 116 | Walbert Urena | LAA | CWS | 3 |
| 117 | Jack Kochanowicz | LAA | @TOR | 3 |
| 118 | Justin Wrobleski | LAD | ATL | 3 |
| 119 | Chris Paddack | MIA | WSH | 3 |
| 120 | Brandon Woodruff | MIL | @STL | 3 |
| 121 | Chad Patrick | MIL | NYY | 3 |
| 122 | Elmer Rodriguez | NYY | TEX/ @MIL | 3 (TEX=4 & @MIL=2) |
| 123 | Andrew Painter | PHI | ATH | 3 |
| 124 | Aaron Nola | PHI | COL | 3 |
| 125 | Carmen Mlodzinski | PIT | @SF | 3 |
| 126 | Andre Pallante | STL | MIL | 3 |
| 127 | Matthew Liberatore | STL | @SD | 3 |
| 128 | Dustin May | STL | @SD | 3 |
| 129 | Walker Buehler | SD | @SF/ STL | 3 (@SF=4 & STL=2) |
| 130 | German Marquez | SD | @SF | 3 |
| 131 | Landen Roupp | SF | PIT | 3 |
| 132 | Jesse Scholtens | TB | @BOS | 3 |
| 133 | Jack Leiter | TEX | CHC | 3 |
| 134 | Patrick Corbin | TOR | @TB | 3 |
| 135 | J.T. Ginn | ATH | @PHI | 2 |
| 136 | Aaron Civale | ATH | @BAL | 2 |
| 137 | JR Ritchie | ATL | @SEA/ @LAD | 2 (@SEA=3 & @LAD=1) |
| 138 | Brandon Young | BAL | @MIA | 2 |
| 139 | Cade Povich | BAL | @MIA | 2 |
| 140 | Sean Burke | CWS | SEA | 2 |
| 141 | Slade Cecconi | CLE | @KC | 2 |
| 142 | Tomoyuki Sugano | COL | NYM/ @PHI | 2 (both matchups) |
| 143 | Jose Quintana | COL | NYM | 2 |
| 144 | Peter Lambert | HOU | LAD | 2 |
| 145 | Brandon Sproat | MIL | @STL/ NYY | 2 (both matchups) |
| 146 | Kyle Leahy | STL | MIL/ @SD | 2 (both matchups) |
| 147 | Hunter Dobbins | STL | MIL | 2 |
| 148 | Matt Waldron | SD | @SF/ STL | 2 (@SF=3 & STL=1) |
| 149 | Steven Matz | TB | @BOS | 2 |
| 150 | Kumar Rocker | TEX | CHC | 2 |
| 151 | Eric Lauer | TOR | @TB | 2 |
| 152 | Miles Mikolas | WSH | MIN | 2 |
| 153 | Jake Bennett | BOS | @DET | 1 |
| 154 | Anthony Kay | CWS | SEA | 1 |
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